No. 18 Dayton (at St. Joseph's 2/6)
Once known as a league capable of sending four or five teams to the NCAA Tournament, the Atlantic 10 has become more of a one or two-bid league over the past decade. The fact that the A-10 has so many teams makes it hard for the conference's top teams to stack quality wins while avoiding Quad 3 or 4 losses that can be damaging to their resume for at-large purposes.
The current top dog in the A-10 is Dayton, which has won 15 of its past 16 games to surge to an 18-3 record. The one loss in that stretch came at Richmond, which is a respectable opponent but one that falls in Quadrant 1 right now, where all three of Dayton's losses have come thus far.
Another dangerous A-10 road game awaits the Flyers on Tuesday as they take on St. Joseph's, which has tumbled to 87th in the NET after a rough start to league play. The Hawks demonstrated their mettle in the non-conference portion of the season, scoring wins over Villanova and Princeton while taking Kentucky to overtime at Rupp Arena, which makes this a very dangerous spot for a win that would only be a Quad 2 game on Dayton's resume.
This matchup is laden with pitfalls for Dayton, which has little to gain with a win and a lot to lose with a loss if St. Joe's stumbles down the stretch. The Flyers will need to be up for this game if they want to avoid a loss that could really hurt their at-large hopes in March.