College Football Picks Against The Spread Week 11

By Mike Marteny | Nov 14, 2015

Due to me running out of time this week, I am also giving you the picks against the spread all in one post. That way you parlayers have everything you need this morning.

In case you don’t know what I do here, I pick every college football game of the season. Against the spread. Trust me, it’s not as easy as it sounds! I take the average of the odds from all of the Vegas casinos. I then round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football (soccer).

More from College Football Odds

Last week was a rough week, putting me back under .500 on the season. That is going to change this week!

In case you missed how the point scale works, here is a brief rundown:

5. A lock. I am comfortable making a sizable wager on this game.

4. Very confident. Not quite a lock, but I am comfortable making a decent sized wager on it.

3. Middle of the road. Good enough that I would make a small wager on it.

2. Could go either way. So much so that I wouldn’t bet on it.

1. Stay away from these.

Take note that any games that involve 1-AA teams will NOT be picked. There simply is not enough information to get an accurate spread.

Here are my college football picks against the spread week 11:

Pittsburgh at Duke(-2.5)(2): This line is all over the place, giving me even more of a reason not to trust it. Duke’s defense was picked apart by North Carolina last week. While I don’t think Pitt’s offense can do the same, it is enough to give me doubts. Pitt straight up.

Georgia at Auburn(EVEN)(3): Auburn’s play of late makes this a much tougher pick, but they still have problems stopping the run. I tend to think that Michel will have his way. I have to go with Georgia.

(11)Florida(-7.5) at South Carolina(3): Florida looked awful last week and they were at home. Is South Carolina’s defense as good as Vandy’s? Probably. Give me the Cocks.

North Texas at Tennessee(-41.5)(2): Tennessee is capable of doing this, but will they let off the gas? That makes me apprehensive, hence the two instead of a four. I’m still taking the Vols though.

Tulane at Army(-2.5)(1): I don’t like picking either of these teams. Give me the home team, I guess.

Texas at West Virginia(-8.5)(2): Texas is a really tough team to pick right now. They looked dominant defensively against Oklahoma. Then they looked lost against Iowa State. I tend to think this stays a one score game though. I will take Texas.

(3)Ohio State(-16.5) at Illinois(3): Barrett is back, so the Buckeyes shouldn’t have much trouble covering this. Give me Ohio State.

Kansas at (15)TCU(-44.5)(3): TCU will be looking to make a statement here. They will, but it won’t be by this much. This is a lot of points. Give me Kansas.

Maryland at (13)Michigan State(-14.5)(3): I don’t trust the Spartans to cover anyone. They are 2-7 against the spread this year. Give me the Terps.

Purdue at (18)Northwestern(-14.5)(2): Northwestern isn’t really built to blow anyone out, but neither is Illinois, and they clobbered the Boilers last weekend. Give me Northwestern, I guess.

Middle Tennessee State(-4.5) at Florida Atlantic(2): FAU looked good last week, but that was a rivalry. The Blue Raiders have been the better team. Give me MTSU.

Akron(-6.5) at Miami(OH)(2): Neither team is that good, but Akron looks light years better. I will take the Zips.

UTEP at Old Dominion(-6.5)(1): Both teams picked up an unlikely win last week. UTEP’s was slightly more impressive. Give me the Miners to keep this closer than a touchdown.

North Carolina State at (16)Florida State(-8.5)(3): The Wolfpack have no answer for Dalvin Cook no matter who is handing him the ball. Give me the Seminoles.

Virginia at Louisville(-13.5)(2): This looks a little high. Give me Virginia.

UTSA(-4.5) at Charlotte(2): Roadrunners it is! The Charlotte boycott continues!

Utah State(-1.5) at Air Force(4): This is completely unfounded. Falcons win by at least ten.

Massachusetts(-6.5) at Eastern Michigan(3): I still like the UMass offense. Especially against this “defense”. Give me UMass.

Arkansas State(-14.5) at Louisiana-Monroe(3): The Red Wolves are among the best of the Sun Belt. They should be able to cover this on the road.

Washington at Arizona State(-2.5)(3): I’m not sure I buy into this. I will take Washington straight up. They actually play defense.

Miami(FL) at (23)North Carolina(-12.5)(2): The Hurricanes have played inspired since the firing of Al Golden. I find it hard to bet against them right now. That said, North Carolina has been unstoppable of late. Give me the Heels.

Wake Forest at (4)Notre Dame(-27.5)(3): This looks like too many. Wake has a pretty good defense. Their offense is a wreck though. Give me Wake. Say 27-3 or so.

(1)Clemson(-29.5) at Syracuse(2): This looks too high. If Clemson has any sort of hangover, they won’t cover. Give me Syracuse. They are a bit safer for that large of a line.

(2)Alabama(-7.5) at (17)Mississippi State(2): Well, I picked the Bulldogs straight up in Pick Em, so you know where I’m going here….

(8)Oklahoma State(-13.5) at Iowa State(2): It was in Ames back in 2011 that Oklahoma State’s perfect season was ruined. Could it happen again? Even if it doesn’t, I still like the Cyclones to keep it closer than this. Give me Iowa State.

Florida International at Marshall(10.5)(3): I don’t like the half, but Marshall is the much safer bet.

Nebraska(-8.5) at Rutgers(4): This is way too low. Rutgers’ pass defense is still a mess. The offense isn’t much better, though Carroo will get behind the Nebraska secondary a couple of times. Give me Nebraska.

Kansas State at Texas Tech(-5.5)(4): This looks low. Especially in Lubbock. Give me the Kliffies.

(14)Michigan(-13.5) at Indiana(3): Indiana can’t stop much of anything on defense, and the Wolverines have the best defense they have faced. Give me Michigan.

Georgia Southern(-6.5) at Troy(5): Way too low. Troy winning last week was a fluke. Give me Georgia Southern.

Southern Mississippi(-7.5) at Rice(2): I don’t like the half. I like Rice even less. Give me the Eagles.

SMU at (20)Navy(-20.5)(3): The Navy defense should be good enough to allow the offense to cover this. Give me the Middies.

San Jose State at Nevada(-1.5)(4): This line is backwards. Spartans straight up!

Georgia State at Texas State(-2.5)(2): When in doubt, take the home team!

Kentucky at Vanderbilt(-3.5)(3): I am surprised that Vandy is favored, but they should be. The Kentucky collapse continues. Give me the ‘Dores!

Appalachian State(-18.5) at Idaho(2): This looks like too many for an average team to cover on the road. Give me Idaho.

(22)Temple(-2.5) at South Florida(4): The Bulls have a good defense, but the Owls do too. Give me Temple. They are enough better on offense.

UNLV at Colorado State(-7.5)(2): I have a hard time taking the Rams to cover anyone right now, but UNLV has been dreadful on the road. Give me Colorado State.

(21)Memphis at (24)Houston(-6.5)(3): This may be too many. The Houston D got shredded by a decent Cincinnati offense. Memphis is more than decent. Give me the Tigers.

Arkansas at (9)LSU(-7.5)(3): The LSU defense got gouged by Derrick Henry last week, but Alex Collins hasn’t been the back he was last year. I have to go with LSU at home.

Oregon at (7)Stanford(-9.5)(3): Oregon has been much better lately, but Stanford’s defense always gives them problems. Give me Stanford.

BYU(-5.5) at Missouri(3): Too many. Mizzou is the best D that the Cougars have faced. Give me Missouri at home.

Tulsa at Cincinnati(-17.5)(3): This looks like too many. Tulsa has a good enough offense to put points up to keep this fairly close. Give me Tulsa.

Minnesota at (5)Iowa(-10.5)(4): This is too many. Leidner has taken a huge step forward in the last couple of weeks. This looks like a trap for Iowa. I wouldn’t be all that surprised if Minnesota won outright. Give me the Gophers.

(12)Oklahoma at (6)Baylor(-3.5)(2): This line opened at 7, and has now flatlined at 3. This is one of those games that Oklahoma usually wins in the regular season. I am seriously considering changing my pick em pick. I just have this feeling that we might pull it off. Give me Oklahoma.

(10)Utah(-5.5) at Arizona(5): Way too low. Arizona’s defense is awful, and the offense has been a mess even against average defenses. Utah by double digits!

New Mexico at Boise State(-30.5)(1): I hate lines this big because I know Boise isn’t much above average. Give me New Mexico I guess.

Wyoming at San Diego State(-24.5)(3): Two words: Donnel Pumphrey. Two more words: Aztecs roll.

Oregon State at California(-21.5)(2): The Beaver offense has been anemic with Seth Collins out. I think I have to go with Cal despite the half.

Washington State at (19)UCLA(-9.5)(4): Nope. Wazzu straight up!

Fresno State at Hawaii(-5.5)(1): Yuck. Hawaii I guess…..

Next: ESPN College Pick Em Picks Week 11

For the 58 games this week, I have four one pointers, 20 two pointers, 24 three pointers, eight four pointers and only two five pointers. That gives me a maximum total of 158 points. That is one of my lower totals. I am not as confident in as many games this week. I would like to get about 85-90 points this week. We will see how that goes!