Breaking down the Thunder’s race for the NBA all-time wins record

The Oklahoma City Thunder are off to an incredible start and every win could be bringing them closer to history.
Sacramento Kings v Oklahoma City Thunder
Sacramento Kings v Oklahoma City Thunder | William Purnell/GettyImages

Fresh off their first championship in franchise history, the Oklahoma City Thunder have kept the momentum rolling early in the 2025-26 season. After a 123-115 win to close out November, over the Portland Trail Blazers — the only team to have beaten the Thunder this season — OKC were 20-1, which already put the squad in rarefied air.

They won the next four, pushing to a 16-game win steak, and becoming just the fourth team in NBA history to start a season 20-1 or better. They're dropped a few games since, including to the Spurs in the NBA Cup semifinals, but were still winning at a historic pace — as of this writing they're 25-3.

The Thunder already had a hellacious defense last season, but they've somehow leveled up on that end of the floor this year. Halfway through December, they have the league's best defensive rating by a country mile. In fact, the gap between them (103.2) and the second-place Detroit Pistons (109.7) was wider than the gap between Detroit and the 19th-place Indiana Pacers (116.1).

The Thunder did much of that without All-NBA forward Jalen Williams, who didn't return from wrist surgery until Friday, Nov. 28. The Thunder have had the league's easiest schedule thus far, so they could come back down to earth at some point. But what if they don't?

What record are the Thunder chasing?

Only two teams in NBA history have topped the 70-win mark in the regular season: The 1995-96 Chicago Bulls and the 2015-16 Golden State Warriors. The Bulls proceeded to win the championship that year — and each of the next two — while the Warriors blew a 3-1 lead in the 2016 NBA Finals. (They proceeded to sign Kevin Durant, broke the NBA and won the next two titles.)

Last year's Thunder won a franchise-record 68 games, which was tied for the fifth-best mark of all time. This year's group currently has an even higher winning percentage.

Best records in NBA history

Team

Wins

Losses

W/L%

2025-26 Thunder

25

3

.893

2015-16 Warriors

73

9

.890

1995-96 Bulls

72

10

.878

1996-97 Bulls

69

13

.841

1971-72 Lakers

69

13

.841

2024-25 Thunder

68

14

.829

1972-73 Celtics

68

14

.829

1966-67 Sixers

68

14

.829

How many more wins does OKC need to catch the Warriors?

The Thunder have 54 games remaining this season. They need to win at least 44 of them to top the franchise record that they set last season, and 46 of them to become the third team ever to top 70 wins in a season.

To match the 1995-96 Bulls, the Thunder would need to go at least 47-7 over the rest of the season. To match the 2015-16 Warriors, they'd have to go at least 48-6.

To set a new NBA record for the most wins in a season — not counting the NBA Cup final, if they make it that far — the Thunder would have to go no worse than 49-5 from here on out. That might feel doable considering how they've started this season, but they'd have little margin for error or injuries.

What was the Warriors' record through 26 games?

The 2015-16 Warriors got off to a 24-0 start before they lost their first game, which was by far the best start to a season in NBA history. They were 25-1 through 26 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers tied the second-best mark in league history last year by going 15-0 before losing their first game.

What is the Thunder's current pace?

While the Thunder might feel like a lock to win 70-plus games this season, projection models disagree at the moment.

Basketball Reference's current projections have them at 65.6 wins and 16.4 losses, which would put them outside of the top 10 records all-time. Their best-case projection is 75-7, while their worst-case projection is 54-28. Either way, the Thunder already have a 100 percent chance to make the playoffs and a 98.2 percent chance to win the Northwest Division, according to Basketball Reference's projections.

Oddsmakers are slightly more bullish on the Thunder. FanDuel Sportsbook currently has their win total over/under at 69.5. Still, that would put them short of breaking the Warriors' all-time record.

Best net ratings in NBA history

Even if the Thunder fall short of the 70-win threshold, they're currently on pace to make a different kind of NBA history.

Team

Net Rating

2025-26 Thunder

+15.8

1995-96 Bulls

+13.4

2024-25 Thunder

+12.8

1996-97 Bulls

+12.0

2025-26 Rockets

+11.9

2016-17 Warriors

+11.6

2023-24 Celtics

+11.6

2015-16 Spurs

+11.3

By any objective measure — win/loss record, net rating, etc. — last year's Thunder were one of the best teams in NBA history. This year's version might be even better.

And what's really scary? Thanks to the reeling Los Angeles Clippers, who owe the Thunder their fully unprotected 2026 first-round pick, the 2026-27 iteration of the Thunder might even be better than this year's squad.

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