Main DraftKings Picks August 10: Is deGrom Clearly The Top Option On A Loaded Slate?
By Mike Marteny
DraftKings Main MLB Picks For August 10
10 of the 15 games are in the main DraftKings tournament tonight. There are a lot of good pitching options out there tonight, but there is a steep drop off after the top options. Can we find a bargain somewhere in the middle so our hitters don’t look like the White Sox lineup? Let’s check some stats!
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The money line last night was down to a more manageable 105.8 DraftKings points. My lineup with Justin Verlander and my mini Reds stack made it in easily. The other was crushed early by Collin McHugh.
The winning lineup was up down 60 points, but still very good at 221.5. He had the monster nightsfrom Ryan Zimmerman, Ian Kinsler, and Yadier Molina‘s grand slam.
These picks are based mostly on statistical analysis . If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.
For you first time players, if you would like $10 worth of free entry tickets, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn that $10 into more!
Next: DraftKings Lineup
P: Jacob deGrom ($12,700): The Phillies are only hitting .205 against deGrom in 83 at bats with just one home run and three runs to go with 19 strikeouts. On a night chock full of elite pitching options, deGrom even stands out here. He has a 2.88 ERA over his last ten games, and a 2.49 ERA in 11 home starts on the year. Even the hot Phillies are going to have trouble in this one!
P: Brad Peacock ($9,500): Suprisingly, Peacock has never faced the White Sox. Also surprisingly, teammates Collin McHugh and Dallas Keuchel allowed 15 earned runs in the first two games of this series. Someone forgot to tell the White Sox that they are supposed to be one of the worst offenses in the majors. I am hoping that works to keep the ownership down on Peacock because I am still going with him. He has racked up 107 strikeouts in just 81.2 innings pitched this season. He gave up seven runs in his last start, but still picked up nearly double digit DraftKings points because of the strikeouts. That makes him less of a risk than most. It also kept his price a notch below the other aces. I trust him more than Sonny Gray in Toronto or Yu Darvish in Arizona tonight.
C: Jason Castro ($2,900): As good as Zach Davies has been this year, he still has a 6.15 ERA in 11 home starts. Left handers are hitting him in Miller Park, which really isn’t much of a surprise. Fortunately for us DFS players, the left handed Twins are cheap tonight, Castro especially.
1B: Ryon Healy ($3,500): Healy has a .360 average against left handed pitching this year. Wade MIley is allowing a .376 wOBA to right handed hitters this year. Any questions? Marcus Semien, Mark Canha, and Chad Pinder are solid options as well if you can stomach an A’s stack.
2B: Kaleb Cowart ($2,300): Cowart will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton. He just continues to hit during this trip to the majors, and he may finally be up for good. I don’t expect big numbers for Cowart against Paxton, but he could hit double digits at a bargain price.
3B: Todd Frazier ($3,500): Marco Estrada has surrendered 14 runs in just 15.1 innings to the Yankees this season. A Yankees stack is in order if you can afford it. As you can see by my pitching selections, it is not feasible in this lineup, but I still want some exposure here. The Toddfather would be the place to get it. Frazier is 7-17 with two homers and four RBI in his last five games. He seems to be finally getting adjusted, and this breakout could last the rest of the season. I’m buying in at this price tonight!
SS: Didi Gregorius ($4,200): Gregorius hit a homer off the Jays last night, which is his second of the month. The way Estrada has struggled against the Bombers has me using Gregorius at a shallow position will little mid range values tonight.
OF: Khris Davis ($4,200): I am not fully stacking the A’s, but Davis is definitely going to be in there against someone who struggles against right handed pitching like Wade Miley does. Davis has also slugged two homers and driven in ten over the last ten games. He appears to be trending upward right now. A date with Miley will only help.
OF: Max Kepler ($3,700): Kepler has 54 DraftKings points over the last four games. He is finally starting to show a lot of that promise that he flashed last year. He has hit righties well all season. He seems like a no-brainer here against a guy with a 6.15 ERA at home. Just beware of high ownership.
OF: Corey Dickerson ($3,400): Dickerson is 2-5 in his career against Danny Salazar. Both of the hits are home runs. The Rays as a whole have really struggled against Salazar and likely will again, but Dickerson is a solid bet at a long ball for a very low price.
Next: DraftKings Main Lineup 2
P: Danny Salazar ($11,700): Salazar has the best previous stats of any pitcher going tonight. The Rays are hitting a pathetic .151 off of him in 53 at bats, but they have hit three homers. However, due to no runners getting on, he has only allowed four runs. The kicker is that Salazar has struck out 24 of the 53 at bats. That is nearly 50%! Salazar may have the best strikeout potential tonight, and is easily the best fade option for those of you going away from deGrom. In fact, Salazar may prove to be a better value for the price since he is $1,000 cheaper.
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P: Vince Velasquez ($7,700): Velasquez is probably the safest of the non-elite options, and that is simply because everyone has shut down the Mets lately. If Martin Perez can do it, Velasquez has a puncher’s chance at doing the same. Velasquez has ugly numbers on the season, but his ERA in four starts since his DL stint is right at 3.00. His strikeouts aren’t where we expect them to be yet, and he isn’t going to be deGrom, but he should put up another quality start.
C: Matt Wieters ($3,300): Wieters is starting to heat up lately, picking up 39 DraftKings points over his last four games. He should be able to keep that going tonight against Dan Straily. Wieters is 5-6 with a walk, two homers, three runs scored, and four RBI in his career against Straily.
1B: Eric Thames ($3,800): As long as the Twins keep throwing Kyle Gibson out there, I will keep throwing power hitters at him. Especially tonight in Miller Park, which caters to left handed power. Thames and his mates were baffled by someone old enough to be their father last night, but don’t expect that trend to continue. Gibson’s 6.03 ERA on the season is not an accident.
2B: Jonathan Villar ($3,600): Villar will be leading off against a team that could be in line for a lot of runs tonight. That is enough for me to throw him at Gibson at a top heavy position.
3B: Mike Moustakas ($4,000): Moose is 3-9 with two homers and three RBI in his career against Lance Lynn. Lynn has not allowed more than three runs in a game since June 18th, and his home ERA in the season is 2.58. That said, Moustakas does get a park upgrade here, and is about the only power threat in the Royals lineup with Perez sidelined. I will take my chances here that he drives in the run off of Lynn tonight.
SS: Enrique Hernandez ($3,300): The Diamondbacks are sending rookie left hander Anthony Banda to the mound in Chase Field tonight. I don’t have the money to stack here, but the lefty crusher is still well within my budget. Nine of his ten homers on the season have come against lefties in just 107 at bats.
OF: Giancarlo Stanton ($5,600): Stanton has 17 homers and 33 RBI in the last month…..and that includes the time off for the All Star Break! We all knew that he was capable of this if he could finally shake the injury bug. Stanton is now the major league leader in home runs, and is showing no signs of slowing down. Oh, and he has three in 30 career at bats against Tanner Roark.
OF: Jose Bautista ($3,500): Bautista is 6-15 with a double, a homer, two runs scored, and four RBI in his career against Sonny Gray. He has a homer and four RBI in his last three games, so maybe he is finally done with that horrid slump that has plagued him since the All Star Break. For this price, it’s worth finding out.
OF: Randal Grichuk ($3,500): Grichuk is 6-15 with two doubles, a triple, a homer, four runs scored, and five RBI in his career against Jason Hammel. I would prefer someone that isn’t batting in the lower third of the order, but I am not going to ignore these past stats. Grichuk has a homer and four RBI in the last three games, so he also appears to be coming out of his slump. That’s good news for him because the Cardinals have shown the propensity to demote struggling players.
Next: Early Slate DraftKings MLB Picks
Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our PGA picks. We also have plenty of NFL stuff to get you ready for football!