Predicting over/under for the college football win totals for every ACC team in the 2021 season, from Clemson to North Carolina to Florida State.
Over the past few years as we’ve come into a given college football season, the ACC win totals have followed a formula. The Clemson Tigers have been at the top with a big number followed by a large gap and then a homogenous blend in the middle of the conference. But for the 2021 season, the college football win totals have a bit more diversity (and teams closer to Clemson) in the ACC than we’ve seen of late.
Make no mistake, Clemson is still at the top of the board, as expected. But the recent surge from North Carolina and Miami have those two programs much closer than anyone has been to the Tigers. Of course, there’s still a jam-packed group in the middle as well.
So how should you be betting the college football win totals in the ACC for the 2021 season? We have our predictions for every team in the conference on deck.
All odds are courtesy of WynnBet.
ACC over/under bets for 2021 college football win totals
Clemson – 11.5 wins – Prediction: Under
This is basically just a principle play and not an indication of the talent that Clemson has because, let’s face it, the Tigers are a National Championship contender again. But as they replace Trevor Lawrence — even if it’s with D.J. Uiagalelei — and face a top-five Georgia team in the season-opener, it’s way more comfortable saying Dabo Swinney’s team goes 11-1 than it is 12-0.
North Carolina – 9.5 wins – Prediction: Over
Getting this number at 9.5 is perfect because 10-2 is the most likely outcome for a Tar Heels team led by Sam Howell and with legitimate College Football Playoff upside and a relatively easy schedule. On the road at Notre Dame is tough and they could trip up somewhere like at Miami or att Pitt, but two losses still gets the over.
Miami (FL) – 9.0 wins – Prediction: Under
Avoiding Clemson on the schedule plays in favor of Miami but they do play Alabama in the non-conference in addition to tough Appalachian State and Michigan State teams. Even if they win those games, they are on the road at North Carolina as well. If D’Eriq King was for certain going to be 100 percent healthy, I’d lean over but this is a likely 9-3 team with more downside than upside in my view.
Boston College – 7.0 wins – Prediction: Over
Call me the conductor of the Phil Jurkovec hype train but I believe in the Boston College quarterback after he flashed last season. For the Eagles to hit the over and get to 8-4, they need better play from the defense but I’m willing to bet on a suddenly explosive offense to make some sleeper noise.
Pittsburgh – 7.0 wins – Prediction: Under
Kenny Pickett is back with Pitt for his 20th season in college football but the offense needs to find a running game and the defense has to replace a lot. Doubting Pat Narduzzi is rarely profitable but 6-6 just seems like a more likely outcome than 8-4.
Virginia Tech – 7.0 wins – Prediction: Under
There are talented components to the Hokies’ roster and, if Braxton Burmeister shows up and plays well, this team could be good. But Justin Fuente hasn’t proven a darn thing to make me believe in him and it’s entirely possible his team calls it quits on him at some point this season.
Wake Forest – 7.0 wins – Prediction: Over
In all likelihood, this is going to end up being a push at 7.0 wins because 7-5 feels like the right mark for a Demon Deacons team facing a highly manageable non-conference slate. With that said, any improvements on the offensive line and defense could push them to the over, so that’s the lean.
Louisville – 6.5 wins – Prediction: Under
An absolute nightmare of a non-conference draw as the Cardinals face Ole Miss, UCF and rival Kentucky before they even get into ACC play. Malik Cunningham is a dynamic player and Scott Satterfield is a good coach, which should be good enough to get to a bowl, but it’s going to be an uphill battle to get to seven wins.
NC State – 6.5 wins – Prediction: Over
The Wolfpack could easily finish the season at 8-4 with Dennis Leary taking back over the offense and with a truly underrated defense. NC State is going to be a tough out for almost any team in the ACC and should pretty comfortably get at least seven wins.
Virginia – 6.0 wins – Prediction: Under
This number being an even 6.0 is terrible because 6-6 keeps coming up as the most likely finish for the Cavaliers when I look at their schedule. Despite an unfailing belief in Bronco Mendenhall, my lean is to the under with this win total as Virginia has work to do to establish their identity.
Florida State – 5.5 wins – Prediction: Over
In all honesty, this is a gut feeling. McKenzie Milton not running away with the starting quarterback job has me a bit concerned but the offensive line should be improved and an influx of transfer talent on defense should help the Seminoles start to take steps forward and make a bowl game.
Georgia Tech – 4.5 wins – Prediction: Under
Progress isn’t always reflected in wins and losses and that’s my feeling with the Yellow Jackets this season. The schedule is super tough and Geoff Collins is still in the transition phase in Atlanta, which will make that slate too daunting to handle.
Duke – 3.5 wins – Prediction: Under
The Blue Devils went just 1-9 last season and lost their two best defensive players and have no definite answers at quarterback for an offense that was awful. This is risky considering the non-conference could yield three wins but a winless ACC record isn’t out of the question for Duke.
Syracuse – 3.5 wins – Prediction: Under
If Dino Babers’ team was going to eclipse 3.5 wins, they would need an easy non-conference schedule. Instead, they play a solid Ohio team, a really good Liberty team, and a Rutgers group that could beat them. The Orange aren’t getting to four wins this season.