College Football Picks Against The Spread Evening November 5
College football can be a fickle beast. It is still easier to pick against the spread than the NFL, but when you pick every game, it can get tough. I struggled a bit last week so I still have a big hole to dig myself out of.
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In case you don’t know what I do here, I pick every college football game of the season. Against the spread. Trust me, it’s not as easy as it sounds! I take the average of the odds from all of the Vegas casinos. I then round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football (soccer).
This contains the picks for FBS vs. FBS games only. It is too hard to get an accurate spread on games that involve 1-AA teams.
I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line.
This is for entertainment purposes only! I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions (or limbs) because of my picks. These are a guideline that you can use to help you with your picks. I am a simple man. I can’t have that on my conscience.
This is the biggest week of the season so far with 59 FBS vs. FBS games! The last of them kick off after 6 pm Eastern. We will get to those picks.
Just in case you missed any:
Tuesday-Friday
Early Saturday
Saturday Afternoon
Idaho at Louisiana-Lafayette(-5.5)(2): I don’t buy this. The Vandals have beaten better teams than Lafayette on the road so far this year. Give me Idaho.
South Alabama(-12.5) at Louisiana-Monroe(1): The Jaguars have been terrible on the road. What’s worse than terrible? The Warhawks……anywhere. Give me USA.
Tulane at Central Florida(-16.5)(1): This line opened at -13.5 back on October 7th when it was first scheduled. I’m not sure that Tulane is three points worse than they were then. This seems a tad high to me. UCF wins, but doesn’t cover.
Florida International at Western Kentucky(-32.5)(2): This line has jumped 7.5 points already, and is even higher in two spots, suggesting it could be more by kickoff. I understand it, but it has grown to the point where I am not longer very confident in it. Give me Western Kentucky still. I’m just not as confident in the pick.
Louisiana Tech(-20.5) at North Texas(3): I get that the Mean Green are improving, but the Bulldogs have put on an offensive clinic over the last few weeks. This still seems low. Give me La Tech.
Marshall at Old Dominion(-11.5)(2): Marshall is sad, but I don’t know if the Monarchs are this much better. Oh well, I will still take them at home.
(22)Florida State(-6.5) at North Carolina State(3): The possible hangover from the Clemson game makes me nervous, but it’s hard to just ignore Florida State’s talent. I have to go with the Seminoles.
Hawaii at San Diego State(-21.5)(2): The Warriors usually struggle on the mainland, but that half makes me really nervous. I can’t pick against Pumphrey though. Give me SDSU.
Oregon at USC(-17.5)(2): This line is still rising, but I think it has over-corrected. Oregon has a quarterback now. USC wins, but doesn’t cover.
Kansas at (20)West Virginia(-34.5)(2): That’s a ton of points. You know, the Mountaineers were the last team the Jayhawks beat in conference play….three years ago. Not that it means anything here, just food for thought. Yeah, this is too many. I’ll go Kansas.
Iowa at (12)Penn State(-6.5)(5): Good grief, this is WAY too low. Seriously. I would put ten points on this if I used that scale. This game is not in Iowa City, folks. This line is ridiculous. Penn State by at least 14.
Georgia(-2.5) at Kentucky(2): Quick, who has the better record? BUZZ! WRONG! It’s Kentucky. They will be even after this game. Georgia by about a touchdown.
(1)Alabama(-7.5) at LSU(3): This one just has that feeling to it. You know, like the 2011 game on the Bayou did. The difference here is that LSU already has a couple of losses. I know Bama dominated Leonard Fournette last year, but they did lose a few NFL players off of that defense. LSU is tough at home, especially at night. This will be a one score game. Give me LSU.
East Carolina at Tulsa(-9.5)(2): This line jumped quickly, likely because of how Tulsa looked against Memphis last week. However, ECU put a hurting on UConn as well. This is going to be a very high scoring game. They may even come close to the Oklahoma-Texas Tech game a couple of weeks ago. I also think it stays a one score game. Give me East Carolina.
(10)Nebraska at (6)Ohio State(-17.5)(4): Yeah, this is at least a touchdown too high. As much as it pains me to say it, Nebraska’s defense is better than Oklahoma’s this year. By a lot. Nebraska keeps this close.
Nevada at New Mexico(-14.5)(3): I don’t like that half, but Nevada is seriously bad. New Mexcio has a couple of good backs there that the Wolfpack wont be able to stop. Give me the Lobos.
Utah State at Wyoming(-4.5)(4): Hmmm…..this looks low. Utah State has had all kinds of issues on defense lately, and the Cowboys are flying high. Give me Wyoming at home.
(5)Washington(-17.5) at California(3): Washington is going to be glad to see a bad defense on the other side of the ball. That hasn’t happened in a while. Huskies by at least a touchdown more than this line. This gets ugly.
Next: ESPN College Pick Em Picks Week 10
This week I have a lot of one point games (13), and bet lower at the top end. Will it help? The final tally is 13 one pointers, 23 two pointers, 17 three pointers, four four pointers, and two five pointers. Good luck out there, and hopefully I can help some of you!