DraftKings Early MLB Picks For April 27

Seven of the 11 games today occur in the afternoon on Getaway Day. The early tournament is larger DraftKings tournaments today, and there are three sure aces going. Are any of them worth paying for? Where can we find some value in hitters? Let’s check out some past stats!

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The money line in the early tournament was at 119.55, which is a pretty solid score. My exposure to Brewers-Reds helped me stay in the hunt, but using a couple of Royals instead of White Sox and Lance McCullers over Jose Quintana was enough to knock me off the pace.

The winning lineup was a solid score of 190. He used both Trevor Bauer and Quintana along with hitters who all had double digit points. Scott Schebler and Orlando Arcia were both in the 20’s!

NOTE: these picks are based solely on statistics. Some players have never faced their opponents, or have very little experience against them. I am not saying that none of those are good picks. The highest scorer of the day could be someone with no experience against his opponent. This is based on statistical analysis only. If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.

For you first time players, if you would like $10 worth of free entry tickets, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn that $10 into more!

Next: DraftKings Main Lineup 1

P: Noah Syndergaard ($12,700): The Braves are hitting an impressive .288 against Noah Syndergaard, but the .315 wOBA tells a different story. They have just three extra base hits in 66 at bats while striking out 18 times. That high strikeout percentage is why Thor is so expensive, but it should be worth it. If he does give up any runs, he will be able to limit the damage.

P: Gio Gonzalez ($6,500): Feeling brave? There have been 54 runs scored in the first three games of this series by the two teams. Colorado was held to four last night, and could be held to even less today if you believe past stats. The Rockies are hitting a pathetic .167(7-42) against Gonzalez with just one home run and a whopping 16 strikeouts. That kind of strikeout potential should help limit the damage. Kind of like Wily Peralta yesterday, I’m hoping for Gonzalez to last five innings and pilfer the win.

C: Yadier Molina ($3,400): Molina is 12-34(.353) with three doubles, a homer, five runs scored, and five RBI in his career against Mat Latos. Latos was serviceable in his return to the majors in his first outing, but the Cardinals are familiar with him from his time with the Reds. Is a Cardinal stack in order?

1B: Freddie Freeman ($4,300): Robert Gsellman kept his slot even after the rainout, which means Noah Syndergaard will take the hill a day late. That is just fine with Freeman, just so long as he gets to face him. Freeman is 5-9 with a double, a triple, a homer, and four RBI against Thor.

2B: Robinson Cano ($4,100): Cano doesn’t care that Verlander is an ace. He is 13-44(.295) with three walks, three doubles, a triple, a homer, a steal, six runs scored, and three RBI against him. With Verlander in a bit of a rough stretch anyway, it could be worse loading up on Mariners. Just be ready to retool your lineup if it is rained out.

3B: Kyle Seager ($3,800): Seager has been available to pinch hit over the last two games despite not making an appearance. Signs point to him starting today, but make sure he is in the lineup before lock. If Seager is active, I want him in there. He is 6-14(.429) with two walks, three doubles, two homers, three runs scored, and an impressive seven RBI against Justin Verlander. Verlander has given up 13 runs in his last two starts. With Seattle hitting .259 with four homers and 19 RBI in 143 at bats, Verlander could be in for another rough outing.

SS: Freddy Galvis ($3,300): Galvis has been impressive against Edinson Volquez so far. He is 4-7 with a walk, two doubles, a homer, two runs, two RBI, and a ridiculous .762 wOBA. Only five current Phillies have faced Volquez, but they are hitting .379 off of him. Stack away if you are fading Coors!

OF: Yoenis Cespedes ($4,200): Cespedes is only 6-22(.273) agianst Dickey, but he has two doubles, a triple, a homer, three runs scored, and two RBI. against him. You aren’t docked for strikeouts on DraftKings, so a free swinger like Cespedes wont hurt.

OF: Nelson Cruz ($4,200): Cruz is only 7-31(.226) against Justin Verlander, but he has a walk, two doubles, a homer, and five RBI off of him. Stacking this many against a pitcher priced this highly does make me a little nervous, but it’s hard to ignore Verlander’s recent struggles. I’m going to take the stack less traveled and hope for the best.

OF: Jay Bruce ($3,500): Bruce is 5-13 with two doubles, a homer, two runs scored, and two RBI against Dickey. The weather is still cool enough that Dickey’s knuckler isn’t really dancing yet. That could be bad news for him against his former team.

Next: DraftKings Main Lineup 2

P: Corey Kluber ($10,000): This is a tough one because Mike Fiers has been brilliant against the Indians. They are hitting just .186 against him with two runs in 43 at bats. Kluber has held the Astros to a .206 average in 97 at bats, but they have homered off of him twice and scored 12 runs. The reason I’m going with Kluber is because Fiers is off to a slow start, and Kluber has a whopping 27 strikeouts against the Astros in that span. He can really rack up the points there.

P: Julio Urias ($8,800): Urias has been shredding AAA, so the logical step is to see if he can do it in the majors. He struggled early on last year, but picked it up down the stretch. He is likely still on an innings limit so he wont go very deep in the game, but the enormous strikeout potential is still there. The Giants had four hits, including a Brandon Belt home run, against him last year, but he also struck out five in four innings without issuing a walk. I like the potential here against a team that is struggling to score runs.

C: Brian McCann ($4,100): McCann is 2-6 with a solo homer against Corey Kluber in his career. Most of the backups today don’t have much of a history at all. McCann is more of a sure thing, so I will roll the dice with him.

1B: Victor Martinez ($3,300): Martinez is off to a slow start, but he does have five hits in the last three games. He has also crushed Hisashi Iwakuma in his career. Martinez is 7-18(.389) with two walks, a double, two homers, two runs scored, and six RBI against him. He could keep his little hot streak going, and perhaps notch his first homer of the season.

2B: Ian Kinsler ($3,900): Kinsler is another Tiger that has hit Iwakuma hard. He is 13-34(.382) with three walks, two doubles, three solo homers, and eight runs scored. He has even stolen a base! If this game isn’t rained out, it could be a high scoring affair. A Tigers stack is an affordable alternative to Coors Field.

3B: Nick Castellanos ($3,400): Castellanos is 5-10 with a walk, a double, and a solo homer off of Iwakuma. He boasts a .605 wOBA, which is the highest on the Tigers against Iwakuma. Detroit could score a lot of runs today.

SS: Asdrubal Cabrera ($3,500): Cabrera has cooled off a bit, but he may get back going tonight. Cabrera has destroyed R.A. Dickey in his career. He is 6-18 with three walks, a double, a triple, two homers, five runs scored, and six RBI off of him. He seems cheap considering the past history.

OF: Bryce Harper ($6,200): Antonio Senzatela has actually pitched better at home than on the road. However, he has been good everywhere. He is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in his first four major leagues starts. The problem is he has faced the struggling Giants twice and the light-hitting Padres once. I get the impression that a stat correction is coming. Harper is coming off of a four hit game last night. He could beat on the Rockies again.

OF: Marcell Ozuna ($3,600): Most of the Marlins have struggled against Jeremy Hellickson, but Ozuna is the exception. He is only 5-20, but he has two walks, three doubles, a homer, five runs scored, and three RBI. The only other Marlin I would consider is Dee Gordon. Giancarlo Stanton is just 1-15(.067) against Hellickson.

OF: Yasiel Puig ($3,200): Puig is only 2-7 against Matt Moore, but he has a homer, two runs scored, and three RBI against him. This was the 2016 version of Yasiel Puig. You know, the one that struggled, was benched, caused drama, and has just a generally awful season. The 2017 version of Puig seems to be genuinely enjoying himself, and his stats are showing it.

Next: DFS Strategy - Take Your Game to the Next Level

Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our NBA, PGA, and EPL picks!