Early DraftKings MLB Picks August 12: Luis Severino Is Worth The Premium Price

OAKLAND, CA – AUGUST 11: Ubaldo Jimenez #31 of the Baltimore Orioles pitches against the Oakland Athletics in the bottom of the first inning at Oakland Alameda Coliseum on August 11, 2017 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) /

DraftKings Early MLB Picks For August 12

There are only three afternoon games today, so the pickings are pretty slim. However, we have two aces out there. Should we try to cram both into one lineup? There a couple of good stacking options out there, so it is possible.

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The money line last night was at 117.45. That’s a solid total considering a large majority had a piece of the Nationals/Giants game. That destroyed my lineup with Harper in it. The other was done in by Nick Pivetta. Ugh.

The winning lineup was pretty steady at 217.4. He won big with the outstanding start from Ubaldo Jimenez and Carlos Carrasco. His Brewers stack with Votto put him over the top.

These picks are based mostly on statistical analysis . If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.

For you first time players, if you would like $10 worth of free entry tickets, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn that $10 into more!

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HOUSTON, TX – AUGUST 01: Chris Archer #22 of the Tampa Bay Rays pitches in the first inning against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park on August 1, 2017 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images) /

P: Luis Severino ($11,800): Drew Pomeranz is kind of tempting as well since the Yankees haven’t exactly hit lefties hard. However, Pomeranz has allowed six runs (five earned) in 11 innings against the Yankees this year. Severino has only allowed one run to the Red Sox in 14 innings this year. It is worth paying up for him here.

P: Chris Archer ($10,300): Cleveland is hitting a solid .256 off of Archer in 117 at bats with seven homers and 19 RBI. However, Archer has a 3.32 home ERA this year. The Indians have only scored nine runs in five games this week. I will pay for Archer over Pomeranz and the struggling Jose Berrios. And for those of you thinking about Mike Clevinger because of the massive park upgrade, he has a 8.16 ERA in the second half. There was a reason Cleveland moved him to the bullpen.

C: Wilson Ramos ($2,500): I purposely left $100 open so I can move up to Jesus Sucre if Ramos sits. Ramos has the more potential of the two, but either one is a strong play at the price against the struggling Clevinger.

1B: Joe Mauer ($3,600): Jordan Zimmerman has struggled against lefties this year. Mauer is hitting .281 against righties this year with a .374 OBP. He may not have much for power left, but he should get on base and still hits in a favorable lineup slot. If the Twins beat up on Zimmerman, Mauer will be in the middle of it.

2B: Brad Miller ($3,000): Miller has enough power to hit it out of anywhere. Despite playing in a pitcher’s park, Miller has four of his five homers at home, and is hitting 67 points higher at home. I definitely want him for this price against a struggling pitcher like Clevinger.

3B: Evan Longoria ($3,800): Longoria is still arguably the best hitter in the Tampa lineup. If you are stacking against Clevinger like I am, he should be in your lineups as well.

SS: Adeiny Hechavarria ($2,600): What better place to punt than against the worst pitcher of the afternoon? Okay, so its a toss up between Clevinger and Zimmerman, but the Twins’ shortstops are much more expensive. If you are looking for the silver lining, Hechavarria does have 24 DraftKings points over the last three games. He had 18 in the previous seven combined.

OF: Max Kepler ($4,600): Kepler has singled twice, walked twice, and scored a run in five career at bats against Jordan Zimmerman. He has also crushed right handed pitching this year. Kepler is hitting .285 against right handed pitching and has racked up 57 DraftKings points over the last five games. All of that was against right handed pitching.

OF: Corey Dickerson ($4,200): Dickerson is leading off for one of the better offenses of the day. If you can’t afford Dozier, Dickerson should be in there. If you can afford both, then by all means, do it!

OF: Byron Buxton ($3,500): Buxton doesn’t carry the platoon advantage here. However, since I am paying up for pitching, I can’t afford the power of Brian Dozier. I will go with Buxton, who has caught fire of late. He went 5-18 with two RBI and two steals in the series against the Brewers. All of the hits were singles, but we don’t care if he is driving in runs. He is hitting .290 with only eight strikeouts, which was his major issue, in the last ten games.

Next: DraftKings MLB Main Slate Picks

Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our PGA picks. We also have plenty of NFL stuff to get you ready for football!