Skip to main content

Allstate Sugar Bowl Odds And Prediction

Oct 8, 2016; Dallas, TX, USA; Oklahoma Sooners wide receiver Dede Westbrook (11) and quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) celebrate a touchdown in the third quarter against the Texas Longhorns at Cotton Bowl. Oklahoma won 45-40. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 8, 2016; Dallas, TX, USA; Oklahoma Sooners wide receiver Dede Westbrook (11) and quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) celebrate a touchdown in the third quarter against the Texas Longhorns at Cotton Bowl. Oklahoma won 45-40. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
Allstate Sugar Bowl
Oct 29, 2016; Oxford, MS, USA; Auburn Tigers running back Kamryn Pettway (36) carries the ball to score a touchdown during the first quarter of the game against the Mississippi Rebels at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

Allstate Sugar Bowl Odds And Prediction

Bowl season winds down with four games today. Then we only have the championship game left on January 9th. It has been a wild ride during bowl season so far. What does today have in store for us? The last one before the championship is the Allstate Sugar Bowl.

More from College Football Odds

You will still get my picks against the spread and point wagers just like I did all season long. I didn’t have a great regular season, but I can make it look a whole lot better with a strong bowl season! It was a decent start on Saturday, but just in case you missed any:
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Geico Las Vegas Bowl
Raycom Camellia Bowl
AutoNation Cure Bowl
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Miami Beach Bowl
Boca Raton Bowl
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Popeyes Bahamas Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
St. Petersburg Bowl
Quick Lane Bowl
Camping World Independence Bowl
Zaxby’s Heart Of Dallas Bowl
Northrup Grumman Military Bowl
National Funding Holiday Bowl
Motel 6 Cactus Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Russell Athletic Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
AdvoCare V100 Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Belk Bowl
Valero Alamo Bowl
AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl
Capital One Orange Bowl
Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl
TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
Chick Fil A Peach Bowl
PlayStation Fiesta Bowl
Outback Bowl
Goodyear Cotton Bowl
Northwestern Mutual Rose Bowl

Allstate Sugar Bowl
Dec 3, 2016; Norman, OK, USA; The Oklahoma Sooners celebrate winning the Big 12 Conference Championship after defeating the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark D. Smith-USA TODAY Sports

(14)Auburn vs. (7)Oklahoma(-2.5) at New Orleans, LA(5): 

Auburn(8-4, 5-3 SEC):

Wins: vs. Arkansas State(51-14), vs. LSU(18-13), vs. Louisiana-Monroe(58-7), at Mississippi State(38-14), vs. Arkansas(56-3), at Mississippi(40-29), vs. Vanderbilt(23-16), vs. Alabama A&M(55-0)

Losses: vs. Clemson(13-19), vs. Texas A&M(16-29), at Georgia(7-13), at Alabama(12-30)

Record vs. bowl teams: 5-4

The Tigers will be remembered as the straw that broke Les Miles’s back. Auburn hit their  stride once the team decided on quarterback Sean White. Jeremy Johnson still sees snaps in certain packages, and likely will against an Oklahoma team that struggles with mobile quarterbacks. Kamryn Pettway is a game changing back, but few realize that Kerryon Johnson had nearly as many carries at Pettway and gained nearly 900 yards. Johnson also scored 11 times to Pettway’s 7. Can this solid defense handle the high-powered Sooners offense?

Oklahoma(10-2, 9-0 Big 12(10):

Wins: vs. Louisiana-Monroe(59-17), at TCU(52-46), vs. Texas(45-40), vs. Kansas State(38-17), at Texas Tech(66-59), vs. Kansas(56-3), at Iowa State(34-24), vs. Baylor(45-24), at West Virginia(56-28), vs. Oklahoma State(38-20)

Losses: vs. Houston(23-33), vs. Ohio State(24-45)

Record vs. bowl teams: 5-2

The Oklahoma defense improved after the Texas Tech debacle, but they still wont be confused with a Mike Stoops best anytime soon. This was Oklahoma’s best chance at a title since 2003, but the opening loss on a “neutral” field in Houston destroyed that. And let’s be honest. If a team comes in and kicks you around your own house like Ohio State did, you don’t deserve a title shot. You need to at least put up a fight. That game was not as close as the score indicates.

That said, Oklahoma has possibly the best tandem of backs anywhere in Samaje Perine and Joe Mixon. Baker Mayfield could have won the Heisman with enough plugging from ESPN, and Dede Westbrook was possibly better than Sterling Shepard last year. This offense is nearly impossible to stop.

Prediction:

Something has to give here. Oklahoma has been notoriously bad in bowl games the last decade, with the only exception being the Sugar Bowl against Alabama in Trevor Knight’s freshman year. Auburn has lost seven of the last eight to top ten teams, with the exception being the Kick Six in the Iron Bowl. Which can show up on the National Stage tonight?

Oklahoma has by far the better offense. Auburn has by far the better defense. However, this line is way too low. Oklahoma was only held under 24 points once. That was in the sloppy opener against Houston. Auburn’s offense will look good in this game, but it will be more a product of the iffy Oklahoma defense. This could wind up being high scoring, but that favors the Sooners. I see a ten point win. The only out of conference foes they show up for anymore is the SEC.

Pick: Oklahoma

Next: 2016 Capital One Bowl Mania Picks

Stay tuned for the rest of the bowl picks against the spread, and our DFS picks for the NBA, NFL, and even some NHL action! We have something for everyone.

Loading recommendations... Please wait while we load personalized content recommendations