FanDuel Lineup and Picks for Friday, May 11
Rangers at Astros
Rangers Probable Starter – Cole Hamels, LHP
3.94 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 10.25 K/9
Vs LHH – .313 average, .378 wOBA and 33.3 hard contact rate
Vs RHH – .228 average, .333 wOBA and 49.5 hard contact rate
I’ll admit that I’m a bit mystified about this spot. On one hand, I want to stack up the Astros because I don’t believe that Hamels will continue to be a solid pitcher. Some of his metrics look a little sketchy and wouldn’t lead me to believe he can sustain it. Giving up hard contact nearly half the time usually doesn’t end well. On the other hand, Hamels has faced the Astros twice and been reasonably good against them. He’s only given up five runs across 11.2 innings of work which isn’t terrible. I might pick and choose a couple of Astros but likely won’t go nuts here.
Astros Hitters to Target
Elite Options – George Springer, Jose Altuve
Secondary Options – Carlos Corea, Yuli Gurriel
Astros Probable Starter – Justin Verlander, RHP
1.17 ERA, 0.71 WHIP and 11.74 K/9
Vs LHH – .099 average, .167 wOBA and 16.3 hard contact rate
Vs RHH – .181 average, .240 wOBA and 28.8 hard contact rate
Man, has Verlander been awesome this year. His floor performance to this point is a 35 point effort against the Orioles. The Rangers have the third highest strikeout rate against righty pitching and I have no interest in any of their batters save for one man. I might sound like a broken record, but I may have a share or two of Joey Gallo simply because Verlander is carrying a 60.5 fly ball rate, which is far and away a career high. If Gallo gets a ball in the air, it can leave the park. Other than that, I’ll leave the Rangers hitters on the sidelines.
Rangers Hitters to Target
Elite Options – None
Secondary Options – Joey Gallo
Home Run Pick – George Springer
Brewers at Rockies
Brewers Probable Starter – Brandon Woodruff, RHP
3.86 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.64 K/9
Vs LHH – .222 average, .265 wOBA and 50.0 hard contact rate
Vs RHH – .300 average, .342 wOBA and 43.8 hard contact rate
The Brewers are in a tough spot today because they are forced to start Woodruff on short notice. Zach Davies was supposed to start but came up with an injury so don’t read too much into Woodruff tonight. He’s likely not going to be in the game all that long so we’ll just stick with the big guns for the Rockies tonight.
Rockies Hitters to Target
Elite Options – Charlie Blackmon, Nolan Arenado
Secondary Options – Trevor Story, David Dahl, DJ LeMahieu
Rockies Probable Starter – Chad Bettis, RHP
2.05 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 5.52 K/9
Vs LHH – .208 average, .227 wOBA and 31.6 hard contact rate
Vs RHH – .202 average, .272 wOBA and 37.5 hard contact rate
Maybe it’s just me, but I feel like there’s quite a few Brewers who didn’t get a massive price bump like a team normally does at Coors Field. Lorenzo Cain was a monster last night and it still under $4,000. Ryan Braun and Domingo Santana are even cheaper and even Travis Shaw is right around the $4,000 mark. The performance Bettis has put up so far are just too far outside his career normals to take all that seriously. Most of this game is far too expensive if you decide to pay up for pitching this evening.
Brewers Hitters to Target
Elite Options – Christian Yelich, Lorenzo Cain, Ryan Braun, Travis Shaw
Secondary Options – Domingo Santana
Home Run Pick – Travis Shaw