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Who Is The Best Pitcher On The Early DraftKings Slate July 30?

By Mike Marteny

PHILADELPHIA, PA - JULY 24: Jose Altuve #27 of the Houston Astros hits a two run single in the fourth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on July 24, 2017 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Drew Hallowell/Getty Images)
PHILADELPHIA, PA - JULY 24: Jose Altuve #27 of the Houston Astros hits a two run single in the fourth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on July 24, 2017 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Drew Hallowell/Getty Images) /
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DraftKings
NEW YORK, NY – JULY 28: Lucas Duda #21 of the Tampa Bay Rays connects on a solo home run in the seventh inning against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on July 28, 2017 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images) /

DraftKings Early MLB Picks For July 29

11 of the 15 games are in the main DraftKings tournament this afternoon. We have few aces, and a couple of hurlers who could wind up being traded before their scheduled starts. We really have to pay attention this afternoon. Players can be traded at any moment!

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The money line yesterday afternoon was very low at 87.5. That was the low mark on the season! My lineup made it in with 90.5 points. Having Lucas Duda was the difference.

The winning lineup was at only 143.2 DraftKings points. He used Francisco Liriano with deGrom and used the extra cash on the Angels/Rays game.

These picks are based mostly on statistical analysis. If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.

For you first time players, if you would like $10 worth of free entry tickets, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn that $10 into more!

Next: DraftKings Early Lineup

DraftKings
MINNEAPOLIS, MN – JULY 19: Jordan Montgomery #47 of the New York Yankees delivers a pitch against the Minnesota Twins during the first inning of the game on July 19, 2017 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images) /

P: Lance McCullers Jr. ($10,200): McCullers has dominated Detroit so far. They are hitting just .192 in 26 at bats with only two runs and eight strikeouts. There is a good chance that he will be opposing an inexperienced pitcher, so he will have a great shot at the win. The caveat there is that Detroit is still a decent lineup, and McCullers has been knocked around some over his last two starts. Can he get back on track here?

P: Jordan Montgomery ($8,000): Montgomery has little experience against the Rays, but he actually has a better ERA at home than on the road. He also holds the platoon advantage against nearly all of the Rays’ big hitters, including newly acquired Lucas Duda. The Rays also strike out a lot against left handed pitching. Montgomery looks like one of the strongest options despite not being in the top three in price.

C: Russell Martin ($3,700): Martin rested yesterday, so he should be in there today. He is 2-5 with two walks, a solo homer, and three runs scored in his career against Jesse Chavez. Sure, I could go with a cheap backup, but Martin bats second, which is unheard of for a catcher. That could make him worth the money.

1B: Freddie Freeman ($4,600): Freeman is still a good hitter in a park that favors lefty power against a mostly struggling righty at a good price for what he is capable of. I will take that against Vince Velasquez until he gets back on track.

2B: Jose Ramirez ($4,500): Carlos Rodon has looked solid this season, but Ramirez has still hit him well. Big surprise, right? Ramirez is 4-12 with four walks, a triple, four runs scored, and three RBI in his career against Rodon. I want some exposure here just in case Rodon struggles, but he has at least as good of a chance of throwing a quality start. At any rate, Ramirez shoudl still put up decent numbers today.

3B: Kris Bryant ($4,700): Bryant’s price is down a little due to his recent slump, but he is 8-19(.421) with a double, a triple, a homer, five runs scored, and five RBI in his career against Zach Davies. Maybe this will be what Bryant needs to get going.

SS: Ketel Marte ($3,000): Lynn has turned in four straight quality starts. He pitched well against Arizona earlier this year and has a stellar 2.53 home ERA on the season. Using Diamondbacks is risky in this one, but Marte has turned in two homers in the last eight games. For this price, it is worth it to see if he can get another.

OF: Kyle Schwarber ($4,100): Schwarber is only 2-9 against Davies, but he has scored both times, including once on a solo homer. If we play Schwarber, it’s for the power potential. Miller Park is one of the better ones around for lefty power, so Schwarber could wind up being cheap today.

OF: Mark Trumbo ($3,700): Trumbo is 5-15 with a walk, a double, two homers, and six RBI in his career against Martin Perez. The Orioles are pretty expensive, but they may be worth it against Perez. The team is hitting .272 against Perez in 92 at bats with four homers and 13 RBI lifetime off of the lefty.

OF: Odubel Herrera ($3,500): Herrera is 3-8 with a walk, a double, a solo homer, and three runs scored in his career against R. A. Dickey. He has proven he can hit Dickey, and is still this cheap in a hitter’s park? Yes please!

Next: DraftKings Early Lineup 2

DraftKings
CINCINNATI, OH – JULY 20: Luis Castillo #58 of the Cincinnati Reds throws a pitch against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Great American Ball Park on July 20, 2017 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) /

P: Drew Pomeranz ($8,700): Pomeranz was solid against the Royals earlier this season. He had control issues against Seattle his last time out, but prior to that, he had given up one only run in five of six starts. The Royals aren’t going to let him rack up the strikeouts. but Pomeranz should at least turn in a quality start.

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P: Luis Castillo ($7,000): Castillo is way too cheap today. He is in a very friendly pitching park against a team that takes walks as an insult. He has a lot of stirkeout upside, and really only one hitter than can hurt him. Castillo could wind up being the highest scoring pitcher of the day.

C: Jonathan Lucroy ($3,200): Lucroy is 5-14 with a double, two homers, four runs scored, and four RBI in his career against Wade Miley. The favorite stack of the day will likely be the Rangers against Miley, but many Rangers are priced too low to ignore.

1B: Jose Abreu ($3,600): Abreu has hit Josh Tomlin hard. Don’t be shocked if that happens again. Abreu is 8-17(.471) with a walk, three doubles, a homer, four runs scored, and two RBI off of Tomlin in his career. The Sox have racked up 11 rruns (10 earned) in just 4.1 innings against the White Sox this year. Todd Frazier didn’t do much of that damage. This whole team clubbed Tomlin, which makes the Sox a sneaky stack today.

2B: Jose Altuve ($5,500): Stacking Astros could be a great idea. Justin Verlander has pitched well lately, but I put the chances at Verlander actually taking the hill against Houston at about 50/50. Verlander’s name is very active in trade talks. Something could happen tomorrow morning, so watch very closely. At any rate, Altuve is hitting .524 in July. That is not a typo. .524! A 2-4 day actually lowers his average! Even if Verlander takes the mound, Altuve is one of my rocks. He is 7-13 with three walks, a double, five runs scored, two steals, and a RBI against him.

3B: Matt Davidson ($3,600): Davidson is 2-3 with a homer and five RBI in his career against Tomlin. Any questions? Davidson could be one of the better values out there today.

SS: Elvis Andrus ($5,200): Andrus is 6-20 with four doubles, three runs scored, and three RBI in his career against Wade Miley. Andrus will have plenty of chances to score runs today atop this lineup. He may just be worth this high price.

OF: Charlie Blackmon ($5,700): It looks as though the Nats are going with rookie Erick Fedde in his major league debut in the first game of the doubleheader. Even if it’s Edwin Jackson, I still want Blackmon. He has hit Jackson hard in his career. No matter who takes the hill, I’m paying for Blackmon.

OF: Carlos Gomez ($4,200): Gomez is 7-22(.318) with two walks, two doubles, a triple, a homer, three runs scored, and three RBI in his career against Miley. The Rangers own a .303 career average against Miley in 142 career at bats with five homers and 22 RBI. This looks to be a high scoring game. It may not be a bad idea to stack some of both sides.

OF: Melky Cabrera ($3,000): Melky is only 5-25 in his career against Josh Tomlin, but he does have a walk, a triple, and a solo home run. Cabrera is priced too low here, even in a struggling lineup. Tomlin is a fly ball pitcher in a hitter’s park with a 5.59 ERA.

Next: FanDuel MLB Picks and Pivots

Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our PGA picks. We also have plenty of NFL stuff to get you ready for football!