2022 NBA Draft Lottery: Odds, schedule, how to watch

Here are the odds of winning for the teams that are taking part in the 2022 NBA Draft Lottery.

Only one team can win on Tuesday in Chicago, as the 2022 NBA Draft Lottery will be going on.

As it is every year, the NBA Draft Lottery takes place in Chicago during the latter part of the NBA Playoffs. While it will be the first time in several years the hometown Chicago Bulls will not be taking part in it, 13 teams will be sending representatives to The Windy City with a chance at being blessed by the most holy of ping-pong ball gods. Of course, only a few teams can seriously win it.

Here are the percentage chances for each team participating in the 2022 NBA Draft Lottery.

NBA Draft Lottery projections

  • Houston Rockets: 14 percent
  • Orlando Magic: 14 percent
  • Detroit Pistons: 14 percent
  • Oklahoma City Thunder: 12.5 percent
  • Indiana Pacers: 10.5 percent
  • Portland Trail Blazers: 9 percent
  • Sacramento Kings: 7.5 percent
  • Los Angeles Lakers (to New Orleans Pelicans or Memphis Grizzles): 6 percent
  • San Antonio Spurs: 4.5 percent
  • Washington Wizards: 3 percent
  • New York Knicks: 2 percent
  • LA Clippers (to Oklahoma City Thunder): 1.5 percent
  • Charlotte Hornets: 1 percent
  • Cleveland Cavaliers: 0.5 percent

The Houston Rockets, the Orlando Magic and the Detroit Pistons all have the best odds of winning with a 14-percent chance each. Technically, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a combined 14-percent chance of winning as well when combining their own 12-percent chance with that of the 1.5-percent chance coming from the draft pick they are receiving from the LA Clippers this year.

For those who are not familiar with how the new lottery system works, here is what is up. The 14 teams who did not make the NBA Playoffs are eligible for it, assuming their pick does not belong to someone else. The three teams with the worst regular-season record from the year prior all have equal 14-percent chances of winning the draft lottery. This new system began back in 2019.

As far as the order is concerned, there will be four drawings to determine the first four picks of the draft. Picks No. 5 to No. 14 will go in reverse order from their regular-season records from the year prior. The lottery itself takes place moments before the telecast happens. 14 balls are placed into a lottery machine where they are mixed for 20 seconds. They do this four times for the four picks.

Each subsequent mix last 10 seconds to determine picks No. 2 through No. 4. If a team is drawn more than once during these four drawings, that drawing is thrown out and another one is conducted. There are 1,001 possible combinations to be had with a four-ball drawing out of 14 balls. Prior to the lottery, 1,000 of those combinations are assigned to the 14 teams in the lottery.

ESPN will have the primetime telecast at 8:00 p.m. ET, 7:00 p.m. CT. It can be streamed on fuboTV.