DraftKings NBA Picks for February 7
By Mike Marteny
DraftKings NBA Picks for February 7
There are only three games in the main DraftKings tournament tonight. Who is worth paying for? Harden has one of the highest prices we have seen this season. Is there enough value to afford him, or can you fade him and still cash out? Let’s take a look!
Don’t forget to follow @fantasycpr on Twitter for lineup updates as we get them leading to the tipoffs of the games! I am not always able to get back in here and fix my picks when someone sits for the night, but we will update it on Twitter. There was a flurry of inactives yesterday, and many lineup changes, so make sure you check in with our updates!
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Most of my picks end up being a little on the conservative side, so these lineups may be better suited for cash games, though I usually play both types.
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Point Guards
Best Bets:
Damian Lillard ($8,600): Dallas is statistically the best team in the league against point guards. That is in spite of Lillard, not because of him. Lillard has 129 DraftKings points in three games against the Mavs this year. The only thing that may slow Lillard down is his tweaked ankle. Keep an eye out for any update before using him. If he starts, assume all is well.
Yogi Ferrell ($6,000): It will be interesting to see what Dallas does when Deron Williams comes back considering how well Farrell has played. Williams is likely out again since he was doubtful last night. Ferrell should see great run again tonight before the situation gets murky. Did we mention that he is facing the same Blazers team that got him his two year contract? He racked up 45.5 DraftKings points on them on Friday. He signed the contract on Saturday.
Honorable Mention:
Kemba Walker ($8,500): Many will use Walker over Lillard because of the matchup. The Nets are the second worst team in the league defending the point, yet Walker only has 99.5 DraftKings points against them in three games. It isn’t just the blowout factor. Walker has averaged 33 minutes a game in those games. He could go off on them tonight. The potential is there. Past history makes it hard to rely on him though.
Patrick Beverley ($5,200): Orlando is a top three defense against point guards. Elfrid Payton may still be a work in progress and therefore tough to rely on in DFS circles, but his defense is legit. So why use Beverley? He had 38.75 DraftKings points against Orlando in the first meeting. If he does that again, he could set your lineup apart from the pack. If not, you will be the pack.
Dark Horses:
Sean Kilpatrick ($4,300): Kilpatrick continues to see a lot of minutes with Randy Foye, Isaiah Whitehead, and Spencer Dinwiddie all struggling most of the time. He has 56.5 DraftKings points over the last two games, which is far better than the other three’s output. He may not be starting, but Kilpatrick is the best fantasy option at guard for the Nets right now, if that means anything.
D.J. Augustin ($3,000): Don’t trust Payton? Or the Nets’ toxic point guard situation against Charlotte? You wont be alone. Augustin may be the answer if you are willing to roll the dice here. He put up 26.25 DraftKings points in 28 minutes against Houston in the first meeting. Augustin played 28 minutes on Saturday when Payton struggled. Augustin likely wont start, so there is significant risk, but he outplayed Payton in the first meeting against Houston. There is a good chance he does again.
My pick: Ferrell(PG); Ferrell(PG)
Shooting Guards
Best Bets:
C.J. McCollum ($7,300): Lillard has went wild on Dallas this year while McCollum has been relatively quiet (29 DraftKings points per game in three games). However, McCollum torched the Mavs for 47.75 DraftKings points on Friday while Lillard struggled. There is good reason to think it may play out that way again.
James Harden ($13,300): This is one of the highest prices on any player this season, but Harden has put up over 70 DraftKings points in each of his last two games. He barely hit half that (37.5) in the first meeting with Orlando. In the two games before his last two dominant games, he was even below that mark against the Magic. There is risk involved here, but Harden is the only player on this slate capable of hitting 60 or more.
Honorable Mention:
Seth Curry ($5,900): Curry’s price is increasing to the point where he sometimes struggles to hit 5x value. He came in a bit under that on Friday against Portland with 26.25 DraftKings points, but the fact remains that Portland is still way below average on the perimeter. Chances are that Ferrell wont have quite as big of a game, which will get Curry’s value back up there.
Eric Gordon ($5,400): Gordon put up 30.25 DraftKings points on Orlando in the first meeting. Gordon still plays around 30 minutes a game, so he gets plenty of chances to get to 5x value. He does put up the occasional stinker, but with him playing well against Orlando the first time around, I’m not that worried.
Dark Horses:
Evan Turner ($5,000): His production is far from consistent, but he did have 34.5 DraftKings points against Dallas on Friday. He wont be widely used, so there is potential for you to gain some ground here if Turner continues his trend of hitting 30 DraftKings points every other game. He was off in Sunday’s game, so he is due if the recent pattern holds true.
Jeremy Lamb ($3,100): Lamb had worked his way into the Charlotte rotation with regularity before an inflamed metatarsal kept him out of action for three weeks. His minutes have been sporadic in the three games since, but he has hit some good shots off the bench, and this has the potential for a blowout. Lamb put up 26.5 DraftKings points in 21 minutes in his only game against Brooklyn this year. He is an interesting dart throw on a short slate.
My pick: McCollum(SG), Curry(G); Harden(SG), Curry(G)
Small Forwards
Best Bets:
Nicolas Batum ($7,600): Batum has 121 DraftKings points in three meetings with Brooklyn this year. It has been him, not Kemba Walker, that has done the bulk of the damage against Brooklyn. There really is no reason Batum wont come close to those numbers again. Nothing has changed in Net land since he put up 44.75 against them on January 21st.
Harrison Barnes ($6,400): Barnes has averaged 31.5 DraftKings points in three games against Portland this year. He was a shade under that, and therefore a shade under value, on Friday. His price is too high for his output right now, but there aren’t a lot of elite options, or solid ones for that matter, at small forward tonight.
Honorable Mention:
Wesley Matthews ($5,800): Matthews is getting a lot of minutes, and is finally over his cold shooting that plagued him early in the season. He put up 39.5 DraftKings points against this same team on Friday. And that was in Portland. Why can’t he do it again?
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist ($5,100): MKG is about as inconsistent as they come, however, he has scored 100 DraftKings points in three games against the Nets. That includes a 40.5 point outburst in the last meeting on January 21st. This could be another good night for Kidd-Gilchrist.
Dark Horses:
Aaron Gordon ($4,600): Tonight’s slate is littered with players that are hard to trust. At the top of that list is Gordon. He has had between 7.75 and 35.5 DraftKings points in the last eight games. You are playing with fire if you play Gordon, but he did have 38 DraftKings points in the first meeting with Houston. Are you willing to bet on him doing it again?
Bojan Bogdanovic ($4,200): Bogdanovic has had a much better season this year, but he is still not all that consistent. However, he has averaged 27.3 DraftKings points in three games against Charlotte this year, and that his with him shooting 38% from the floor. He has been under 4x value four times in the last ten games, but he seems like a good bet against Charlotte.
My Pick: Batum(SF), Matthews(F); Kidd-Gilchrist(SF), Bogdanovic(F)
Power Forwards
Best Bets:
Serge Ibaka ($6,200): It is a weak night at power forward. It has to be if I am considering Ibaka, who was held to 10 DraftKings points in 24 minutes against Atlanta his last time out. Before that game he did have a streak of three straight 40+ DraftKings point games. Ibaka is usually a solid play in good matchups. He did put up 33.5 in the first meeting with Houston this year, so there is reason to believe he could have a good night.
Al-Farouq Aminu ($5,200): Aminu still doesn’t start, but he has hit 20 DraftKings points in nine of the last 11 games. He is a solid source of 5x value, but his upside is capped because of his limited offensive touches.
Honorable Mention:
Trevor Booker ($5,000): Booker seems to be back in the rotation again, so he is safe to roll out there. Booker was a great bargain play early in the year, but nagging injuries knocked him to the bench or out of the rotation entirely. He was on point against Charlotte though, averaging 27.5 DraftKings points in the three games against Charlotte this season.
Marvin Williams ($4,800): Williams has been trending upward lately, especially since his 43 DraftKings point outburst against a stout Utah front on Saturday. He has averaged 26.9 DraftKings points over the last ten games, so he is a safe play right now. However, he is just 7-27 from the floor against Brooklyn this year.
Dark Horse:
Dwight Powell ($3,200): There is a ton of uncertainty tied to this one. Powell has averaged 21.8 DraftKings points against Portland in three games this year, but he played just eight minutes and scored 7.5 DraftKings points against them on Friday. Then he busts out and has a nice game against Denver last night. Powell certainly has the chance for a lot of minutes with Andrew Bogut still out, but there is a lot of risk since Dallas has not settled on a rotation to cover for Bogut yet. Maybe his performance last night will lead to more minutes tonight.
My pick: Booker(PF); Aminu(PF), Williams(UTIL)
Center
Best Bets:
Brook Lopez ($7,000): Lopez has averaged right at 5x value in three games against Charlotte this year, but he wont have to tangle with Roy Hibbert or Spencer Hawes this time around. If Cody Zeller is still out, Lopez will have his way with the Charlotte frontcourt again. He just may anyway.
Mason Plumlee ($5,900): Dallas is strong up front, but Plumlee has still put up 90 DraftKings points on them in three games. His 23.75 DraftKings points in Friday’s matchup were a little disappointing, especially without Bogut in the mix. Can he right the ship tonight?
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Honorable Mention:
Clint Capela ($5,300): Capela has played over 30 minutes in each of the last two games, racking up 65 DraftKings points in the process. Orlando is not that strong up front. If Capela keeps playing his current minutes, the Magic wont contain him either. Capela still looks underpriced to me.
Frank Kaminsky ($4,700): Kaminsky has been starting at center with Cody Zeller out. If Zeller sits again, Frank the Tank will get another start. He has racked up 64.75 DraftKings points over the last two games. He is averaging 19.4 DraftKings points in three games against Brooklyn this year, but he has played only 20 minutes in those games. He could do serious damage with starter’s minutes.
Dark Horses:
Salah Mejri ($3,400): Mejri’s eruption against the Sixers earned him solid minutes, and 16.25 DraftKings points against the Blazers. That said, he played second fiddle to Powell last night, so how much he plays is entirely up in the air right now.
Miles Plumlee ($3,000): Plumlee has backed up Kaminsky, but he did outperform him against the Jazz. Plumlee has 18 DraftKings points in 18 minutes. Kaminsky had 24 in 32 minutes. Whether that amount to more time for Plumlee is anyone’s guess, but I would still bet he plays around 20 minutes and produces around that many points if Zeller is out.
My pick: Lopez(C), Capela(UTIL); Capela(C)
Stay tuned for our FanDuel picks, and our picks for NHL and the PGA tour! We even have some EPL picks coming your way! Once again, make sure to follow our Twitter feed leading up to tipoff!