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Royals vs. Twins prediction and odds for Saturday, April 29 (Bank on runs)

By Josh Yourish

Apr 27, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Twins designated hitter Byron Buxton (25) celebrates after hitting a three run home run in the fourth inning against the Kansas City Royals at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 27, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Twins designated hitter Byron Buxton (25) celebrates after hitting a three run home run in the fourth inning against the Kansas City Royals at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Minnesota Twins are out to a hot start in the AL Central and currently occupy the top spot in the division. It helps when you have a four-game weekend set with the last place team in your division, the Kansas City Royals. Especially when that series takes place at home.

The home team will send Joe Ryan to the mound to make his sixth start of the year. The Twins are yet to lose with Ryan on the bump, he is a perfect 5-0 with a 2.81 ERA. The Royals counter with Brady Singer who got off to a slow start, but is starting to turn things around with a 2-2 record, but a 6.67 ERA.

Let’s get into the odds for Game 3 of this weekend series on Saturday afternoon in Minnesota.

Royals vs. Twins odds, run line and total

Royals vs. Twins prediction and pick

Nobody in KC is singing Brady’s praises right now, but he might be ripe for a turnaround. Despite his ERA of 6.67 he has a 4.65 FIP that could signal some positive results in the future. However, there are plenty of other numbers that say Brady Singer is going to have a very rough year. He is in the first percentile of average exit velocity and hard hit percentage. He’s allowing an average exit velocity of 94.8 MPH and 61.6% of the contact hitters have made has been classified as hard contact.

Due to all the hard contact, Singer has allowed five home runs and has an expected slugging percentage of .573. That’s great news for the Twins who heading into this weekend have hit double digit home runs over the past week, one of the best marks in baseball.

Once Singer gets bounced and that could be early, the Royals bullpen is 28th in ERA and has allowed the fifth most homers to opponents. It could be bombs away for the Twins on Saturday afternoon.

Pick: Over 8.5 (-110) + Twins -1.5 (+110)

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change