College Football Picks Against The Spread Afternoon October 14, 2017

TAMPA, FL – JANUARY 7: The National Championship Trophy during the College Football Playoff National Championship Media Day on January 7, 2017 at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images) /

College Football Picks Against The Spread Afternoon October 14, 2017

I had a solid week again in week 6 of the college football season. I am now 33 games above .500 on the season and 91 betting points to the good. Things are looking up, but there is a lot of college football left with conference play in full swing.

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For those of you that are new here, I put myself out there every week. For the last six years, I have picked every single college football game. Sounds easy, right? I thought so too. So I have picked them all against the spread. That significantly increases the degree of difficulty.

I take the average of the odds from the six major Vegas casinos and round that to the nearest half point. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.

Some sites will sell you top ten picks for a fee. Some will even give you a couple of free picks to lure you in. This is every game picked, all for free.

This contains the picks for FBS vs. FBS games only. It is too hard to get an accurate spread on games that involve 1-AA teams.

I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line. I am up 27 points after the first two weeks so far.

I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions, significant others, or limbs to a loan shark. This is for entertainment purposes only! I am a simple person. I cannot have that on my conscience.

We have 59 college football games this weekend, and none of them feature FBS vs. FCS schools. That means we have our largest betting week of the season. 20 of those games kick off between 3:30 and 5 pm eastern. We will cover those picks here.

DENVER, CO – SEPTEMBER 19: Ralphie leads the Colorado Buffaloes onto the field to face the Colorado State Rams during the Rocky Mountain Showdown at Sports Authority Field at Mile High on September 19, 2015 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images) /

Purdue at (7)Wisconsin(-16.5)(2): I guess the question here becomes: is Purdue’s run defense better than Nebraska’s? You know Wisconsin will try and run the ball most of the game here as well. If it were in West Lafayette, I think I would take the Boilers, but this is entirely different at Camp Randall. I’ll take Wisconsin.

(10)Auburn(-7.5) at LSU(3): Auburn hadn’t allowed more than 14 points in any game until garbage time against Ole Miss last week, and that included a game against Clemson. This defense is outstanding, and a one dimensional offense such as LSU wont be able to get a lot going here. I am lowering the bet because of the half, but I’m still pretty confident in Auburn here.

Georgia Tech at (11)Miami(FL)(-6.5)(5): This looks low. Just because Tech trampled North Carolina’s sad defense doesn’t mean they are good enough to do the same to Miami. The Hurricanes look pretty balanced right now. If Tech ends up having to play catch up, they are in a heap of trouble. Hurricanes pull away here.

(12)Oklahoma(-9.5) vs. Texas at Dallas(3): I’m not really sure why this line is on the rise. The fact that Oklahoma hasn’t lost back to back regular season games since October of 1999 isn’t lost on me, but neither is the fact that we have faced an unranked Texas for five straight years. Oklahoma is 2-2 in those games. In fact, they saved Charlie Strong’s job at least once. Tom Herman wont have to worry about that, but he could become a cult hero for beating the Sooners in his first season. Even if Texas doesn’t win, I see this being a one score game. Our secondary is terrible right now. Give me Texas.

Baylor at (14)Oklahoma State(-25.5)(2): Baylor is in serious danger of starting 0-6 for the first time since the disastrous 1969 season in which they did not win a game. This line is as high as 27.5 in one place, but is hovering right around 24.5 in most. This kind of volatility makes me nervous about this one. The Cowboys have the ability, and Baylor has shown a propensity for giving up big plays. Still, the Bears have been much better in conference play. Give me Baylor.

Virginia(-3.5) at North Carolina(4): I was expecting a higher line than this. The Cavs toppled Boise State in Boise, and I have the feeling that the Broncos may be better than the Tarheels right now. that defense is a mess. UVA by double digits!

Northwestern(-2.5) at Maryland(2): This line opened at -2.5 and went up to -3 within the first tow hours. It has been stuck on -3 everywhere since. At any rate, Northwestern should be good for at least a field goal here. The defense is solid.

Vanderbilt at Mississippi(-3.5)(3): This line looks bogus to me. Ole Miss isn’t nearly as good as Auburn’s second string defense made them look. Vandy straight up.

Akron at Western Michigan(-14.5)(2): This one looks a touch high. Akron is not a bad team, and Western Michigan isn’t as potent as they were last year. Honestly, they may still be worn out from that seven overtime thriller in Buffalo last weekend. Broncos win, but don’t cover.

Miami(OH)(-9.5) at Kent State(1): The Flashes are terrible, but Miami comes in without starting quarterback Gus Ragland. That is a huge blow to this offense. I’m not sure the Redhawks can muster enough to cover this. Give me Kent.

Northern Illinois(-6.5) at Buffalo(2): The Bulls are tough at home, but NIU likely has a better defense than Western Michigan this year. Can the offense muster enough touchdowns to cover? I liked this line a lot more at -3.5 where it opened. I’m still taking NIU, but I have very little confidence in it.

Ohio(-10.5) at Bowling Green(3): I will give the half here since I took it earlier. This opened at -10, and hasn’t budged at any casino. That’s pretty rare, which means this line is pretty close to right. Well, usually. The Falcons are playing much better right now, but I still don’t think they keep it under double digits here. Give me Ohio.

Toledo(-7.5) at Central Michigan(4): This line has dropped three points already, and could drop more. I’m thinking that 10.5 may have been too low. Toledo’s only loss was to a pretty strong Miami team. Hurricanes, not Redhawks. The Chippewas lost to said Redhawks. Toledo wins big here!

(25)Navy at Memphis(-3.5)(4): So, what am I missing here? Navy has covered every spread this year, and I don’t see them having an issue busting this line. This option is humming along. Memphis is getting too much credit for beating a UCLA team with an absolutely awful defense. Navy straight up.

Houston(-13.5) at Tulsa(2): This line is up three points already, and for me, it swings my vote heavily towards Tulsa if it climbs over 14. Tulsa’s offense isn’t nearly the caliber that is was last year, but Houston isn’t as explosive either. That said, I don’t think Tulsa can throw to stay close like they could last year. I have to go with Houston.

Colorado(-10.5) at Oregon State(5): I’m glad Colorado is riding a rough stretch because it has pushed this line down from 14. It may even fall under 10 by kickoff. Colorado for anything less that 14 is a strong bet. Give me the Ralphies. Oregon State’s issues weren’t all coaching.

Charlotte at Western Kentucky(-16.5)(2): Charlotte has busted two straight double digit spreads. Here they are faced with another against a team that hasn’t covered yet this season. The Western Kentucky offense is but a shadow of last year’s. I have to think Charlotte stays within 14 or so. I’ll take the 49ers.

Wyoming at Utah State(-2.5)(2): I don’t trust this line. It opened at -5, so no one else does either. However, I think what Colorado State just did to the Aggies is skewing this one a bit. Wyoming isn’t as good as the Rams on either side of the ball. It’s down too far. Give me Utah State.

Georgia State at Louisiana-Monroe(-6.5)(3): This looks low. the only line Monroe hasn’t covered was the inexplicable loss to Southern Miss. The Warhawks are a safe bet at home for under a touchdown.

Appalachian State(-12.5) at Idaho(1): Wow, that’s a lot for a road game. Even for the class of the Sun Belt. I’ll go with the Vandals at home to not get covered.

Next: ESPN College Pick em Picks Week 7

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