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Formula 1 prediction: Odds and best bet for Bahrain GP

By Iain MacMillan

Oct 22, 2022; Austin, Texas, USA; Red Bull Racing driver Sergio Perez (11) leads Red Bull Racing driver Max Verstappen (1) during qualifying for the U.S. Grand Prix at Circuit of the Americas. Mandatory Credit: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 22, 2022; Austin, Texas, USA; Red Bull Racing driver Sergio Perez (11) leads Red Bull Racing driver Max Verstappen (1) during qualifying for the U.S. Grand Prix at Circuit of the Americas. Mandatory Credit: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports /
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Formula 1 is back!

At 10am et on Sunday, the green flag will be waved and the 2023 F1 campaign will have officially begun at the Bahrain GP.

That means we’re back to betting on it as well.

Let’s dive into the top 10 odds to win the first race of the season, and then I’ll give you my best bet.

Bahrain GP odds

The odds listed below are via BetMGM Sportsbook.

  • Max Verstappen -250
  • Sergio Perez +600
  • Charles Leclerc +700
  • Fernando Alonso +1200
  • Carlos Saints Jr. +2000
  • Lewis Hamilton +2200
  • George Russell +2200
  • Lance Stroll +6600
  • Esteban Ocon +25000
  • Nico Hulkenberg +25000

Bahrain GP prediction

It’s clear to anyone who follows Formula 1 that it’s Red Bull that leads the way by a wide margin. If you needed to be convinced that it’s likely going to be the same story this season, Saturday’s qualifying session proved any doubters wrong.

Max Verstappen and Sergio Perez, the two Red Bull drivers, finish first and second in qualifying. The Ferrari cars came a distant (by F1 standards) third and fourth.

As a result, Verstappen is a -250 favorite to win the Bahrain GP.

You can lay the -250 juice on Verstappen if you’d like, but BetMGM Sportsbook is offering a prop bet at +800 that I absolutely love.

You can bet on Verstappen to win by 10+ seconds, have the fastest lap, and Red Bull to have the fastest pit stop at +800.

While that may seem like a lot that you’d need to go right, it’s not as much as you think if you think Red Bull is the best team in Formula 1. Red Bull often had the fastest pit stops last season, and Verstappen had several dominant wins that crossed the 10-second threshold.

If you want a longshot bet but you also want to back Red Bull, this bet is the way to go.

Click the link below to sign up at BetMGM to take advantage of this prop.

Pick: Verstappen win by 10+ seconds, Verstappen fastest lap, Red Bull fastest pit stop

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.