College football expert picks Week 11: Picks against the spread for every Top 25 game

Making college football expert picks against the spread for Week 11 as we tackle the betting odds, lines and more for every Top 25 game.

Back for another week of college football expert picks and we have an awesome Week 11 slate ahead of us. For starters, we’re looking at four matchups between top 20 teams. Beyond that, we also have Georgia-Tennessee, Michigan-Penn State and a lot more on the docket. And it’s time to build upon a solid start to November with our picks for Top 25 games.

It was an overall good week last Saturday, even if we failed to make up ground against the spread with an 11-12 week there. That’s because we continued to crush totals with a 15-8 showing in that department. For the season now, we are 84-103-1 against the spread and 105-79-4 against totals, putting the overall record at 189-182-5 for the year.

We started off November strong, now it’s time to finish the month that way with our Week 11 college football expert picks against the spread. Note: All odds are via WynnBET. For more betting info and content, visit BetSided.

Top 25 teams not in action in Week 11: BYU (14)

College football expert picks against the spread for Week 11 Top 25 matchups

25 Arkansas (-2.5) at LSU – Over 59.0

While trusting Arkansas has become increasingly tough as the year has gone on, trusting LSU is even harder. It feels like last week might’ve been their Super Bowl and, while the Tigers will put up a fight and go back-and-forth, the Razorbacks are the better side that only needs to win by a field goal.

24 Utah (-24.0) at Arizona – Under 54.0

Since Cam Rising took over for the Utes, that team has been rolling this season. Arizona broke a winless drought last week but that will be short-lived. The Wildcats are still an awful football team and Utah should pour it on them pretty heavily.

Southern Miss at 23 UTSA (-33.0) – Over 53.5

There are several teams we’ve been wanting to make statements that have failed to do so. UTSA is not one of them. Now-ranked, the unbeaten Roadrunners are going to keep making themselves undeniable as they rout a one-win Southern Miss team and hit the over single-handedly.

Nevada (+2.5) at 22 San Diego State – Over 45.0

Carson Strong is the X-factor in this game. He’s the best quarterback the Aztecs have faced and the defense (and punting) will be negated. I have the Wolf Pack winning outright and doing so by putting up too much offense for San Diego State to ultimately keep pace with Nevada.

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North Carolina (+7) at 21 Pittsburgh – Under 72 (Played on Thursday night)

We took only our second push of the year in this game thanks to an overtime showing won by the Panthers at home. Still, we’ll take that, especially considering that we called a slower game on a short week for these ACC foes that easily hit the under.

Minnesota at 20 Iowa (-5.0) – Under 37.0

Understanding that there is a world where Minnesota could beat Iowa, the Hawkeyes defense seems built to cause problems any time Tanner Morgan has to pass. With that and the run-first approach for the Gophers, give me Iowa and the under pretty confidently.

19 Purdue (+20.5) at 4 Ohio State – Over 63.5

This line just doesn’t make sense to me. Ohio State has not been blowing good teams out and Purdue has proven, especially against top-end competition, they’re a very good football team. The Boilermakers are an easy pick, though plenty of points will still be on the board.

Northwestern at 18 Wisconsin (-24.5) – Over 41.0

Because Wisconsin is so run-heavy, the conventional wisdom might be to take the under and maybe Northwestern. But the Wildcats have been awful against the run and the Badgers have one speed, which is full-go when they’re running. This will be a blowout powered by the ground game.

Mississippi State at 17 Auburn (-5.0) – Under 50.0

Far more confident in the under here than anything else but my gut tells me Auburn is just the better team, especially playing in Jordan-Hare. Bo Nix has been awesome against this type of opponent all year, so look for more of that.

16 NC State at 12 Wake Forest (-2.0) – Over 65.0

As has often been the case this season, just hammer Wake Forest overs. Beyond that, the Demon Deacons still are undefeated in ACC play and have a lot to play for. I like Sam Hartman to bounce back and get the win after his team’s first loss of the year.

11 Texas A&M at 15 Ole Miss (+2.5) – Over 56.5

This was always going to be a game where I took the underdog and the points and it helps that Ole Miss is at home. They have the offense to push A&M but not the defense to stop them. Still, it should be an entertaining game and the home crowd in Oxford gives the Rebs the edge.

8 Oklahoma (-5.5) at 13 Baylor – Over 62.0

I’m calling for this one to be the Oklahoma statement game. With the off week to fully instill Caleb Williams as the man in this offense, the Sooners need to put their foot on the pedal and not let off. That’s what I’m calling for in what will be a semi-shocking blowout.

TCU (+13.0) at 10 Oklahoma State – Under 54.0

Now that TCU has turned over a new page, the Horned Frogs offense looked frisky last week. Oklahoma State is a great defense but they’ll be tested in this one and find their own offense lacking. That will play to a close game that hits the under still.

9 Notre Dame (-6.5) at Virginia – Under 63.0

The injury status of Brennan Armstrong is the heaviest factor in this pick. Even if he plays, he’s clearly not at 100 percent. That plays into the hands of the Irish and should allow them to win by a touchdown. And truthfully, for that to happen, this needs to be under 63 points.

Maryland at 7 Michigan State (-12.5) – Over 61.5

Maryland has the potential, especially in the passing game, to move the ball on Sparty. They, however, don’t have an answer for Kenneth Walker III and this Michigan State offense. This will be high-scoring but never totally in doubt for Mel Tucker’s team.

6 Michigan (-1.0) at Penn State – Under 48.5

Even if these two teams tend to play one another closely, Michigan has looked miles better than Penn State on a consistent basis. I think their defense causes the Nittany Lions a ton of problems and ultimately controls a defensive battle.

5 Cincinnati at South Florida (+24) – Under 59 (Played on Friday night)

We definitely whiffed on the total here but came back strong with the play against the spread. The Bulls kept it within the large margin thanks to some second-half offense that helped them out greatly. Still, would’ve thought it would have to be low-scoring for that to happen.

Washington State at 3 Oregon (-14.0) – Under 57.0

Some people are saying that Wazzu looked more alive than ever and that Oregon should be nervous. I’m not buying it. The Ducks finally showed life last week and we’re calling the Cougars’ resuscitation a one-time deal that will quickly be snuffed out.

New Mexico State (+52.0) at 2 Alabama – Over 67.0

Obviously, the Aggies are going to lose but, no matter how big a mismatch this is, the principle is that no team should ever be favored by more than 50 points.

1 Georgia (-20.0) at Tennessee – Under 55.0

Throughout the week, people have been talking about Tennessee testing Georgia’s defense. That’s something I’ve heard before and the Bulldogs keep shutting teams down. I don’t see the Vols garnering more than 14 points in this game, which makes a 38-14 or something in that range feel like the right call.

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