Fantasy Football: Searching for 2020’s top rookie wide receiver

ATLANTA, GA - JANUARY 08: Henry Ruggs III #11 of the Alabama Crimson Tide catches a six yard touchdown pass during the third quarter against the Georgia Bulldogs in the CFP National Championship presented by AT&T at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8, 2018 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA - JANUARY 08: Henry Ruggs III #11 of the Alabama Crimson Tide catches a six yard touchdown pass during the third quarter against the Georgia Bulldogs in the CFP National Championship presented by AT&T at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 8, 2018 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images) /
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Jalen Reagor, TCU Horned Frogs
Jalen Reagor, TCU Horned Frogs /

Breakout Rankings

6. Justin Jefferson

There’s not enough to targets to go around in Minnesota’s run-centric offense for Jefferson to “break out,” despite the fact that he’ll probably start from Week 1. He’s only valuable if Adam Thielen gets injured, which isn’t something you should target in the late rounds of your draft.

5. Jerry Jeudy

Jeudy has the same problem as Jefferson: there’s not enough targets to go around for him, Sutton and Noah Fant. His talent will make him a fine real-life receiver this year, but he’s not going to put up his Alabama stat line in Denver.

4. Henry Ruggs III

Ruggs could be the WR1 for Raiders, but how much fantasy production does that equate to? An A.J. Brown-type season would require Derek Carr to be significantly more efficient than he’s been in the past. Ruggs needs to carve out a Kenny Golladay-like role and Carr needs to throw it deep more for him to breakout. It’s not the most likely scenario.

3. CeeDee Lamb

Lamb has the talent to be a stud and he’s on a good offense. His path to breaking out is simple: beat out Michael Gallup and/or Amari Cooper for extra targets. He has to be so good that the Dak Prescott has no choice but to ignore his two top targets from last year. Then again, with all the vacated targets Randall Cobb and Jason Witten left behind, this could be the rare situation where we see three receivers with 100+ targets.

2. Michael Pittman Jr.

Pittman is in a great position to succeed with the Colts. He’s the possession receiver that Philip Rivers loves to rely on to make the important catches. If he gets the starting role locked down early and he catches enough touchdowns, he can be a low-end WR2. Now, that’s by no means guaranteed. He’s more likely to finish with a worse stat line than Jeudy, Lamb, Ruggs and maybe even Jefferson, but he has more breakout potential than all of them.

1. Jalen Raegor

I’m excited to see what Reagor can do in Philly. The ambiguous receiving core coupled with the stud QB (yes, he’s a stud) give Reagor massive potential to significantly outperform his ADP. The Eagles throw the ball a ton and DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffery are always injured. He’s worth a dart throw in every draft as the first rookie receiver off thee board, but you can get him after Lamb, Jeudy, Ruggs, and Jefferson, according to FantasyPros ADP. He’s my top pick.

Want more fantasy advice?

Check these articles out:

Best and Worst Value Picks by Round

Player Analysis: Odell Beckham Jr., Calvin Ridley, Brandin Cooks/Will Fuller, Engram/Henry/Higbee, Tyler Lockett/D.K. Metcalf

QB Rankings (with projections): 1-20

RB Rankings (with projections): 1-20, 21-40

WR Rankings (with projections): 1-25, 26-50.

Draft strategy (based on trends): Quarterbacks, Tight Ends

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