Running Backs
Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Detroit Lions-$9,400
Harris has 3.5 or less yards per carry in three straight games, but volume has lifted him (95 carries over his last four games). In Week 10, touch volume and a good matchup are set to collide.
The 0-8 Lions have the NFL’s 29th-ranked run defense entering Week 10 (134.5 yards per game), and they’re allowing they second-most FanDuel points per game to running backs (28.1). The 16 total touchdowns (10 rushing, six receiving) they’ve allowed to the position are tied for the most in the league.
The Steelers are around a nine-point favorite on Sunday, not that Harris needs a positive game script to pile up carries. But the likelihood of it, to go with a great matchup, makes it’s easy to pony up for him this week.
Michael Carter, New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills-$6,100
Before talking about Carter, I’ll start with this nugget.
The #Jets are starting QB Mike White, source said, as the legendary backup will take the field against the #Bills. Zach Wilson will use the week to get healthier.
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) November 10, 2021
Why does Mike White getting another start under center for the Jets matter?
In Week 8, the game White started and finished, Carter had nine catches for 95 yards on 14 targets to go with 15 carries for 77 yards and a touchdown. The game before that, when White stepped in for an injured Zach Wilson, the rookie back out of North Carolina had nine targets.
The matchup in Week 10 is not great against the Buffalo Bills. But Carter is the Jets’ best offensive player, and White will feed him high value targets in the passing game to go with 10-15 carries as the clear No. 1 back. The value here is impossible to ignore, even with the tough matchup.