DraftKings NBA Picks March 21: Who's Robin to KATman?

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JANUARY 23: James Harden #13 of the Houston Rockets celebrates after teammate Gerald Green dunked in the third quarter against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on January 23, 2019 in New York City.NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Picks March 21: Who’s Robin to KATman?

The NCAA tournament kicks off today, but the NBA doesn’t care. We still have six games for our DraftKings NBA tournaments. Only Towns is priced at five figures tonight, so that’s going to be a lot of interesting builds. Center is stacked as hell too, so that’s where a lot of separation comes in. We can’t wiggle our way out of this one. Towns, Jokic, Drummond, and Gobert are eligible at center only.

I had three big scores last night with all of them between 327 and 332. The money line was 333 thanks to overtime games for Harden and Westbrook. Neither of them had value until those damn overtimes. Otherwise Lillard was better than both, just how I had built.

It was another huge night with mazwa taking this down with 410.75 DraftKings points. He built around Harden and Embiid and tons of Bucks with huge value out of Kris Dunn, Shaq Harrison, and Hezonja.

By popular demand, I am switching back to the old format. As always, if you have suggestions to improve the article (besides making better picks), let me know!

If you would like to try DraftKings for the first time, use this link for the referral bonus! It is good for $10 in free DraftKings entry tickets with your first deposit of $5 or more.

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – JANUARY 19: Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks shoots the ball against the Indiana Pacers at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on January 19, 2019 in Indianapolis, Indiana. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Point Guards:

Best Bets:

Luka Doncic ($8,900): DraftKings giveth and DraftKings taketh away. As in Luka’s position eligibility. Doncic is no longer eligible at SF, so we have to play him as a guard. No matter. Doncic racked up 49 DraftKings points in the first meeting with the Kings. If Doncic is not rested, this is a huge matchup for him. I trust this way more than Curry against the Pacers.

Kemba Walker ($8,100): Kemba was a bust in the first game against Minnesota, but a lot has changed since then. First off, the Minnesota backcourt is gutted. Teague and Rose are both out, so Kemba gets Tyus Jones defense. It’s Christmas in March!

Honorable Mention:

Trae Young ($7,500): Young hasn’t put up any huge games recently, but that has just meant that his “average” games that are still in the 40’s, even against tougher opponents, are going virtually unnoticed. Young racked up 48.75 DraftKings points in the first game against Utah. Whether this game is a blowout or not, Young is going to play minutes in the mid 30’s. He is one of the few players that wont be affected if Utah wins by 40.

De’Aaron Fox ($7,300): Fox put up 46.25 DraftKings points in his only game against Dallas so far this year. Fox’s production has been up and down lately, but the down has mostly been due to games that got out of hand. The Kings are still vaguely in the hunt for a playoff berth, so this game still matters. The upside with Fox is significant enough to warrant using him.

Tomas Satoransky ($5,800): Many will go with Jamal Murray here. I get it. The matchup borders on great. However, Murray is so inconsistent that I don’t really want to mess with it. Satoransky is far more consistent, and Denver is a decent enough matchup for him. Satoransky wont kill your lineup. Murray might.

Dark Horses:

Tyus Jones ($5,400): Jones doesn’t have a ton of upside. His skills are fairly limited. He is a third string point guard, after all. Still, Jones has been able to put up at least 5x value in every start since January 1st. Jones doesn’t start often, but he is solid when he does.

Ricky Rubio ($5,200): I get it. No one wants to pay this price for half a game of Rubio. My question is, why not? Rubio has at least 5x value in four straight and 6x value in back to back games. There’s not a whole lot of upside since Rubio only plays half the game, but he can still get you value.

Ish Smith ($4,100): Reggie Jackson‘s production has been all over the place lately, and Smith is a big reason for that. Smith is consistent, and a consistent thorn in Jackson’s production. Forget about playing roulette with Jackson. Play Smith at a cheaper price and enjoy about the same production as Jackson.

My pick: Jones(PG)

WASHINGTON, DC – JANUARY 09: Bradley Beal #3 of the Washington Wizards celebrates after scoring against the Philadelphia 76ers in the first half at Capital One Arena on January 09, 2019 in Washington, DC. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Shooting Guards:

Best Bets:

Bradley Beal ($9,200): Beal was locked down by Utah, but that’s understandable. Aside from that game, Beal has at least 5x value in 10 of the last 11. Denver is decent defensively, but decent isn’t enough to stop Beal. I’ll be surprised if Beal doesn’t hit 50, which makes him one of the night’s top plays again.

Devin Booker ($8,800): I get nervous whenever Booker is this expensive. However, it’s warranted against Detroit. Booker racked up 49 DraftKings points in the first meeting with the Pistons and he could again if this game stays close. Booker has only seen the underbelly of 40 once since March 2nd. That’s a good floor with ample upside.

Donovan Mitchell ($8,200): Mitchell’s production has been pretty inconsistent once again, making him hard to take a chance on. Atlanta gives Mitchell the best matchup he can possibly have, but there is massive blowout potential here. I’m not sure Mitchell is worth the risk.

Honorable Mention:

Jeremy Lamb ($6,500): How many Hornets are too many? Minnesota isn’t going to get blown out. Not with Towns around. Lamb had 39.25 DraftKings points in the first game against the Timberwolves. Add in the fact that Lamb is on some kind of tear right now. He has 117.75 DraftKings points over the last three games. I get paying up for Beal, but if you can’t afford him, Lamb is going to put up at least as much bang for your buck.

Jalen Brunson ($6,100): Brunson’s price is up to the point where it’s hard to squeeze more than 5x value out of him. He is such a consistent player that Brunson’s output is going to be about the same regardless of what the price is. I prefer Brunson more in cash games, but he’s solid enough against the Kings here to give him a shot.

Dark Horses:

Mikal Bridges ($4,300): Bridges is playing as many minutes as he can handle with Oubre out, but as of yet, it hasn’t done much for his production. Bridges has still been in the teens three times in the last four games despite playing 42, 37, and 33 minutes in those games. The potential is there, but will it ever materialize? For this price, it’s worth it to take the chance that it does.

Wayne Ellington ($4,000): Ellington will remain in the Detroit starting lineup for the foreseeable future. Like with Bridges though, he doesn’t always come close to value. Unlike Bridges, Ellington has put up some big numbers because he is a sharpshooter. This is a really good matchup for Ellington much like Cleveland was. We could see the same output.

Josh Okogie ($3,900): Okogie has 67.25 DraftKings points over the last two games with most of the Minnesota backcourt injured. At this point, it’s likely that Okogie will be highly owned. However, I think it’s going to be really difficult to jump off. Okogie is hitting 8x value right now. It’s foolish to fade that.

My pick: Okogie(SG)

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – FEBRUARY 09: Jabari Parker #12 of the Washington Wizards dunks against the Chicago Bulls at the United Center on February 09, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. The Wizards defeated the Bulls 134-125. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

Kevin Durant ($9,100): Durant was a non-factor in the first meeting against Indiana, and he hasn’t hit value since March 2nd. SF is a weak position. Durant is only here to emphasize that it’s not always a great idea to pay up for the hands down best player at the position if the matchup isn’t right.

Jabari Parker ($6,300): Okay, now for the shocking part of the program. Jabari Parker is going to outscore Kevin Durant tonight for fantasy purposes. Not in value per dollar. Not in points per minute. But in actual fantasy points vs. fantasy points. Parker had 46.5 DraftKings points against the Bulls with Trevor Ariza out. Ariza is out again, so Parker is going to play serious minutes again and should crush value for this price.

Honorable Mention:

Bojan Bogdanovic ($5,900): Even when Bojan starts slowly, he always gets back to very close to 5x vlaue. Bogdanovic has plenty of upside with Oldaipo out, but don’t expect that to mestastasize against the Warriors. Bojan should still be around 5x value, but I doubt he clears 6x.

Andrew Wiggins ($5,800): Wiggins had a really strong game with Minnesota thin at guard on Tuesday against the Warriors. This is a better matchup against Charlotte. Wiggins went for 42.5 DraftKings points in the first game against the Hornets. Things are lining up for him to do it again.

Joe Ingles ($5,800): Ingles went nuts on Atlanta with 37.75 DraftKings points in the first meeting. The issue with Ingles here is that his production has been all over the place lately. The numbers say to play Ingles and don’t look back. However, enough value will open up somewhere today that will make Ingles an afterthought. I’m not sure it should. There is at least 6x value on the table here.

Dark Horses:

Nicolas Batum ($5,000): Batum erupted for 42.25 DraftKings points in the first meeting. The only issue that you are going to run into here is how many Hornets are you comfortable with in your lineup? It’s not like a massive injury is altering the rotation any. It’s just that a whole slew of Hornets had good games against Minnesota the first time around.

Tyreke Evans ($3,500): The bottom of SF is a wreck, but Evans is an intriguing play if Darren Collison is out again. If Collison plays though, Evans is way too much of a risk to take. The only way that Evans plays more than 20 minutes is if Collison is out, so keep an eye on this.

Troy Brown ($3,100): Brown put up 26 DraftKings points last night in 30 minutes with Ariza hurt. He is so cheap that I want to ride Brown in every lineup. That’s a good way to torch your bankroll, but if Brown hits, you’re probably cashing.

My pick: Parker(SF), Brown(G)

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DraftKings NBA Power Forwards:

Best Bets:

Blake Griffin ($7,800): I really liked Blake against the Cavs, but not so much against Phoenix. For some odd reason, the Suns have done well against power forwards. Blake is still in the midst of arguably the worst slump of his career, so this is not without risk. That also means Griffin could come with low ownership if you take the plunge.

Paul Millsap ($6,700): I’m a big fan of John Collins, but I’m not going to rush to play him against Utah. Millsap is a much safer option. Millsap has at least 35 DraftKings points in four straight games, yet his price has barely budged. Millsap is easily the best play at power forward. He’s going to dominate up front.

Honorable Mention:

Bobby Portis ($5,900): Portis had a good night against his former team last night, but will he play enough against Denver to put him in the spotlight again? This seems like a huge risk here, but the Wizards are going to keep playing Portis. The minutes will be there, but can he handle Millsap? I have my doubts.

Marvin Bagley ($5,600): Bagley has been on a tear lately, racking up 76 DraftKings points in just 50 minutes over the last two games. The Kings are still going to limit his minutes so that does limit his upside some. However with the price this low, Bagley is still pushing 7x value. Bagley should provide great returns on the investment tonight.

Dark Horses:

Derrick Favors ($5,300): Favors has been under value the last few games, but what he did to Atlanta in the first meeting has me thinking about using him again. Favors had 34.25 DraftKings points in the first game against the Hawks. The best part is that Favors is going to get minutes here when this games gets out of hand. That makes him pretty intriguing.

Josh Jackson ($4,800): Jackson has 68 DraftKings points over the last two games. He has been the one picking up a lot of the slack and some of the minutes with Oubre out. That has made Jackson a viable fantasy option, at least in the short term. The matchup with Detroit really does make me nervous though. If he winds up with Blake guarding him, Jackson could be a disaster.

My pick: Millsap(PF), Bagley(F)

DENVER, COLORADO – JANUARY 19: Nikola Jokic #15 of the Denver Nuggets plays the Cleveland Cavaliers at the Pepsi Center on January 19, 2019 in Denver, Colorado. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Centers:

Best Bets:

Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,000): Towns bulldozed the Charlotte front for 73 DraftKings points in the first meeting. Towns is a monster at a position full of them. The only question is who you want with Towns. I think it would be a huge mistake to fade KAT here.

Nikola Jokic ($9,600): Jokic hit value for the first time in a while against Boston on Monday. He could do it again here against Washington. The Wizards are weak up front, and Jokic may be the best all around big man in the game. There is enormous potential here, but if Beal can’t carry this Wizards, this game could get way out of hand.