MLB Bets – Tuesday April 30 – Will Texas Pound The Pirates?

Good day from MLB Bets.  Can San Diego challenge the Dodgers in the National League West?

Yesterday (Monday) MLB Bets expected to split 2 dog wagers and that did happen, picking up almost 1/2 a unit and pushing the season total to a plus 24.57 units.  This is calculated by using 1 unit as a base and allowing for the odds on the lay and take.

For tracking purposes all bets are valid regardless of pitching changes.  All times Eastern:

San Diego  (-1.05)  eases past Atlanta, 7:20 pm – Also play UNDER the 1st 5 innings
The Padres have to be feeling pretty good 1 month into the season.  Their experiment in terror is actually paying off as they are only 1 game behind the Dodgers in their division going into last nights action.  Stacking Fernando Tatis Jr. with Wil Myers and Manny Machado has paid dividends and energized the team.

Yesterday they had a negative pitching scenario but today that is reversed.  Chris Paddack for San Diego has a 1.67 season ERA and the team is 4-1 when he starts.  His road starts against Arizona and St Louis have been excellent – 9 innings allowing 1 run.

Julio Teheran gets the nod for the Braves.  He is night and day, being all ‘day’ when pitching at home.  He has a 5.40 overall ERA but has thrown 12 innings at home over 2 starts allowing just 2 earned runs.

MLB Bets believes San Diego can win this game, but also predicts the 1st 5 innings will go under the 4 1/2 total.  The forecast being the first 5 innings will be low scoring and then the Padres can out-duel Atlanta when the bullpen takes over.

MLB Bets To Win – Like Old Man River, The Cardinals Keep Rolling On

St Louis  (-1.07)  saunters by Washington, 7:05 pm
The Cardinals have the better team and the better pitcher going.  Being on the road won’t hurt them either.

Adam Wainwright gets the call for St Louis.  He’s been somewhat erratic, firing some good games and some duds, but overall he’s posted a 3.96 season ERA and 3.60 in his last 3 starts.

For Washington, Anibal Sanchez gets the ball posting a 6.00 ERA on the season.  He is more consistent being mediocre although he had one good home appearance against Pittsburgh.

St Louis is 8-1 going against right-handed starters and is now 7-0 on the road against sub .500 teams.  Wainwright also has a strong history versus the Nationals.  His team is 4-1 in his last 5 road starts at Washington.

Overall the Cardinals are now 9-3 against the Nationals.  MLB Bets wants to stay on this trend and go with St Louis.

Texas  (-1.21)  rocks Pittsburgh, 8:05 pm
The Rangers are not being given enough credit.  Knocking around another good pitcher will help to destroy that concept.

The Pirates send out Jordan Lyles with an impressive resume.  Before his last start, he tossed 17 innings allowing only 1 run.  Then he got rocked at home against Arizona.

The lines makers setting this opener around pick means the betting public believes Jordan will return to form.  If the odds were just based on the teams, Texas would be a strong favorite.

Texas is 10-4 at home while Pittsburgh is 6-7 away from home.  Even though the Rangers are sending out Adrian Sampson who has been rocked in his starts, his last 2 appearances were in relief where he has tossed a combined 4 innings allowing 1 hit and no runs.

This may be a committee game for Texas, and while that looks good on paper for Pittsburgh, good opposing pitchers coming into Arlington have been sent to the showers early.  MLB Bets predicts more of the same tonight producing a Rangers win.

MLB Bets To Win – Orioles Win Again?  Well, Yes

Baltimore  (+1.41)  brushes Chicago aside, 8:10 pm – half the wager on 1st 5 innings +1/2
This really is amazing.  Andrew Cashner has accounted for half of the wins for his team.

In Cashners’ last 5 starts, he is personally 4-0 and the team has won all of them.  The Orioles have provided him with runs when he’s needed them and it’s been a completely different feel when he is on the mound.  This Oriole team actually looks energized and confident.

The White Sox send out Ivan Nova.  Super Nova has either been great or terrible in his starts, with three bad ones and two good ones.  The lone home start was a disaster.

Amazingly the road record for Baltimore and the home record for Chicago are similar.  And while Chicago has been playing better lately than the Orioles, with Cashner on the mound you can throw that out the window.

We’ve already mentioned the orioles are 5-0 in Cashners’ last 5 starts.  Conversely, Chicago in 0-5 in Novas’ last 5 starts.  Don’t know if this means a lot but the system threw it out there – umpire David Rackley is scheduled to call balls and strikes Tuesday – the road team is 6-1 the last 7 times he has been behind home plate in Chicago.

There is enough evidence to warrant a play on Baltimore.  We will be backing the Birds.

MLB Bets Recap For Tuesday April 30th:

San Diego   -1.05
San Diego/Atlanta UNDER 4 1/2 in the 1st 5 innings
St Louis   -1.07
Texas   -1.05
Baltimore   half on 1st 5 innings +1/2  and  half on the game  +1.41

Best of luck and continued success from MLB Bets