Fansided

Best NBA prop bets today for Nuggets vs. Heat (Gabe Vincent steps up)

By Peter Dewey

Miami Heat guard Gabe Vincent. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
Miami Heat guard Gabe Vincent. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports /
facebooktwitterreddit

Arguably the best game on Monday night’s slate in the NBA is between the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat, two teams with championship aspirations this season.

Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon and Tyler Herro are all questionable for this game, which could seriously alter the prop market for this matchup.

With that in mind, I have three plays that I think are worth taking for this game, including picks for the big man matchup between Nikola Jokic and Bam Adebayo:

Nuggets vs. Heat best NBA prop bets

  • Gabe Vincent OVER 14.5 Points
  • Nikola Jokic OVER 0.5 3-Pointers
  • Bam Adebayo UNDER 9.5 Rebounds

Gabe Vincent OVER 14.5 Points

Gabe Vincent is averaging 15.4 points per game in his nine starts this season, and now he may get an even bigger role with Lowry out and Herro questionable for this game.

The Nuggets have been a bottom-10 defense on the road this season, and if Herro sits, Vincent and Butler will be the primary initiators for Miami’s offense tonight.

I think we’re getting some value on Vincent at 14.5 points in this game.

Nikola Jokic OVER 0.5 3-Pointers

Jokic is shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc this season, but he’s only averaging 2.2 attempts from deep per game.

With a tough defensive matchup with Adebayo, I wouldn’t be shocked if Jokic looks to expand his range in this game to get Adebayo to come guard him from 25-30 feet from the basket.

Jokic has taken at least one 3-pointer in six of his last seven games, so I don’t mind betting on him to find the bottom of the net from deep tonight.

Bam Adebayo UNDER 9.5 Rebounds

Adebayo has been great on the boards for the Heat this season, but this is a tough matchup against a Denver team that ranks No. 5 in the NBA in rebounding percentage.

The Heat All-Star has landed on nine boards three times in his last six games, failing to clear 9.5 boards in six of his last 10.

With Jokic dominating the glass for Denver, I’ll fade Bam in this game.

—

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.