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College Football Picks Against The Spread Late 9/19

By Mike Marteny

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There are 49 FBS vs. FBS games on this college football Saturday. Want them all picked against the spread? You have come to the right place! I won’t avoid any of them! However, I have installed a points system so you know which ones I am most sure of.

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The point scale will go like this:

5. A lock. I am comfortable making a sizable wager on this game.

4. Very confident. Not quite a lock, but I am comfortable making a decent sized wager on it.

3. Middle of the road. Good enough that I would make a small wager on it.

2. Could go either way. So much so that I wouldn’t bet on it.

1. Stay away from these.

Take note that any games that involve 1-AA teams will NOT be picked. There simply is not enough information to get an accurate spread.

Through two weeks, I am 46-43 against the spread, but +7 in the points system. Just imagine where I would be if I weren’t 0-4 on the five point picks through two weeks! I am still ahead of the bank!

Let’s get to my college football picks against the spread for the late games on September 19:

Just in case you missed the earlier ones:

Thursday-Friday

Noon Kickoffs

Afternoon Kickoffs

Florida(-3.5) at Kentucky(4): The two QB system employed by the Gators still makes me nervous. Kentucky has blown large leads in each of the first two games. If they can get a lead on Florida, I like them to hang on to it at home. I’m taking Kentucky!

California(-6.5) at Texas(4): The Longhorns are a disaster, and the line reflects that. It is up five points, and might rise even higher. The Horns can’t get the offense going, and they are struggling with pass defense. Cal has a NFL-caliber QB in Jared Goff. The only thing that might save Texas is that this is in Austin. I still think Cal covers. I have seen nothing from Texas that says their defense can keep it close.

Rutgers at Penn State(-9.5)(3): If Christian Hackenberg is ever going to rebuild his now non-existent draft stock, it will be here against Rutgers. They were torched by Washington State. Now they have to go into a whiteout without their best player in WR Leonte Carroo. As much as I don’t want to, I have to go with Penn State.

UTEP(-3.5) at New Mexico State(1): I don’t know what to make of UTEP with Aaron Jones out. This is a crushing blow for a team that was probably good enough to make a bowl game with him. I think they can win this game, but as you can see my confidence isn’t nearly as high.

South Alabama at San Diego State(-17.5)(1): South Alabama has some big play ability, so this line looks a little high to me. Give me the Jaguars.

Pittsburgh at Iowa(-5.5)(3): Pitt is sunk without Conner in there. This line has been inching upward, and rightly so. I’m taking Iowa for anything under seven.

Stanford at (6)USC(-9.5)(3): Stanford usually plays USC tough, but the Trojans look unstoppable now and the Stanford offense still doesn’t have me fooled. This looks low. Give me USC.

San Jose State at Oregon State(-7.5)(3): This is also low. Oregon State isn’t as bad as Michigan just made them look. Give me the Beavers.

SMU at (3)TCU(-37.5)(2): Hey now, SMU isn’t nearly as bad as they were last year, and they aren’t just going to give up. This won’t be much of a game, but it shouldn’t be this big of a blowout either. Give me SMU.

Iowa State at Toledo(-7.5)(2): The Rockets get Kareem Hunt back in this one, but will they have a hangover from the biggest win in program history? If they do, the Cyclones are good enough to beat them. I will split the difference and say Rockets by a touchdown.

Wyoming at Washington State(-24.5)(2): This makes me nervous because Washington State’s defense is seriously bad against the run, and Wyoming has a good running back. I tend to think the Cougars won’t cover this. Then again, Eastern Michigan blew out the Cowboys in Laramie. Give me the Leaches, I guess.

(15)Mississippi at (2)Alabama(-7.5)(3): The Tide want revenge, but Mississippi’s defense is talented and nasty. The lack of experience at QB could hurt Alabama here. I like the Rebels to at least keep this within seven, if not win outright.

(19)BYU at (10)UCLA(-16.5)(1): The only thing I know for sure is that BYU is going to lose, but by how much? They have won both games on Hail Marys. This game likely won’t be close enough to give them the chance. Will they lose by 17? I’m not one to mess with divine intervention, if that’s what this is. I will take BYU.

Utah(-14.5) at Fresno State(3): This line opened at even, but with the news that Travis Wilson will likely play, it quickly jumped. Even if the Utes use Wilson sparingly, they still cover this. Fresno’s defense isn’t that good, and the offense won’t be able to move the ball against Utah’s front. Give me the Utes.

Here is the breakdown for the week. I have seven one point games, 15 two point games, 19 three point games, seven four point games, and four five point game for a total possible score of 132 possible points. Of course, I won’t get all of these right. I just want to nail my five pointers to put me at .500 for my picks that are supposed to be locks! I went lighter on the four pointers this week. For the first time, I have the most three point games. Isn’t that the way it should work? Let’s see if it works in my favor.

Stay tuned for our NFL FanDuel picks!

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