College football Week 15 picks against the spread: How to bet every Top 25 game
By Nick Villano
College football picks against the spread for every Week 15 Top 25 game.
It’s rare for the college football schedule to go into this week. Last season, most teams were playing their last regular-season game on Dec. 7. Some even ended their seasons the week before. At this point last season, fans knew who was playing in every single bowl game outside of the National Championship. This year, the second week of December is where many teams end their regular season and then the conference championships will take place on Dec. 19. The various bowl games won’t be filled seemingly until right before they take place.
It’s nice that there’s no real break for college football. This year, it’s basically big games from start to finish. That’s about the only positive for the 2020 season.
This week, there are only 13 games involving Top 25 teams. The Big Ten’s best teams both had to cancel games this week (Ohio State vs. Michigan and Indiana vs. Purdue). Not all is lost. There are still two games pitting Top 25 teams against each other. There are very few teams who still have National Championship aspirations. With Ohio State losing another game on the schedule, they could be vulnerable to lose their spot. Can a Florida or Iowa State do enough over the next two weeks to take that spot?
Those questions may not be answered this weekend, but the question of where to put your bets will be answered right now.
All lines come from the William Hill Sportsbook.
College football Week 15 betting tips for every Top 25 game
No. 22 Oklahoma State (-5.5) at Baylor
Oklahoma State ruined its chances to compete for a Big 12 Title with a loss to TCU last week. Now, they face Baylor who is probably playing the last game with Charlie Brewer under center. Both teams are playing for bragging rights, although the Cowboys at least have a bowl game coming their way. It’s still hard to find any information about Chuba Hubbard‘s availability. He still has to figure out if he’s declaring for the NFL Draft after a ho-hum season that saw some running backs pass him. For the pick, the Cowboys have enough talent to win, but this is a clear stay away.
Pick: Oklahoma State (-5.5)
Utah at No. 21 Colorado (-1.5)
This game has already been moved from Friday to Saturday because of the cancellation of the Ohio State-Michigan game. This gives Colorado a big national audience in one of the most desired time slots. Colorado remains one of the biggest surprises this season. The Buffaloes haven’t lost a game (4-0) and join USC as the only other undefeated teams in the conference. The issue is Colorado might go undefeated and lose out on its chance to play in the Pac-12 Championship Game. If Colorado can beat Utah, who was in the Pac 12 Championship Game the past two seasons, then it will be hard for the Pac 12 to not come up with a better solution. This is the Buffaloes’ time to shine as Utah hasn’t been that good this season.
Pick: Colorado (-1.5)
No. 20 Texas (-29.5) at Kansas
Kansas just hasn’t shown much all season long. They might be the worst team in the Power 5. Kansas has played Texas better than most other opponents. Last season, the Jayhawks put 48 points on the Longhorns. This isn’t that same Kansas team and that team was also bad. Texas has too much to play for (pride, Sam Ehlinger‘s draft stock, Tom Herman’s job) to even let this one come close.
Pick: Texas (-29.5)
San Diego State at No. 18 BYU (-16.5)
BYU is coming off one of the biggest disappointments in program history. They took a game in the middle of last week against Coastal Carolina. Now small hopes to make the College Football Playoff are now zero hope. It’s hard to predict how a team like the Cougars will react to such a loss. Will they come out looking for blood, or will a dark cloud sit over them for the rest of the season? Here’s the problem. San Diego State averages more than 200 yards per game. Last week, BYU allowed 281 yards on the ground. It’s not a great combination. They will win, but this line is two points too high.
Pick: San Diego State (+16.5)
Wisconsin (-1) at No. 16 Iowa
Bettors who jumped on this game early got the Wisconsin Badgers as underdogs, but the money came in against Iowa and the line moved all the way into Wisconsin’s favor. This is an intriguing matchup. Both Wisconsin and Iowa have had interesting seasons. Wisconsin hasn’t won a game in close to a month. Iowa has won five straight after losing the first two. It’s a tale of two programs going in different directions. It is smart to put money on the one going in the right direction.
Pick: Iowa (+1)
No. 15 USC (-2.5) at UCLA
USC has basically no shot at this point to make the College Football Playoff even if they go undefeated. It’s too big a hill to climb. Still, the work Clay Helton did in a must-win season is admirable. On the other side, Chip Kelley still hasn’t been able to have the Pac 12 success he had at Oregon. UCLA is having a better season than years past, but USC is the superior team.
Pick: USC (-2.5)
Illinois at No. 14 Northwestern (-14)
Northwestern got news on Wednesday that Ohio State will be eligible for the Big Ten Title Game against Northwestern despite not playing this week against Michigan. Now, the Wildcats have their biggest game in a long time back on the schedule. Will that distract them against a meaningless opponent? Win or lose, Northwestern is taking on the Buckeyes next week. That could end with some cautious coaching.
Pick: Illinois (+14)
No. 13 Coastal Carolina (-13.5) at Troy
Coastal Carolina is coming off its huge win against BYU last week. The university put its money where its mouth is and now it’s time to reap the rewards. However, if the team comes out with a stinker one week later, it could make the Chanticleers an afterthought. There is much clout to finishing the season undefeated. Troy doesn’t play well against good teams (App State destroyed them) and if Coastal Carolina can avoid the hangover, then this should be an easy win.
Pick: Coastal Carolina (-13.5)
No. 17 North Carolina at No. 10 Miami (-3)
Miami is a top-ten team, but they will be the odd-team out for the ACC Championship Game. Clemson and Notre Dame are set. So, what exactly is Miami playing for? Well, there’s obviously still a lot. If Notre Dame and Clemson both make the College Football Playoff, then Miami has an outside chance to play in the New Year’s Six. D’Eriq King is still looking to build his value. Manny Diaz is looking to establish himself as of the best coaches in college football. On the other side, North Carolina is looking to spoil all those dreams with a huge game of their own. There are many factors, but it’s a lot easier to trust Miami. The Hurricanes are 6-3 against the spread. North Carolina is 4-6.
Pick: Miami (-3)
No. 9 Georgia (-13) at No. 25 Missouri
It’s a mystery what could have been if JT Daniels was the starting quarterback from day one at Georgia. He’s the starter now and Georgia has been rolling. They beat South Carolina big last week. Now, they go into a Missouri team that hasn’t beaten any of the ranked teams they played this season. That won’t change this weekend. Missouri is not in Georgia’s league.
Pick: Georgia (-13)
LSU at No. 6 Florida (-23)
LSU’s bad season got worse this week. They self-imposed a postseason ban for the 2020 season. Since bowl eligibility was taken off for this season, LSU probably would have been invited, but the ban could be a lot worse in other years. The news that really hurts is tight end Arik Gilbert opting out of the season. And now, they face a Florida offense that doesn’t take the foot off the gas. Kyle Trask put up favorable numbers against an actual good LSU team last year. Against whatever the Tigers are now, Florida should dominate.
Pick: Florida (-23)
No. 1 Alabama (-32) at Arkansas
Alabama is facing yet another huge line when they take on Arkansas. Alabama has been one of the best bets of the year. Not only are they undefeated and the number one team in the country, but they’ve covered the spread in every game since the middle of October. It’s going to be close to the spread, with Arkansas’s offense bringing something to the table, but Alabama is just too good to handle.
Pick: Alabama (-32)
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