DraftKings Late MLB Picks For August 4

Jul 29, 2016; Atlanta, GA, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Tyrell Jenkins (61) throws a pitch against the Philadelphia Phillies in the third inning at Turner Field. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports /

DraftKings Late MLB Picks For August 4

There are seven night games, and only two of the starting pitchers cost more than $7,500. Should you play one or both? Or should you punt both and use cheaper options? Let’s take a look at the past stats to try and gain an edge!

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NOTE: these picks are based solely on statistics. Some players have never faced their opponents, or have very little experience against them. I am not saying that none of those are good picks. The highest scorer of the day could be someone with no experience against his opponent. This is based on statistical analysis only. If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.

Ariel Miranda will make the start for the Mariners in place of the man in which he was traded for (Wade Miley). The 19 year old Cuban had an ERA just under 4 and AAA Norfolk. I wouldn’t trust him against Boston.

Rookie Tyrell Jenkins has never faced the Pirates, but he has two quality starts in his last three starts. The other was a seven run meltdown in Coors Field, but that happens to even the best of pitchers. You can excuse that. He has a puncher’s chance at a solid game against Pittsburgh, especially with Ryan Vogelsong on the mound for the Bucs.

For you first time players, if you would like $25 worth of free entry tickets, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn that $25 into more!

Next: Pitcher Picks

Jul 25, 2016; Boston, MA, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Drew Pomeranz (31) pitches during the first inning against the Detroit Tigers at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports /

Best Bets:

Drew Pomeranz ($9,400): The Mariners are the Padres’ interleague “rival”, so Pomeranz is no stranger to them. Seattle is hitting just .186 against him in 43 at bats with 11 strikeouts. They have homered twice and scored five runs, but I still trust that strikeout rate to be pretty close to accurate. If you are going to fade Happ, Pomeranz is a great choice due to price and potential.

Kenta Maeda ($6,700): The Rockies are just 7-43(.163) with 17 strikeouts and just one run in two games against him this year. One of those games was at Coors Field. Maeda had a brilliant April and June, and a lackluster May and July. If the trend holds, he should have a great August, and this will be the start of it.

Honorable Mention:

J.A. Happ ($11,600): Happ’s presence down here doesn’t have much to do with his previous stats. It has more to do with him outdoing the field by $2,200 worth. The Astros are hitting .229 against him in 96 at bats, but they have scored ten runs. Of course, they have struck out a few times (17….not really an elite number), and that is why his price is so high. The Astros are swingers. I just don’t think he outdoes the field by that much.

Mike Fiers ($6,500): How much do you trust small sample sizes? This is the test right here. The Blue Jays are just 2-18(.111) against Mike Fiers (five batters) with one run and four strikeouts. Those five batters do include Jose Bautista, Russell Martin, and Edwin Encarnacion. Can he hold them down again? If so, he could be a great bargain tonight.

A.J. Griffin ($5,900): Speaking of small sample sizes, the Orioles are just 4-24(.167) with a homer, two runs, and nine strikeouts against Griffin. Those strikeouts are intoxicating, especially from someone who doesn’t get a ton of them. Which also makes you wonder if it can happen again. If it makes you feel better, Mark Trumbo has four of those strikeouts in eight at bats, and he wont stop swinging anytime soon.

Dark Horses:

Tyler Chatwood ($5,700): Chatwood has been average against the Dodgers. They are hitting .245 against him in 98 at bats with two homers, ten runs, and 15 strikeouts. All of those numbers say average, but average at this price is pretty darn good. That said, Chatwood has a 5.69 ERA at Coors Field this year. How lucky do you feel? (punk)?

Jesse Hahn ($4,400): Hahn’s struggles in the majors are well documented this year (2-4 ,5.53 ERA), but the Angels have been bad against him. Sure, the .241 average is solid, but they have just one solo homer to show for 29 at bats against Hahn. That’s it. All the runs scored. One. Those are pretty good odds, and wow…..the price. If he comes through with 15 points, you are way ahead of the game.

Next: Who Are The Best Stacks?

Jul 31, 2016; St. Petersburg, FL, USA; New York Yankees designated hitter Alex Rodriguez (13) at bat against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Tampa Bay Rays defeated the New York Yankees 5-3. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports /

You have heard our FanDuel experts Matt Rogers and Brian Tulloch talk about “stacking” pieces of a lineup against certain pitchers. Here are the stacks that could work well on DraftKings today, based on past statistics.

I know that Alex Rodriguez ($3,100) is little more than bench fodder for the rebuilding Yankees right now, but they should considering starting him here. If they do, you should play him. ARod is 23-52(.442) with three walks, seven doubles, a triple, eight homers, and an impressive 20 RBI against Bartolo Colon. Mark Teixeira ($3,000) is 12-42(.286) with four walks, two doubles, three homers, and 11 RBI against Colon. Brett Gardner ($4,500) is 3-10 with a homer and four RBI. Even Starlin Castro ($3,000) is 3-6 with a walk and a double. The Yankees beat up Steven Matz last night. They likely will do the same to Colon.

You may want to stack Mets against Nathan Eovaldi. Yoenis Cespedes ($3,900) is 4-11 with a double and two RBI. Curtis Granderson ($3,500) is 4-8 with two homers and three RBI, and he is back at Yankee Stadium. Wilmer Flores ($3,300) is 1-4 with a RBI double. Travis d’Arnaud ($3,100) is 1-4 with two walks and a double.The good news for Eovaldi is that he doesn’t have to tangle with Lucas Duda, David Wright, or Juan Lagares. Those three are a combined 14-40(.350) with three RBI.

The Rangers have absolutely punished Wade Miley. In 149 at bats, they have 30 runs. The average is about one per 10 at bats. The Rangers’ ratio against Miley is double that. Elvis Andrus ($3,300) is 5-15 with three doubles and three RBI. Carlos Beltran ($4,300) is only 2-10, but he has a double and four RBI against Miley. Robinson Chirinos ($3,800) is 2-7 with a double, a triple, and three RBI. He is worth playing if he starts. Delino DeShields ($3,900) is 4-9 with a RBI. Jonathan Lucroy ($4,800) is 4-11 with two walks, a double, a homer, and three RBI. Mitch Moreland ($4,900) is 2-4 with a walk, a homer, and two RBI. Not bad for a lefty-lefty matchup!

Next: More Notes For 8-4

Aug 2, 2016; Atlanta, GA, USA; Atlanta Braves left fielder Matt Kemp (27) in position against the Pittsburgh Pirates in the fifth inning at Turner Field. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports /

Evan Gattis ($3,900) is only 2-9 against J.A. Happ, but he has a homer and four RBI.

A.J. Ellis ($3,000) is only 4-18(.222) against Tyler Chatwood, but he has four walks, a double, a homer, and six RBI.

Freddie Freeman ($4,900) is 7-17(.412) with two homers and four RBI against Ryan Vogelsong. Matt Kemp ($4,400) is 12-39(.308) with four walks, two doubles, a triple, a homer, and seven RBI against his former N.L. West foe.

Mike Trout ($5,100) is 2-4 with three walks and a solo homer against Jesse Hahn. He is the only current Angel to drive in a run against Hahn.

Chris Iannetta ($2,300) is 2-4 with two walks and a solo homer against Drew Pomeranz. Kyle Seager ($3,400) is 2-7 with a homer and two RBI against the fellow lefty.

Adam Jones ($5,000) is riding a hot streak, and he is 1-3 with a solo homer against A.J. Griffin.

Yonder Alonso ($2,900) is 3-8 with two walks, a homer, and three RBI against new Angel Ricky Nolasco. Billy Butler ($3,000) is 5-15 with a walk, a double, and a RBI. How much do you trust him?

Be sure to check out the FanDuel picks from out experts in that area! Brian Tulloch provides the picks, while Matt Rogers tells you where to save in his FanDuel Economics articles. Don’t play FanDuel without them!

Next: DFS Strategy - Take Your Game to the Next Level

Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball!