Aug 7, 2015; Kansas City, MO, USA; A general view of a baseball and glove prior to a game between the Kansas City Royals and the Chicago White Sox at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
With only six teams (Mets, Cardinals, Rays, Royals, Red Sox, and Giants) in action this afternoon, it limits our options in the FanDuel tournaments. In fact, there will likely be several of the same lineup. I will provide you will all of the previous statistics so you can make an informed decision.
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A couple of the pitchers don’t leave much for us to go on, but so it goes with only four teams in action. This can be used as a guide to what may happen this afternoon. Players without a hit against today’s opponent will not be listed.
NOTE: these picks are based solely on statistics. Some players have never faced their opponents, or have very little experience against them. I am not saying that none of those are good picks. The highest scorer of the day could be someone with no experience against his opponent. This is based on statistical analysis only. If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science.
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Here are my early FanDuel picks for August 29:
Next: The Battery Starts Us Off!
Aug 24, 2015; Phoenix, AZ, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Lance Lynn (31) throws during the first inning against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports
Pitchers:
Jacob deGrom, Mets ($11,500): deGrom has very little experience against the Red Sox. That said, they are hitting .364 with a solo home run off of him in 11 at bats with only two strikeouts. This is a small sample size, so rely more heavily on deGrom’s others stats to weigh your decision.
Lance Lynn, Cardinals ($8,800): The Giants have hit a respectable .268 off of Lynn in 82 at bats with a homer and nine RBI. Lynn has got the last laugh with 22 strikeouts though.
Jake Odorizzi, Rays ($8,600): The current Royals have a .319 average in 47 at bats against their former teammate with two homers and seven RBI with 11 strikeouts. Luckily for him, the guy that has one of the homers and five of the RBI is still on the disabled list (Alex Gordon).
Kris Medlen, Royals ($6,900): The Rays have only faced Medlen 19 times, but they have seven hits (a .368 average) and three RBI while only striking out twice.
Joe Kelly, Red Sox ($6,600): The current Mets are hitting only .233 off of Kelly in 30 at bats with no counting stats and four strikeouts. He looks like a decent option until you realize that the Mets are on fire, and he is facing one of the best pitchers in the National League.
Ryan Vogelsong, Giants ($6,300): Vogelsong has the most history against today’s opponent. The Cardinals have faced him 108 times, posting a .278 average with a homer and eight RBI while striking out 19 times. Those are decent numbers, but he is still a sizeable risk.
My Pick: Lynn
Catcher:
Buster Posey, Giants ($3,000): Here’s hoping that the Giants put Posey in the lineup somewhere. He is 4 for 8 with a walk, a homer, and four RBI against Lynn in his career.
Yadier Molina, Cardinals ($2,600): Yadi has been one of the best bargains in FanDuel at his current price, but he is just 4 for 21 (.190) lifetime against Vogelsong with no counting stats. Four singles and two walks means he is more likely to get negative points than not.
Salvador Perez, Royals ($2,300): If you run out of money, Perez is a decent option. He has two singles and a walk in seven at bats against Odorizzi, but that’s it.
My Pick: Posey. If he doesn’t play, then I’m using Perez.
Next: Up Next: The Corner Infielders!
Aug 28, 2015; St. Petersburg, FL, USA; Kansas City Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer (35) smiles as he works out prior to the game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
First Base:
Brandon Belt, Giants ($3,500): Belt has two singles in six at bats off of Lance Lynn. Not great, but it would still net positive points.
Eric Hosmer, Royals ($3,500): Hosmer is 4 for 7 with a walk and a solo home run against Odorizzi. He is the safest bet at first base this afternoon.
Michael Cuddyer, Mets ($3,000): Cuddy has been on a tear since returning from the DL, and he has two singles and a walk in five at bats against Joe Kelly. The history supports his hot streak continuing.
Mark Reynolds, Cardinals ($2,400): Reynolds is just one for five with a single against Vogelsong. Those stats don’t even support him landing in the starting lineup.
James Loney, Rays ($2,400): Loney is 3 for 7 with a double and a RBI against Kris Medlen.
My Pick: Hosmer
Third Base:
David Wright, Mets ($3,600): Wright has a single in four at bats against Kelly, but he likely will sit in the afternoon game anyway. The Mets gain nothing by wearing him out, especially with the capable Juan Uribe filling in. Speaking of, Uribe has two singles in eight appearances against Kelly for a $2,700 price tag.
Matt Carpenter, Cardinals ($3,500): Carpenter is 5 for 13 (.385) with two walks, a triple, and a RBI against Vogelsong.
Matt Duffy, Giants ($3,100): Duffy has a single and a walk in four at bats against Lynn.
Pablo Sandoval, Red Sox ($2,300): Panda is 1 for 3 with a double against deGrom. Every current Red Sox player that has faced deGrom has a hit!
My Pick: Carpenter
Next: On To The Middle Infield!
Aug 27, 2015; Philadelphia, PA, USA; New York Mets second baseman Daniel Murphy (28) hits a 2 run double during the thirteenth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The Mets defeated the Phillies, 9-5 in 13 innings. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports
Second Base:
Daniel Murphy, Mets ($4,300): Murphy is tearing it up lately, and he is also 2 for 3 with a walk against Joe Kelly. He is a strong bet for crooked numbers today.
Logan Forsythe, Rays ($3,400): Forsythe has two singles in seven appearances against Medlen. What Medlen will do today is anyone’s guess, but the Rays have a good history against him.
Omar Infante, Royals ($2,300): Infante is 1 for 3 with a RBI against Odorizzi. Don’t expect extra bases, but positive points for this price is a good deal.
My Pick: Murphy
Shortstop:
Asdrubal Cabrera, Rays ($3,300): Cabrera has a single in three at bats against Medlen. That would put you .25 points to the good, but that isn’t enough for his price.
Josh Rutledge, Red Sox ($2,400): His stats against deGrom are the same as Cabrera’s against Medlen. The difference is that his chances of duplicating the performance are not nearly as good as Cabrera’s.
Alcides Escobar, Royals ($2,300): Alcides has two singles in six at bats against Odorizzi. That is a solid bargain for the price. I would much rather take a flier on a $2,300 player.
Jhonny Peralta, Cardinals ($2,300): Peralta is 3 for 10 with two walks, a double, and a RBI off of Vogelsong. He has the most potential for a great price!
Pete Kozma, Cardinals ($2,200): He is a perfect 3 for 3 against Vogelsong (all singles) with a RBI. Can he do it again?
My Pick: Escobar. Unfortunately, I can only have four Cardinals….
Next: Last Up: The Outfield
Aug 27, 2015; San Francisco, CA, USA; San Francisco Giants outfielder Nori Aoki (23) attempts to stretch a triple into a home run before being tagged out at the plate against the Chicago Cubs in the seventh inning at AT&T Park. The Giants defeated the Cubs 9-1. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
Outfield:
Jason Heyward, Cardinals ($3,600): Heyward is 4 for 11 with two walks, a double, and a solo home run against Vogelsong. If he is in the Cardinals’ lineup, he should be in yours as well.
Lorenzo Cain, Royals ($3,600): Cain is 2 for 7 with a double against Odorizzi. That doesn’t say enough for me to pay the price for him.
Stephen Piscotty, Cardinals ($3,200): He has a single in three at bats off of Vogelsong.
Hanley Ramirez, Red Sox ($3,000): HanRam is suffering from “shoulder fatigue”, which is not a good sign. He has a solo homer and a walk in three at bats off of deGrom, but there is no way I’m playing him against an ace at less than 100%.
Nori Aoki, Giants ($2,800): Aoki is 4 for 14 with two walks and a RBI off of Lynn. He is cheap enough that he could be worth a shot.
Marlon Byrd, Giants ($2,800): Byrd is 2 for 9 with a double and a RBI against Lynn. He has done pretty well as a Giant so far. He might be worth rolling with again.
Alejandro De Aza, Red Sox ($2,600): He has a single in three at bats against deGrom. He could be worse!
Daniel Nava, Rays ($2,400): Nava has only faced Medlen once. He came away with a RBI double. He is worth a flier if he starts.
My Picks: Heyward, Piscotty, Byrd
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