NFL Week 3 Odds: 5 best bets against the spread

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Brandon Weeden (3) celebrates towards quarterback Tony Romo (right, in blue) and guard La'el Collins (71) after throwing a touchdown pass in the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Dallas defeated Philadelphia 20-10. Mandatory Credit: James Lang-USA TODAY Sports
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Brandon Weeden (3) celebrates towards quarterback Tony Romo (right, in blue) and guard La'el Collins (71) after throwing a touchdown pass in the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Dallas defeated Philadelphia 20-10. Mandatory Credit: James Lang-USA TODAY Sports /
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Chicago Bears quarterback Jimmy Clausen (8) throws a pass during the second half against the Arizona Cardinals at Soldier Field. Arizona won 48-23. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Wierzbicki-USA TODAY Sports
Chicago Bears quarterback Jimmy Clausen (8) throws a pass during the second half against the Arizona Cardinals at Soldier Field. Arizona won 48-23. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Wierzbicki-USA TODAY Sports /

Chicago Bears (+15) over Seattle Seahawks

I won’t be mad at you if you fade me on this one.

I understand the trepidation in taking Jimmy Clausen on the road in Seattle, and that’s justified. However, I can’t possibly pass on the opportunity to take an NFL team getting more than two (!) touchdowns against an 0-2 opponent. The Seahawks are the much better team here, but the return of Kam Chancellor doesn’t fix everything in a week, and this line is five points too high.

You’ll need a tough stomach in order to back Clausen and the mess that is the Bears, but Chicago is the right side and the sharps will agree.

Miami Dolphins (-2.5) over Buffalo Bills

65 percent of the action (via Vegas Insider) has come in on the Bills… but the line has actually moved a half-point in the direction of the Dolphins. Say it with me, folks, fade the public!

Miami has been unimpressive in both games this year, and while Buffalo was beaten soundly by the Patriots, the Bills are getting a public pass for that no-show. This line would have been somewhere in the area of 4-5 points before the season began, and I haven’t seen enough to indicate that Buffalo is the better team, which is something you’d need to believe to take less than a field goal on the road.

Oh, did I mention that this is Tyrod Taylor’s first road start and the Bills haven’t been able to run the ball all year? Give me the Dolphins and a (rare) favorite in this space.

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