Errol Spence Jr. vs. Yordenis Ugas betting odds and prediction

Errol Spence Jr. is the betting favorite headed into his April 16 boxing bout against Yordenis Ugás, but does that mean he will win? 

The Saturday, April 16 boxing unification bout between champions Errol Spence Jr. and Yordenis Ugás is getting the big fight treatment.

Spence vs. Ugás takes place at AT&T Stadium, the super stadium home of the Dallas Cowboys. It’s also near Spence’s hometown of Desoto, TX.

Spence puts his IBF and WBC welterweight titles on the line with Ugás’ WBA belt in a winner takes all Showtime pay-per-view event.

Spence (27-0, 21 KOs) has been a world welterweight champion for six years. He was in a serious accident in 2019 but triumphantly returned in 2020 to defeat Danny Garcia via unanimous decision.

Spence was supposed to fight Manny Pacquiao, but a torn retina forced him to pull out of the fight. Ugás got the title shot with Pacquiao instead and made the most of it.

Ugás defeated Pacquiao by unanimous decision to become a world champion for the first time. Here’s who wins this champion vs. champion affair and why.

Errol Spence Jr. vs. Yordenis Ugás official betting odds

According to Wynnbet.com, Spence is the betting favorite at -700 odds. Oddsmakers feel comfortable about Spence’s chances despite his past physical trauma and Ugás’ impressive performance against Pacquiao.

They have Ugás at +450, or slightly over a 4-1 underdog. That signals that betting experts don’t expect Ugás to be incredibly competitive, but he shouldn’t be blown out either.

Ugás showed ability against Pacquiao, but his win may have been slightly marred by Pacquiao’s age. Pacquiao was 42 years old when he fought Ugás.

Fight prediction

Oddsmakers usually see things clearly in their prefight assessments, and their numbers for Spence vs. Ugás are logical.

Expect Spence to defeat Ugás by unanimous decision convincingly. Ugás did well against an aged Pacquiao, and he deserves credit.

Even at 42, Pacquiao was a boxing force, but he was far past his prime. Spence is still in his prime, though he’s hitting the number where fighters start to trend down.

Spence’s health and body have taken extreme damage between his 10 years as a professional boxer, a 2019 car crash, and a recently torn retina. He will feel those traumas later in life and could already, but he’s still a capable champion.

Spence looked exquisite against Garcia in 2020 and could perform even better against Ugás. Ugás isn’t a massive puncher.

Spence can match Ugás’ boxing acumen and is a better athlete and stronger fighter. He can break Ugás down over time and should have him on the run in the championship rounds to secure a clear decision.

Expect Spence to exit AT&T Stadium with three of the four welterweight titles.