Main DraftKings Picks August 17: Severino Has A Great Chance To Rebound

DENVER, CO – JULY 23: Trevor Story #27 of the Colorado Rockies circles the bases after hitting a 2 RBI home run in the sixth inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Coors Field on July 23, 2017 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) /

DraftKings Late MLB Picks For August 17

Our split slate on DraftKings means five more night games for the main tournament. We also have two aces on this slate, but there aren’t as many great stacking options. Does that mean we should pay for pitching then? Let’s check some stats!

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The money line last night was up a bit to 119.6. My lineup without Indians made it in easily. Even the one that had the Indians stack was close, even with four zeroes in it. If only I had Morton over Hamels in the other one!

The winning lineup was all the way up to 243.35 DraftKings points. He got great value from Charlie Morton, and hit big with Jon Gray at Coors. He also stacked Rockies, picking up 131 DraftKings points from his five Rockies!

These picks are based mostly on statistical analysis . If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.

For you first time players, if you would like a bonus of 25% of your first deposit, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn those DraftKings dollars into more!

Next: DraftKings Late Lineup

LOS ANGELES, CA – AUGUST 12: Jhoulys Chacin #46 of the San Diego Padres throws a pitch in the second inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium on August 12, 2017 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images) /

P: Luis Severino ($12,500): Severino was rocked by Boston in his last start, but the Mets are not Boston. The Mets have only scored 37 runs in the last 11 games. Despite that hiccup last Saturday, Severino still has a 3.75 ERA over his last ten games. He should get back on track in a big way tonight.

P: Jhoulys Chacin ($6,000): Yes, it’s the Nationals, but Chacin is at home. There is no way he should be the cheapest pitcher on the table, but I will gladly take it! If Chacin made all 32 starts at Petco Park, he would win the Cy Young Award. Chacin is 7-2 with a 1.86 EA in 12 home starts this year. In fact, he has been good everywhere lately, only allowing more than two runs twice in his last 12 starts. The Nats are without Goodwin and Harper still, so they aren’t as strong as usual. At any rate, Chacin can be written in for a quality start, and he is still this cheap!

C: Gary Sanchez ($5,400): The Mets keep rolling with Steven Matz, despite his unsightly 9.51 ERA over his last ten starts. Matz may get back on track at some point, but don’t count on it happening against the Yankees. Sanchez has three homers in the last eight games, and is a strong threat to add to that total against Matz.

1B: Jose Abreu ($4,000): It’s easy to forget about Abreu because of how consistent he is. The White Sox offense isn’t as horrid as most writers seem to think it is, and Abreu is a large part of the reason why. Tyson Ross has improved some lately, but it’s easy to improve when your ERA is on the wrong side of 9. He still has a 7.11 ERA in seven starts. The White Sox are a nice alternate stack if you aren’t into paying up for the Yankees or don’t trust the Pirates.

2B: Yoan Moncada ($3,500): Moncada’s overall numbers still are not great, but he is hitting .297 with three homers and six RBI over the last ten games. He is still striking out at an alarming rate, but strikeouts don’t count against us. We are just here for the hits he will likely get against Ross.

3B: Todd Frazier ($3,300): Frazier is 2-9 against Steven Matz so far in his career. I know, that’s nothing special. However, both hits have left the yard. Frazier has started to settle in some as a Yankee. He has five RBI in the last seven games.

SS: Jordy Mercer ($2,900): Mercer is 6-26(.231) with two walks, a double, two homers, three runs scored, and three RBI against Adam Wainwright. Looking at this slate, the only obvious stack is against Matz. However, Wainwright could be an underrated stack. He has a 7.00 ERA in 11 road starts, so the Pirates are cheap and have some potential, even in a pitcher’s park.

OF: Dexter Fowler ($4,800): Fowler is destroying anything that looks like a baseball right now. Hide your snow globes, Christmas ornaments, and other round shaped objects! Fowler has four multi-hit games in his last nine, and is 8-19 with a homer and eight RBI in that span. Jameson Taillon has been good lately, but he has surrendered six runs to the Cards in just 11 innings this season. Fowler looks like a safer play than Judge, even though he lacks the power upside.

OF: Andrew McCutchen ($4,600): McCutchen is 17-59(.288) with three walks, six doubles, a triple, two homers, nine runs scored, and nine RBI in his career against Adam Wainwright. McCutchen’s price has gone down some, but he still remains a strong play against Wainwright just like most of his teammates.

OF: Jose Pirela ($3,000): Edwin Jackson has been taking turns with Bartolo Colon at that Fountain of Youth. He has a 3.86 ERA in ten starts for the Nationals, and returns to Petco Park. However, Jackson was never that great at home with the Padres. He has a 4.31 ERA there in 15 career starts. Meanwhile, Pirela boasts a .324 average with three homers and seven RBI over his last ten games. There is no way he should be this cheap either.

Next: DraftKings MLB Early Slate Picks

Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our PGA picks. We also have plenty of NFL stuff to get you ready for football!