College football win totals 2021: Over/under bets for every SEC team

Breaking down and making bets for every SEC team’s college football win totals, seeing if Alabama, Georgia, LSU and more go over or under. 

Has there been any news about the SEC ahead of the 2021 college football season? Any new members thinking about joining?

While the forthcoming arrival of Oklahoma and Texas in the SEC has been the talk of the town for the offseason, the conference remains rife with College Football Playoff contenders before those two storied programs enter the fray. Alabama, Georgia and Texas A&M all enter the 2021 campaign as top-10 ranked teams with legitimate title hopes.

That isn’t to say that the conference is perfect, however. Auburn could be in for a down year by their standards in the first year under Brian Harsin while there are some clear bottom-feeders as well. And looking at the SEC win totals, that’s pretty clear to see. But how should you bet those totals?

We’ve got your overs and under you should be betting in the SEC for the 2021 college football season. (Note: All odds are courtesy of WynnBet.)

SEC win totals over/under bets for the 2021 college football season

Alabama – 11.5 wins – Prediction: Under

Nick Saban is going to have the Crimson Tide in the mix to win another National Championship; that’s near-certain with their level of talent and infrastructure. However, as Alabama breaks in a new quarterback and offensive coordinator, the possibility of them slipping up just once is there, which would cause the under to hit.

Georgia – 10.5 wins – Prediction: Over

This line set at 10.5 and not 11.5 wins is due to the fact that Georgia opens the season on a neutral field against another top-five team in Clemson. After that, though, the Bulldogs should be favored in every game, meaning at least 11 wins is the likeliest outcome.

Texas A&M – 9.5 wins – Prediction: Over

Full disclosure, I’ve changed this pick multiple times. Texas A&M has one of the best defenses in the country and a plethora of offensive skill talent to go with it. Yet, the Aggies are starting redshirt freshman Haynes King at quarterback, which breeds uncertainty. I’m banking on the overall roster talent and going over but with very little confidence.

Florida – 9.0 wins – Prediction: Under

Head coach Dan Mullen has worked wonders with quarterbacks of Emory Jones’ mold before and the new starter should be able to rebrand the offense for success. That being said, the Gator shave a tough schedule with Bama in the cross-division draw. 9-3 is most likely but the big personnel changes force me to lean under.

LSU – 8.5 wins – Prediction: Over

Max Johnson coming into the season as the starter due to Myles Brennan’s injury could be a blessing in disguise for LSU as he offers them the highest offensive ceiling. More importantly, the Tigers defense should bounce back in a massive way with Bo Pellini out, which makes 9-3 a likely outcome for the 2021 campaign.

Ole Miss – 7.5 wins – Prediction: Over

If nothing else, you’re going to want to watch Ole Miss in year two of Lane Kiffin as the offense under Matt Corral and Jerrion Ealy is going to be can’t-miss stuff. But I’m also high on the defense making strides and the Rebels playing spoiler once or twice in SEC play to push them to at least eight wins.

Kentucky – 7.0 wins – Prediction: Over

Doubting Mark Stoops is rarely profitable and, though Kentucky must contend with some key defensive losses, they should upgrade offensively with some changes at quarterback. The Wildcats also get a favorable road draw in SEC play outside of Georgia, which should lead to an 8-4 season.

Missouri – 7.0 wins – Prediction: Over 

Playing at Chestnut Hill against Boston College in the non-conference is a bit scary for a team that isn’t one of the top programs in the SEC. However, faith in the second year of quarterback Connor Bazelak in addition to the belief that Eli Drinkwitz has the Tigers moving up causes me to lean towards the over.

Auburn – 6.5 wins – Prediction: Under

There are talented players on the Auburn roster — guys like Tank Bigsby and Big Kat Bryant obviously come to mind. But even in a new offense, Bo Nix hasn’t shown me enough to make me believe he can lead a team that is going in a new direction and with a questionable overall defense to much success.

Mississippi State – 6.0 wins – Prediction: Under

Even with Mike Leach having a full offseason to try and install his offense, there’s not enough talent on that side of the ball for Mississippi State for me to be excited about. Throw in a questionable performance by the head coach in year one and a losable game against NC State in the non-conference and 5-7 is more likely than 7-5.

Tennessee – 6.0 wins – Prediction: Under

Who the heck knows? Josh Heupel has a bevy of quarterback options to run a potentially improved offense but the Vols also lost so much in the transfer market. Going 6-6 is probably where Tennessee ends up but pessimism due to their departures makes a lean to the under the right call.

Arkansas – 5.5 wins – Prediction: Under

Admittedly, this is a bit of a narrative play. Sam Pittman exceeded (admittedly low) expectations in year one at Arkansas but there is now less talent and experience on the Razorbacks roster. Pittman will get this program on the right track but they’ll have to take a step back in 2021 before making another leap forward.

South Carolina – 3.5 wins – Prediction: Under

Shane Beamer could absolutely turn the Gamecocks around for the better and running back Kevin Harris is an unheralded stud. While that may be true, the rest of this roster leaves a lot to be desired to the point that games against Vandy and East Carolina aren’t for sure wins, making the under the smart play.

Vanderbilt – 3.0 wins – Prediction: Over

In all honesty, the most likely outcome for Vanderbilt is that the ‘Dores end up with a 3-9 overall record and push, which means this is a good number. I’m a believer in Clark Lea, though, so the lean is to the over in hopes that they can steal one, maybe against South Carolina.

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