March Madness 2024 Bubble Watch: First Four Out, Last Four In, more on March 5

The college basketball regular season is set to conclude this week. How is the NCAA Tournament bubble looking with less than two weeks until Selection Sunday?

Virginia v Duke
Virginia v Duke / Lance King/GettyImages
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March Madness Bubble Watch: Next Four Out

Team

Iowa

Drake

Utah

Memphis

Conference

Big Ten

Missouri Valley

Pac-12

American

Record

18-12 (10-9)

25-6 (16-4)

18-11 (9-9)

22-8 (11-6)

NET

56

48

46

71

Quad 1 Record

3-8

3-1

4-7

3-2

Quad 2 Record

5-3

2-3

4-3

3-3

Quad 3/4 Record

10-1

19-2

10-1

16-3

Strength Of Schedule

14

125

16

89

Non-Conference Strength Of Schedule

242

241

51

58

Last Game

W 87-80 At Northwestern

W 74-66 Vs. Bradley

W 88-59 Vs. California

W 106-87 Vs. UAB

Next Game

Vs. No. 12 Illinois 3/10

Missouri Valley Tournament Quarterfinals 3/8

At Oregon State 3/7

At Florida Atlantic 3/9

It feels like there's always a team that makes a stunning late push towards the bubble and this year's edition resides in Ames. The Hawkeyes have scooped up two Quad 1 wins over the past few weeks with road wins against Michigan State and Northwestern before getting a shot at No. 12 Illinois on Saturday that could push them to the brink of the field.

The fact that Drake has three Quad 1 wins out of the Missouri Valley is very impressive and its metrics are better than most bubble teams. There is at-large potential if they lose to Indiana State in the finals of Arch Madness but if the Bulldogs get that far they might as well just get the auto bid themselves and leave the Sycamores sweating on Selection Sunday.

Utah needed its emphatic sweep of Cal and Stanford last week to stop the bleeding of a brutal stretch of Pac-12 play that saw them lose six of their previous eight games. Solid metrics are propping up the Utes' case and a sweep of the Oregon trip would give Utah 20 wins on the season.

Memphis is an interesting case because they had a notable dip when they lost Caleb Mills for the season in January but have righted the ship since then. Completing a sweep of Florida Atlantic on Sunday would do wonders for their chances ahead of the conference tournament.