DraftKings MLB Picks August 29: Lock In Chris Sale
By Mike Marteny
DraftKings MLB Picks For August 29
We have a full 15 game slate tonight. We have a few aces, a decent middle tier, and a bunch of cheap pitching. We may need it if we pay up for an ace. That also means plenty of stack options. Let’s check where we can best spend our $60,000 cap.
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The money line last night was at 118.6 DraftKings points. The winning lineup was the only one over 200 at 204.75 DraftKings points. He spent on pitching, using Corey Kluber and Aaron Nola. He got value in Christian Vasquez, Ben Gamel and Carlos Santana all at low ownership.
We will provide you with several options to build your lineup here. Want to spend all your money on pitchers and play bargain bats? We will highlight who is worth the money. Want to punt arms and pay up for the big boppers? We can help you with that as well, and everything in between!
For you first time players, if you would like a bonus of 25% of your first deposit, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn those DraftKings dollars into more!
Next: DraftKings Pitcher Plays
Top Tier:
Chris Sale probably isn’t as expensive as he should be. First off, he has been elite at Rogers Centre. In six career starts, Sale has a 1.13 ERA there. The current Blue Jays are only hitting .193 off of him in 135 at bats with only four homers and six runs to go with 42 strikeouts. In my mind, he is better than both Scherzer and Kluber last night, and is priced less than both of them. If there is such thing as a bargain at over $13,000, Sale is it.
Next up is Jake Arrieta, who is also a solid option. The Pirates are only hitting .238 against Arrieta in 189 at bats with five homers and 14 runs to go with 50 strikeouts. He has pitched fairly well at PNC Park in his career with a 3.79 ERA in nine starts. The bottom line is that Arrieta doesn’t possess near the potential that Sale does. There are better pivot options unless you are a Cubs fan or just really hate the Pirates for some reason.
Rich Hill has absolutely dominated the Diamondbacks in his career. They are hitting just .130 against him in 46 at bats, but they have homered three times. The 18 strikeouts more than make up for that. The concern for me is Hill’s atrocious 8.68 ERA in two career starts at Chase Field. Arizona’s offense isn’t suddenly weaker. There is a sizable risk here with Chase Field being the hitter’s haven that it is.
Ervin Santana has been solid against the White Sox, but again, the Pale Hose aren’t nearly as bad on offense as most people think. They have scored 45 runs over the last ten games, which is right around the average. Santana hasn’t been nearly as dominant as he was early on. I expect a solid start from him, but not one that would warrant a five figure price tag.
Middle Tier:
I have a few favorites in this tier starting with Dylan Bundy. He has a 3.00 ERA in August with four quality starts in four tries. He was awful in June and July, but we saw what he was capable of early on. Strangely enough, Bundy’s ERA is better at home. Seattle is a solid team, but not so solid that I wouldn’t consider Bundy here.
Zack Godley has been just what Arizona needed this year. He has even pitched well against the Dodgers! They are hitting just .190 against him in 63 at bats with only two homers and four RBI to go with 19 strikeouts. Godley’s ERA is just 0.11 runs worse in Chase Field, so that doesn’t concern me either. He has struggled a bit lately, but he is still racking up points for DFS players. His price is low enough against the Dodgers that I’m considering him here.
Luke Weaver is 2-1 with a 2.31 ERA, so how is he only $7,600 against the Brewers? Miller Park is not exactly a pitcher’s park, but with the way he is going right now, he will strike out enough batters to absorb the hit of the runs he gives up. He struck out ten Padres his last time out. He could reach double digits against the free swinging Brewers as well.
The Royals are .300 hitters lifetime against Alex Cobb, so no thanks on that one. Matt Moore is making his first trip to Petco Park, but I’m still off of this one. He is far too big of a risk for the price, and the Padres are much better against lefties than righties. A big no to Trevor Bauer at Yankee Stadium as well.
Sal Romano has struggled some at home, but he is facing a Mets team that barely resembles the one that was on the field on July 31st. Every pitcher deserves consideration against the Mets, but using a pitcher at Great American Ballpark is always a risk.
Bargain Pitchers:
The Marlins are hitting just .190 in 42 at bats against Edwin Jackson with only three runs scored. Jackson has a new lease on life with the Nationals this year, and has made the most of that opportunity. We don’t know who will be opposing him yet since Justin Nicolino appeared in relief last night, but Jackson should at least be good for a quality start here. He has a 2.50 ERA in three home starts this year.
Mark Leiter Jr. has really only had one bat outing so far, and it was in San Diego of all places. He has a 1.33 ERA in 27 home innings this season, and the Braves aren’t really that intimidating of an offense. There is potential here.
Chris Flexen pitched well against the Diamondbacks in Arizona in his last start, so maybe he wont be intimidated by the Reds in Cincinnati. Don’t expect miracles, but Flexen hasn’t given up more than three runs in any of his last four starts. He could turn in a solid outing for roughly the price of an expensive hitter.
Top Tier:
Anthony Rizzo is 4-9 with two walks, a double, a triple, a homer, four runs scored, and two RBI in his career against Chad Kuhl. He is worth the hefty price today. So is Kris Bryant, who is 3-9 with three walks, two doubles, and two runs scored. Any Cub is in play since they are hitting .404 off of Kuhl so far as a team.
Joey Votto is hitting .326 with 18 homers and 53 RBI in 66 home games. It seems certain that he will at least get something against the young but improving Chris Flexen.
Rhys Hoskins gets his first look at a big league knuckleballer here with R.A. Dickey in Philly. The way he has been hitting home runs, and just driving in runs in general, he may still be worth a look.
Middle Tier:
Eric Hosmer is 5-14(.357) with a walk, a double, two homers, four runs scored, and four RBI in his career against Alex Cobb. Mike Moustakas is 4-12 with a double, a homer, and three RBI against Cobb. Salvador Perez is 5-12 with a run scored and two RBI. against Cobb. All fit nicely into a Royals stack if you are leaning that way.
Chris Davis is 6-19(.316) with a walk, two doubles, two homers, three runs scored, and six RBI in his career against Erasmo Ramirez. Manny Machado is only 6-25 against him, but he does have a homer if you are still looking to ride the Machado train.
Todd Frazier is also 6-19 against Trevor Bauer with a walk, a double, a homer, two runs scored, and three RBI. Chase Headley has six RBI off of Bauer and a 5-17 mark. Despite not hitting a homer against Bauer yet, Headley is a solid play for his price.
Josh Donaldson‘s price is way down against Chris Sale, but he has hit two homers and driven in six runs against Sale. It’s not often that you find a hitter of Donaldson’s caliber for $3,600. He may be worth it tonight, even against Sale.
Josh Bell has been on fire lately, and gets to reap the rewards of a price break against Jake Arrieta. He shouldn’t get one. Bell is 6-11(.545) lifetime against Arrieta with three walks, two doubles, a solo homer, and four runs scored against him. Bell is a great option tonight if you are looking to save some cash at a stacked position.
Joe Mauer is one of those guys that will likely go overlooked in a stack against James Shields, but he shouldn’t. Mauer is 16-54(.296) with two walks, two doubles, a triple, a homer, six runs scored, and 10 RBI against Shields in his career.
Bargain Shoppers:
Evan Gattis is 7-18(.389) with a walk, a triple, two runs scored, and a RBI in his career against Martin Perez. Yuli Gurriel has two hits and a RBI against him in four tries. Both are relatively inexpensive against a struggling pitcher like Perez.
If Brett Nicholas gets the start behind the plate, he is one to watch against Mike Fiers. He has hit a three run homer off of him for his only hit in two at bats. Mike Napoli has homered twice off of Fiers, his only two hits in nine at bats. Both are very affordable tonight.
Eric Thames‘ price has plummeted due to his struggles, but he did hit a homer off of Luke Weaver earlier this season.
Matt Davidson has doubled and homered in four at bats against Ervin Santana. He has 24 DraftKings points in his two games since returning from the disabled list. His price still reflects the DL stint, which means he comes at a great bargain tonight.
Top Tier:
If you want to use Jose Ramirez or Francisco Lindor against Jaime Garcia, I’m not going to tell you it’s a bad idea. The ample size is too small to tell if the 0-5 combined is a fluke or not. I’m guessing that it is.
Jose Altuve is 10-30 with two walks, six doubles, four runs scored, and three RBI in his career against Martin Perez. All Astros, especially right handed hitters, are in play tonight. Hey, it’s cheaper than a Coors stack (which netted seven combined runs last night), and could be more lucrative.
The Twins are going to be a popular stack, and they should be. Brian Dozier is 12-34(.353) with five walks, five doubles, four homers, a steal, eight runs scored, and ten RBI in his career against James Shields. Jorge Polanco is higher priced tonight, but it is warranted. Polanco is 5-11(.455) with two homers and four RBI against Shields.
Middle Tier:
Lefty Brett Anderson has resurfaced north of the border. His first start comes against the Red Sox. Xander Bogaerts is high on my list, as are the rest of the right handed hitters on this team.
Elvis Andrus is 4-14(.286) with a walk, two solo homers, and three runs scored in his career against Mike Fiers. Fiers has had issues with the long ball this year, so Rougned Odor could be a solid play as well. Odor is only 3-14(.214) against Fiers, but he does have a triple, a homer, and four RBI.
I like Paul DeJong against most pitchers. Matt Garza is no exception. Garza hasn’t been all that bad this year, especially at home, but DeJong has 20 homers in 300 at bats. That a solid guy to bet on.
Joe Panik is 7-13(.538) with three doubles, five runs scored, and three RBI in his career agianst Luis Perdomo. Perdomo has been an average pitcher all year. This Giants offense is average. Something has to give.
Bargain Shoppers:
I’m not sure how Didi Gregorius is $3,400 tonight against Trevor Bauer when he was more last night against Corey Kluber. At any rate, Gregorius is 4-13(.308) with a walk, a solo homer, and three runs scored against Bauer. I also like Starlin Castro in this one even though the price is higher and his stats aren’t as good.
Ben Zobrist is 2-3 with a walk, a double, a homer, three runs scored, and five RBI already in his career against Chad Kuhl. Javier Baez is 2-6 with a double, a homer, and four RBI.
I like Carlos Asuaje for this low price against lefty Matt Moore. The right handed Padres could be in for a big night. Asuaje stands to be a big part of it batting second.
Next: Top Outfield Plays
Top Tier:
If you feel like it’s only a matter of time before Edwin Jackson implodes, you could be right. Giancarlo Stanton is 4-9 with three walks, a double, a run scored, a steal, and three RBI in his career against Jackson. Christian Yelich is 3-5 with two doubles, a steal, two runs scored, and a RBI off Jackson as well. They make an interesting mini Marlins stack that may not be highly owned.
Did the day off do Aaron Judge any good? For $4,700, it may be worth finding out. He has two walks and a single in three plate appearances against Trevor Bauer, and we all know he destroys righties.
Byron Buxton‘s price has increased to the point that many will shy away from him. I wont tonight. Buxton is 3-11(.273) with a walk, a double, two homers, three runs scored, and four RBI in his career against James Shields. Max Kepler is in play here as well, even though he is only 2-12 so far against Shields.
Michael Fulmer has not been at his best since coming off the DL. He wont find that best at Coors Field either. Charlie Blackmon is an elite option once again, as is Gerardo Parra. You just have to pay up to get them.
Mike Trout and Kole Calhoun are in play against the struggling Chris Smith. Just about any Angel is, but they don’t have a lot of offensive prowess on that team. Only you can decide if you can stomach an Angels stack or not.
Khris Davis has a double in two at bats against Troy Scribner. Matt Joyce‘s exploitation of righties is well documtened. Joyce is in play as well.
George Springer is 5-19(.263) with a walk, two homers, four runs scored, and three RBI in his career against Martin Perez. Carlos Beltran is 3-7 with a walk, a double, two runs scored, and a RBI. He also comes much cheaper than Springer if you need to save money.
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Middle Tier:
Kyle Schwarber is 2-3 with two runs scored in his career against Chad Kuhl. Schwarber has 12 homers in 170 at bats at Wrigley this year. He has solid odds at a long ball against Kuhl. Jason Heyward is 4-8 with a homer and six RBI off Kuhl.
Austin Jackson and Brandon Guyer have both been starting against left handed pitching. They could wind up being bargains in Yankee Stadium.
Avisail Garcia is 6-24 with three walks, a double, two homers, five runs scored, and three RBI in his career against Ervin Santana. He also bats cleanup for under $4,000.
Melky Cabrera is 4-14 with a homer and two RBI in his career against Alex Cobb. He has felt right back at home in Kansas City so far. Can he have success against Cobb back in royal blue?
Bargain Shoppers:
Seth Smith is always a strong play against right handed pitching. He is 4-15(.267) with a walk, two doubles, a homer, and two RBI in his career against Erasmo Ramirez.
If you are looking for a lot of power potential at a little price, Hunter Renfroe and Jose Pirela fit that bill. So does Jabari Blash if you are feeling really brave.
Once again, Nick Williams is on my radar against R.A. Dickey. He is a solid punt play at $3,200.
I’m all over a $2,600 Chris Young against lefty Brett Anderson. He is still priced like he is facing righty Tom Koehler. I like Mookie Betts here as well, but not all of us will be able to afford him.
Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our PGA picks. We also have plenty of NFL stuff to get you ready for football!