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Preview: DFS Baseball July 17th

By Chris Brent

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Jul 11, 2015; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates center fielder Andrew McCutchen (22) rounds the bases on a game winning two run home run to defeat the St. Louis Cardinals in the fourteenth inning at PNC Park. The Pirates won 6-5 in fourteen innings. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Batter v. Pitcher: 

Some of you crazy people are a huge fan of using BvP in your daily research to come up with your daily fantasy picks. For me, I think it is crazy to use that as the only research tool you use for your daily fantasy lineups, but I do agree that BvP can be used. Here is a sneak peek at the good BvP plays for the July 17th slate:

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(Reminder: For me to use BvP in my articles, it is important that I have a healthy sample size. Anything under ten at bats makes BvP a completely useless stat and even then it can be a misleading stat.) 

Victor Martinez (v. Ubaldo Jimenez): Martinez is batting .333 in 24 at bats versus Ubaldo in his career. However, Martinez’s BvP doesn’t stop there, as he has also launched three home runs in those 24 at bats.

Andrew McCutchen (v. Michael Fiers): McCutchen has smoked Fiers in his 16 careers at bats against him and he will also be hitting in a good hitting environment. McCutchen is 6 for 16 with four home runs off of Fiers. Fiers been known to give up his fair share of homers, so it wouldn’t surprise me if McCutchen start his monster second half with a good game against Fiers.

Neil Walker (v. Michael Fiers): Neil Walker generally just kills right handed pitching and he should be able to continue that against Fiers, who he has posted good numbers against. In his 16 at bats, he has 8 hits, with one of them going for a home run.

Ryan Braun (v. Charlie Morton): In Braun’s 20 at bats, he’s managed eight hits with three doubles and one home run off of Morton.

Carlos Gomez (v. Charlie Morton): In Gomez’s 11 at bats, he’s managed five hits with one home run.

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    • Billy Butler (v. Ervin Santana): Not a friendly ballpark for Billy Butler, however, he has posted fantastic numbers against Ervin Santana. In Butler’s 31 at bats against Santana, he’s posted eight hits with one double and five home runs.

    Nolan Arenado (v. James Shields): I hate using Rockies numbers because I’m not sure how many of these starts against Shields happened at Coors field, which makes the number’s highly questionable. However, Arenado’s number’s against Shields are too good to be true. In eleven at bats against Shields, Arenado has seven hits and three home runs.

    Carlos Gonzalez (v. James Shields): In Gonzalez’s fourteen at bats against Shields he has managed six hits and two of them ended up going for home runs.

    Matt Kemp (v. Jorge De La Rosa): Matt Kemp is heating up, if he stays healthy he will be a target of mine for the second half of the season a lot. In his 44 at bats against De La Rosa, he’s managed 18 hits with 5 doubles, a triple and three home runs.

    Next: You Want Some Good Values?

    Jul 11, 2015; Miami, FL, USA; Miami Marlins shortstop Adeiny Hechavarria (3) hits an RBI single during the seventh inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Marlins Park. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

    Good Values for the July 17th Slate by Position: 

    Catcher: 

    Andrew Susac (v. Robbie Ray) – Susac’s $2,300 price on FanDuel and his $2,600 price on DraftKings makes him the perfect punt option at catcher in all formats. Against lefties, Susac is having himself quite the year hitting for a 0.393 wOBA and a 0.167 ISO. Although, the ISO is a little lower for a tournament option, I’m going to bump it up slightly based on his matchup against Robbie Ray.

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    First Baseman: 

    Adam LaRoche (v. Chris Young) – LaRoche’s price listed at $2,200 on FanDuel, puts him in play there. However, on DraftKings, I think he is massively overpriced at $3,700. Although, on FanDuel he certainly makes for a nice value play. Against righties this season, LaRoche holds a 0.345 wOBA, with a 0.188 ISO. LaRoche has also faced Chris Young 30 times in his career, in which, he has four hits and two of them going for home runs. I think he is strictly a tournament play only.

    Second Baseman: 

    Jedd Gyorko (v. Jorge De La Rosa) – Gyorko is minimum price on FanDuel and holds a cheap $2,800 price tag on DraftKings. Gyorko has proven that he can provide short burst of power against left handed pitching. Gyorko has a 0.342 wOBA against left handed pitching and a 0.152 ISO. Gyorko is way to risky in cash games, but will be a sneaky value play on Friday.

    Third Baseman: 

    Kyle Seager (v. Masahiro Tanaka) – The numbers don’t really follow me on this one, but Tanaka has known to struggle at home this season and if he struggles I think Seager could become a big reason why, hitting in the heart of that order. Seager has shown signs of impressive power this season, hitting a grand slam off of Trevor Bauer earlier this year to ruin one of my DFS nights. Clearly, he’s just a tournament option, but I’m not sure a lot of people will be on him and he also has a short porch in left field.

    Shortstop: 

    Adeiny Hechavarria (v. Adam Morgan) – The Marlins are hot right now. Of course, nothing destroys that like a week off from baseball. However, against lefties this season, Hechavarria holds a 0.423 wOBA and a 0.185 ISO. I like the fact that on top of the impressive numbers against left handed pitching that he bats towards the top of the order and will be in a nice run producing spot.

    Outfield: 

    Justin Upton (v. Jorge De La Rosa) – Upton is a cheap $2,700 on FanDuel and has impressive power, however, he is clearly in a slump. I think the all-star break will do Upton some good to get healthy and over the course of his career he has proven at times that he can hit bad lefties really well. I also love the fact that he has multiple home run upside.

    Thanks for reading folks, back to the grind, more coming once all the information is presented to us about who are the starting pitching options.

     

    Next: Top 100 WR in PPR Leagues for 2015

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