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Fantasy Baseball: On Chaos Day, Who Are The Best DraftKings Picks For July 14?

By Mike Marteny

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JUNE 30: Jacob deGrom #48 of the New York Mets gets ready to throw a pitch in the first inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citi Field on June 30, 2017 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JUNE 30: Jacob deGrom #48 of the New York Mets gets ready to throw a pitch in the first inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citi Field on June 30, 2017 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images) /
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DraftKings MLB Picks For July 14

This slate is all out chaos. As opposed to Opening Day, all 30 teams are in action today for the unofficial beginning of the second half of the season. I hereby dub this Chaos Day! While some of the aces are out because of the All Star Game, we still have the likes of Carrasco, deGrom, Verlander, and Cueto on the stage. It is also a tough DraftKings tournament for us. The people who play on DraftKings for a living have had nearly a week to tweak every algorithm and input every stat. Do we stand a chance? Of course we do! DraftKings tournaments are chaos be it 15 game slates or two game slates. Anything can happen if you take the right chances. Let’s hit some stats!

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These picks are based mostly on statistical analysis . If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.

For you first time players, if you would like $10 worth of free entry tickets, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn that $10 into more!

Next: DraftKings Late Lineup

DraftKings
LOS ANGELES, CA – JUNE 20: Brandon McCarthy #38 of the Los Angeles Dodgers pitches to the New York Mets during the first inning at Dodger Stadium on June 20, 2017 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) /

P: Jacob deGrom ($11,800): deGrom was outstanding in June, and has been really good at home all year long. He is 4-2 with a 2.56 ERA in eight home starts. The Rockies are hitting just .120 off of him in 75 at bats with two homers, only three runs, and an impressive 17 strikeouts. Given the June he had and as much as the Rockies have struggled off of him, I trust deGrom more than anyone else on Friday night. He has to be in my lineup!

P: Brandon McCarthy ($6,900): This looks way too cheap for McCarthy. He stumbled some coming into the break, but he dominated the Marlins earlier in the season, giving up just one run on three hits in six innings while striking out five. Marlins Park is one of the few stadiums that gives him a park upgrade, so expect a strong start at a very low price for McCarthy Friday night.

C: Wilson Ramos ($3,100): Playing anyone against Ricky Nolasco is usually a good idea. Here we get Ramos with a cheap price tag tonight against Nolasco. He has three homers since June 30th against a pitcher that gives up plenty of them. For this low of a price, I’ll roll with Ramos.

1B: Matt Carpenter ($3,800): This price looks like a steal for Carpenter, who is already 12-32(.375) with three walks, a double, four homers, seven runs scored, and six RBI in his career against Gerrit Cole. Cole has had an up and down season, but he has been mostly good against the Cardinals. He has only allowed three runs in 12 innings over two starts.

2B: Robinson Cano ($4,200): The All Star MVP against a fly ball pitcher in a hitter’s park for a pretty low price? Sign me up! Oh, and Cano is 37-90(.411) with seven walks, nine doubles, two triples, five homers, a steal, 15 runs scored, and a whopping 17 RBI against James Shields. That doesn’t hurt his value any.

3B: Kyle Seager ($3,300): Seager is 7-17(.412) with three walks, three homers, five runs scored, and eight RBI in his career against James Shields. Like Cano, Seager looks super cheap here. If he is going to get his power stroke going, the past stats say that it is likely to happen against Shields at a hitter’s park.

SS: Tzu-Wei Lin ($2,200): The Yankees still have not announced a starter coming out of the break, but it really doesn’t matter who it is, right? Linsanity is strong in Boston right now. With injuries and ineffectiveness at third base, and Bogaerts still possibly nursing a sore wrist, there will be plenty of at bats for Lin in the short term. He is 13-39 on the season with two triples, a steal, and two RBI. He isn’t going to rack up a ton of DraftKings points, but he is practically guaranteed five points for almost the bare minimum. You can do worse.

OF: Andrew McCutchen ($4,900): Let’s hope the break didn’t cool McCutchen off. He has 103 DraftKings points in just nine July games. He is also 22-83(.265) with five walks, two doubles, two homers, ten runs scored, and six RBI in his career against Leake. He also has stolen a base off of him!

OF: Dexter Fowler ($4,300): Fowler should be very well rested after a stint on the DL, then the All Star break after two games back. He is 7-25(.280) with two walks, a double, two homers, four steals, four runs scored, and two RBI against Cole. He could be what the Cardinal offense was missing for much of the last month starting tonight!

OF: George Springer ($5,500): Springer was on a tear heading into the break. Houston is one of the few teams that has managed to get anything against Jose Berrios this year. Springer was the one that did the bulk of the damage, hitting a double and a homer against him and driving in three. Springer is likely worth paying up for here.

Next: DraftKings Lineup 2

DraftKings
MINNEAPOLIS, MN – JUNE 16: Carlos Carrasco #59 of the Cleveland Indians delivers a pitch against the Minnesota Twins during the first inning of the game on June 16, 2017 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images) /

P: Carlos Carrasco ($12,100): Oakland is hitting just .209 against Carrasco in 67 at bats with only two homers and four runs to go with 20 strikeouts. This offense has struck out more this year than in past years, but I don’t know if I would expect that pace to keep up. What I would expect is a strong game from Carrasco with the park upgrade in Oakland as well.

P: Jake Faria ($8,200): Faria has started off his major league career with six straight quality starts. Not bad, huh? He is 4-0 with a 2.11 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 38.1 innings. There is some risk involved here. The Angels are a solid, but not great, offense. However, it appears as though Mike Trout will be back in action. I tend to think that he will be a little rusty, so I am okay with rolling Faria out there in a solid pitcher’s park against an average offense and a great chance to win opposite Ricky Nolasco.

C: Stephen Vogt ($3,200): Vogt has already slugged four home runs in just 22 at bats as a member of the Brewers. He has the better side of the platoon, and should be in there against Phillies rookie Nick Pivetta. Miller Park is tailored for left handed power, so if you can afford Thames and Shaw, they are both good plays as well.

1B: Kendrys Morales ($3,500): I know, I know. First base is a loaded position, yet I’m going cheap in both lineups. Why? Because these stats are simply too good to ignore. Morales is 13-43(.302) with four doubles, two homers, six runs scored, and ten RBI in his career against Justin Verlander. Verlander pitched a gem against Cleveland at home just before the break, so I am not feeling as good about this as I was about a week ago. At any rate, If you need to save money, Morales is a great choice without taking too much of a step down.

2B: Paul DeJong ($2,600): DeJong homered in all three games against the Mets prior to the All Star Break. Let’s hope the break didn’t cool him off any because at this price, he may be the best bargain on the board. Gerrit Cole is starting to come around, but DeJong has nine homers in only 128 at bats this year. Use him before his power fades!

3B: Freddie Freeman ($4,900): Freeman has smacked five homers in 52 home at bats this year, and is a great threat to take Taijuan Walker deep here. He had two homers in the last three games before the break against a good Nationals pitching squad. It appears the rust is off, and Freeman is good to roll with again. The best part? He is now eligible at third base!

SS: Addison Russell ($3,300): Due to the struggles of Kevin Gausman, I am all over cheap Cubs tonight. Rizzo, Happ, and Bryant will all be highly played, and rightfully so. I am going to try to gain some separation on the cheap. Russell is a great place to start.

OF: Steven Souza ($4,300): Souza is 3-6 with a double, two homers, three runs scored, and two RBI in his career already against Ricky Nolasco. Nolasco has had a few good games this year, but he has had mostly clunkers. He will get some strikeouts against the Rays, but this team is stacked with strong lefties, and righties that have hit him well. It could be a short night for Nolasco again.

OF: David Peralta ($4,200): Peralta gets to travel to one of the few parks that is actually more favorable to left handed power than his own. The caveat here is that he has never faced knuckleballer R.A. Dickey before, but Dickey has surrendered nine homers in 57 innings at home this year. I’m taking Peralta for a reasonable price with a equally reasonable price to go deep.

OF: Kyle Schwarber ($3,700): Kevin Gausman has not been able to capture what made him one of the better pitching prospects around. He has been roughed up for a 5.85 ERA this year, though it has been better at home. Still, Camden Yards is a great hitter’s park when the weather is warm, which is what it will be tonight. Schwarber has looked much better upon his return to the majors. I’m willing to see if that continues for this bargain price.

Next: FanDuel MLB Picks and Pivots

Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our PGA picks. We also have plenty of NFL stuff to get you ready for football!