Should You Play Jose Quintana on DraftKings in His Cubs Debut?

CLEVELAND, OH – JULY 09: Michael Fulmer #32 of the Detroit Tigers pitches against the Cleveland Indians during the second inning at Progressive Field on July 9, 2017 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Ron Schwane/Getty Images) /

DraftKings Early MLB Picks For July 16

Today’s slate is early heavy with 12 of the 16 games in the early DraftKings tournament. We have a few aces going, but the value picks could come up big today. Is Jose Quintana worth using in his Cubs debut? It does come in an American League Park! Let’s check some stats!

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The money line yesterday afternoon was all the way up at 135.45. My lineup was in the top ten at 177.45. The Tigers stack came through from Michael Fulmer all the way through Miggy and J.D. Martinez.

The winning lineup only has six points more than me at 183.45. It was a three way tie. The main difference was they hit on Nick Castellanos and I had Chase Headley instead.

These picks are based mostly on statistical analysis . If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.

For you first time players, if you would like $10 worth of free entry tickets, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn that $10 into more!

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MIAMI, FL – JULY 11: Robinson Cano #22 of the Seattle Mariners and the American League celebrates with the Major League Baseball All-Star Game Most Valuable Player Award after they defeated the National League 2 to 1 during the 88th MLB All-Star Game at Marlins Park on July 11, 2017 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images) /

P: Rich Hill ($11,900): The Marlins are rolling out Chris O’Grady, so Hill already has heightened win potential. Marlins Park is a notorious pitcher’s park, even better than his own. The Fish are only hitting .154 off of Hill in 26 at bats with just one run scored. Playing Hill at any time is a risk because he doesn’t usually go deep into games even if he doesn’t have a blister, but there are too many good things to ignore here. He can also rack up the strikeouts as well.

P: Andrew Moore ($6,700): Using a rookie in his first road start is always a risk, but that risk is lessened when he faces a team like the White Sox. The Sox mash lefties, but they are among the league’s worst in every category against right handed pitchers. Moore takes a park hit, but with what the Mariners have done to Holland in his career, Moore should have plenty of runs to work with today.

C: Omar Narvaez ($2,300): This was the last position I filled in the lineup. Sometimes you are just looking for a warm body who will start. That’s where Narvaez comes in. However, if Kevan Smith starts, I would rather play him. At this price though, White Sox catchers are about all I can afford.

1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900): Ubaldo Jimenez has a 6.67 ERA, including a 7.24 mark at home. Balls have been flying out of Camden Yards this summer, and Ubaldo is pretty much a batting average pitcher right now. I want a lot of Cubs today, starting with Rizzo.

2B: Robinson Cano ($4,900): Cano followed up his All Star Game MVP performance with a three hit game, including a home run, to open the second half. He only walked and scored last night, but Cano has torched Derek Holland in his career. He is 16-48 with three walks, three doubles, a triple, two homers, eight runs scored, and an impressive nine RBI in his career against Holland. Play him until he cools off!

3B: Kyle Seager ($3,600): Seager is 13-46(.283) with six walks, a double, two homers, eight runs scored, and five RBI in his career against Derek Holland. That’s right, even the Mariner lefties have hit Holland hard, so the entire lineup is in play today.

SS: Addison Russell ($3,800): Russell isn’t always the best bet, but he has done a bulk of his damage on the road. He is only hitting .163 in the Friendly Confines, but it hitting .290 everywhere else. I will take those favorable splits against a struggling pitcher any day.

OF: Nelson Cruz ($4,800): Cruz is only 6-23(.261) in his career against Derek Holland, but he has wreaked some havoc with those hits. He has two walks, three homers, seven runs scored, and five RBI against Holland, and this is likely the best hitter’s park he has faced him in.

OF: Kyle Schwarber ($3,800): Schwarber has homered twice in four games since his return to the majors. His exile to Iowa seems to have lit a fire under him again. His price doesn’t reflect his recent success. I really like Schwarber today against Jimenez.

OF: Gregory Polanco ($3,600): Carlos Martinez is having an impressive season, but Polanco has had his number. Polanco is 11-21(.524) with eight walks, three doubles, a triple, a homer, five runs scored, and three RBI in his career against the Cardinals ace. Despite Polanco’s struggles, I am playing him here at this discounted price. He obviously sees the ball well from Martinez.

Next: DraftKings Early Lineup 2

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JUNE 16: Steven Matz #32 of the New York Mets pitches in the second inning against the Washington Nationals at Citi Field on June 16, 2017 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images) /

P: Zack Godley ($8,700): Godley has actually struggled against the Braves so far in his career. It is only 27 at bats, but they have racked up an impressive 13 hits already! None of that was this year though, and Godley has been pretty much untouchable. Home or road, it doesn’t matter, so pitching in SunTrust Park shouldn’t affect him too much. Despite Jaime Garcia‘s great start at home, he has been bombed lately. Godley will have plenty of margin for error, giving him a great shot at the win.

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P: Steven Matz ($7,900): The Rockies racked up hits against Matz in Coors Field in his only start against them, but things should be much different at home. The Mets have destroyed Rockies pitching out of the break, and I don’t see any reason for that to change. Matz hold the significant platoon advantage since nearly all of the Rockies power is from the left side. I really like Matz at this price. He could turn in a great start today.

C: Stephen Vogt ($3,300): Vogt has slugged four homers in just 37 at bats in his new uniform. Vogt will likely get the start today against Jeremy Hellickson and is going to be one of the better catchers available on a day where most backups will start.

1B: Paul Goldschmidt ($5,200): I want some exposure to the struggling Jaime Garcia, and this looks like the best place to get it. Garcia does hold the platoon advantage to the plethora of left handed power in Arizona, but not here. Goldie is in a great spot to get a hold of one.

2B: Scooter Gennett ($4,200): Gennett is 5-15 with a homer, four runs scored, and four RBI already against Tanner Roark. Roark has struggled for much of this year, and Gennett hit a homer last night, so I feel comfortable using him here.

3B: Chase Headley ($3,500): Playing Headley is always a risk, but once again he has good numbers against today’s opponent. Headley is 10-25 with two walks, four doubles, a homer, two runs scored, and four RBI in his career against Rick Porcello. Porcello is nowhere near last year’s level, so Headley at this price is an acceptable risk.

SS: Corey Seager ($4,300): This price is way too cheap for a guy with the power of Seager against a rookie pitcher. Seager and Bellinger are going to be very popular plays, but I can’t think of any reason to avoid them.

OF: Aaron Judge ($5,500): Judge has only faced Porcello six times. He has walked twice and hit a two run homer. Be sure to watch the liineups as crazy things can happen on a doubleheader day, but I expect Judge to be in there for both games. I definitely want to play him against Porcello.

OF: Adam Jones ($4,200): Jones is 8-14(.571) with three walks, two doubles, two homers, four runs scored, and five RBI in his career against Jose Quintana. The Orioles are hitting .287 against Quintana in 80 at bats, and Quintana has a 5.16 ERA in four career starts at Camden Yards. I do like the Quintana fit with the Cubs, but I want no part of him in his Cubs debut.

OF: Brandon Moss ($3,200): Moss is one of the few guys that has been able to hit Yu Darvish. The Royals have hit six homers against Darvish in 88 at bats. Moss has four of them to go with his .269 average. He is definitely worth a punt play here.

Next: FanDuel MLB Picks and Pivots

Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our PGA picks. We also have plenty of NFL stuff to get you ready for football!