DFS MLB Game by Game Breakdown – Sunday, June 24

FanDuel MLB: DETROIT, MI - MAY 02: Nicholas Castellanos #9 of the Detroit Tigers bats in the first inning while playing the Tampa Bay Rays at Comerica Park on May 2, 2018 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
FanDuel MLB: DETROIT, MI - MAY 02: Nicholas Castellanos #9 of the Detroit Tigers bats in the first inning while playing the Tampa Bay Rays at Comerica Park on May 2, 2018 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images) /
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DFS MLB
SEATTLE, WA – JUNE 11: Nelson Cruz #23 of the Seattle Mariners hits a home run off of Andrew Heaney #28 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim in the fourth inning during the game at Safeco Field on June 11, 2018 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Lindsey Wasson/Getty Images) DFS MLB /

Welcome into the Sunday edition of the DFS MLB Game by Game Breakdown! We have a healthy 11 games on the slate for today so let’s get to it.

Saturday was a successful day with a pretty good score over 160 points, carried by the big bat of Eddie Rosario. We also got a massive game from Robinson Chirinos as the Rangers rolled over the Twins. Sonny Gray was a disappointment but was enough to get the job done. Today’s slate looks like “Gas Can City” and there’s a lot of pitchers we can attack. One of the pitchers in the first game on the list does not fit into that category.

DFS MLB – Mariners at Red Sox

Mariners Probable Starter – Marc Gonzales, LHP 

3.80 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 20.9 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .229 average, .261 wOBA, 23.1 fly ball rate and 36.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .280 average, .331 wOBA, 26.5 fly ball rate and 35.4 hard hit rate

I’ve been the first person pounding the drum about the Red Sox lineup being bad against lefty pitching all season long so far. It’s weird because they should destroy lefties., but they rate mostly poorly. What turns this stat on its head is if Boston is home or not. If they’re in Fenway, the offense ranks in the top 10 in almost every category we generally look at. Gonzales could be in for a very long day and the top two threats are Mookie Betts(if he’s active) and J.D. Martinez. Both of those players are very expensive but they should be able to smash in this spot. A player that is risky that nobody would play could be Brock Holt. He owns a .447 wOBA and a 1.026 OPS against lefties in 22 at-bats this year.

Red Sox Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – J.D. Martinez, Mookie Betts

Secondary Options – Brock Holt, Xander Bogaerts

Red Sox Probable Starter – Chris Sale, LHP 

2.74 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 34.6 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .200 average, .246 wOBA, 22.6 fly ball rate and 27.3 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .184 average, .256 wOBA, 40.0 fly ball rate and 24.9 hard hit rate

My lean is still with Chris Sale but this isn’t the easiest matchup for him by the numbers. Seattle against lefties ranks fifth in average, ninth in OPS, 16th in ISO, 9th in wOBA and fourth in wRC+. They also carry one of the 10 lowest strikeout rates in baseball. Now, virtually no other lefty in the league is Chris Sale but this is no cake walk. A Mariners stack makes sense in tournaments for sure and a one-off of Nelson Cruz could be a huge boost to your lineup. Cruz is a lefty destroyer and owns two home runs off Sale in 26 at-bats.

Mariners Hitters to Target

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options -Nelson Cruz as a one-off, a full stack of righties

Home Run Pick – J.D. Martinez

DFS MLB
FanDuel MLB: MIAMI, FL – MARCH 29: Kris Bryant #17 of the Chicago Cubs attempts a hit in the sixth inning during the Opening Day against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park on March 29, 2018 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images) /

DSF MLB – Cubs at Reds

Cubs Probable Starter – Tyler Chatwood, RHP 

3.95 ERA, 1.73 WHIP and 20.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .274 average, .380 wOBA, 29.4 fly ball rate and 34.9 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .159 average, .280 wOBA, 24.0 fly ball rate and 21.8 hard hit rate

Keep an eye on this one as Chatwood isn’t totally official when this is being written. I don’t think Chicago has many other options. His bug-a-boo is the walks and the Reds as a team rank 11th in baseball in walk rate against righty pitching this year. They’re going to present an issue for Chatwood and they also happen to be white-hot at the moment. Cincy has been beating up on the Cubbies and I’m not sure Chatwood can stop the bleeding. Here’s the strange part – I really don’t feel like I’ll stack the Reds today. There’s a lot of offenses in great spots and Chatwood does do a solid job of limiting home runs. On a slate like this, I want to chase other potential. I wouldn’t be shocked if the reds still hang five runs but I just don’t feel as confident on projecting how they come. The lefties look the most appealing and you can feel free to stack them up.

Reds Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Joey Votto, Scooter Gennett, Jesse Winker, whoever catches between Barnhart and Casali

Secondary Options – Jose Pereza, Eugenio Suarez

Reds Probable Starter – Sal Romano, RHP

5.18 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 15.9 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .303 average, .371 wOBA, 30.7 fly ball rate and 38.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .213 average, .306 wOBA, 33.6 fly ball rate and 34.1 hard hit rate

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before all weekend – the lefty hitters for Chicago profile well. If you’re tired of reading that, believe me when I tell you I’m tired of writing it because the Cubs have been trash on offense this whole series so far. They’ve gotten their doors blown off by the Reds in real life and fantasy points have been a little scarce. They have the talent to break out at any moment in this favorable park. If you believe today is that day, Anthony Rizzo at $3,600 on FanDuel seems like an incredible value. He’s having a rough season but that’s dirt cheap given his potential. Kyle Schwarber and Jason Heyward are fine options as well and I would be remiss to not say Kris Bryant has dipped under $4,000 as well. He’s on the wrong side of the splits but man is that price tempting in at least a lineup or two.

Cubs Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Anthony Rizzo, Jason Heyward, Kyle Schwarber

Secondary Options – Kris Bryant

Home Run Pick – Curt Casali if he’s active, Jason Heyward if he’s not

DETROIT, MI – JUNE 13: Niko Goodrum #28 of the Detroit Tigers celebrates his second inning solo home run with Grayson Greiner #17 while playing the Minnesota Twins at Comerica Park on June 13, 2018 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
DETROIT, MI – JUNE 13: Niko Goodrum #28 of the Detroit Tigers celebrates his second inning solo home run with Grayson Greiner #17 while playing the Minnesota Twins at Comerica Park on June 13, 2018 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Tigers at Indians

Tigers Probable Starter – Matthew Boyd, LHP 

3.63 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 19.6 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .211 average, .269 wOBA, 44.4 fly ball rate and 40.7 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .206 average, .286 wOBA, 45.9 fly ball rate and 33.7 hard hit rate

Boyd has faced the Indians once this season and pitched well against them but I wouldn’t be chasing that magic. That was before the Cleveland offense had really got rolling and they could give Boyd some issues here. With all the star power that Cleveland has, most people wouldn’t guess the leader on the team in ISO is Yan Gomes at .259 and he carries a 1.013 OPS against southpaws, second on the team. The leader in that category is Francisco Lindor and the price difference is significant as well. Lindor is $2,000 more expensive on FanDuel but Gomes might be the better play. Lonnie Chisnehall would also be a great way to save money but a lot of my cheap targets are on the other side of this game. I don’t think I’ll spend up to Jose Ramirez, who is the most expensive hitter on the slate.

Indians Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Francisco Lindor, Yan Gomes, Lonnie Chisenhall

Secondary Options – Jose Ramirez, Michael Brantley, Edwin Encarnacion

Indians Probable Starter – Adam Plutko, RHP

5.04 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 17.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .333 average, .483 wOBA, 50.0 fly ball rate and 45.2 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .167 average, .259 wOBA, 69.4 fly ball rate and 33.3 hard hit rate

Of all the possible blowup spot that we’re going to talk about today, this might be the mother load. Plutko should not be anywhere near a major league mound at this point, full stop. He is a massive fly ball pitcher and even though the average is so low against righties, the fly ball rate is worse. He’s almost a lock to get smashed in this spot  and the best part of everything is the Tigers bats are unreasonably cheap. In case games, they should be the chalk by a wide margin. FanDuel just made it too easy to fit them and an ace pitcher. There’s four Tigers that have a fly ball percentage over 38 percent and that’s not going to mesh well with what Plutko does on the mound. Leonys Martin and Nicholas Castellanos are my first two targets on this squad, followed closely by Jeimer Candelario and Niko Goodrum. In fact Goodrum leads the team in ISO against righties and might be the lowest owned of the bunch due to name recognition. I’ll almost surely have at least two in my sample lineup.

Tigers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Leonys Martin, Niko Goodrum, Nicholas Castellanos, Jeimer Candelario

Secondary Options – John Hicks

Home Run Pick – Leonys Martin, Yan Gomes

DraftKings
LOS ANGELES, CA – OCTOBER 31: Rich Hill #44 of the Los Angeles Dodgers reacts during the second inning against the Houston Astros game six of the 2017 World Series at Dodger Stadium on October 31, 2017 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Dodgers at Mets

Dodgers Probable Starter – Rich Hill, LHP 

4.99 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 22.5 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .207 average, .267 wOBA, 31.8 fly ball rate and 31.8 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .287 average, .393 wOBA, 46.2 fly ball rate and 45.7 hard hit rate

I never, ever, ever pitch Rich Hill in daily fantasy…and the Mets are going to challenge my rule today. They are so bad against lefty pitching, I would play you, the reader, if you threw left-handed and were minimum price. You could probably net me 20 FanDuel points against this lineup. Additionally, Hill went into Wrigley Field and went six really good innings against the Cubs in his first start off the disabled list. Consequently, he’s on the short list of pitching options. I’m not going to be shocked if he’s out of this game because his thumbnail falls off or a raptor jumps him from behind on his way to the mound. That’s just the way things seem to go with Hill but he has 40+ point upside today. I’m not chasing Mets hitters in case Hill defies the odds and pitches a full game.

Mets Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Asdrubal Cabrera, Wilmer Flores

Mets Probable Starter – TBD 

Jason Vargas was supposed to start this game and you should have seen my face when the news broke that he hasn’t going to due to injury. It was alike a five-year old just had a big slice of cake ripped right out of his hands because the Dodgers were going to destroy him. Jokes aside, I hope that Vargas gets well soon. Manager Terry Collins said he won’t name a starter until the team gets to the ballpark, so analysis on this game is going to have to wait until late morning or early afternoon.

Dodgers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – TBD

Secondary Options – TBD

Home Run Pick – Justin Turner

MLB DFS
NEW YORK, NY – OCTOBER 03: Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees celebrates with Aaron Hicks #31 and Brett Gardner #11 after defeating the Minnesota Twins in the American League Wild Card Game at Yankee Stadium on October 3, 2017 in the Bronx borough of New York City. The New York Yankees defeated the Minnesota Twins with a score of 4 to 8. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Yankees at Rays

Yankees Probable Starter – Domingo German, RHP 

4.77 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 28.7 hard hit rate

Vs LHH – .193 average, .274 wOBA, 40.0 fly ball rate and 33.8 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .229 average, .314 wOBA, 37.3 fly ball rate and 41.3 hard hit rate

If you’re not going to pay up for an ace and you want more expensive bats, German looks like an excellent option. Not only does he offer a significant discount to the high-end, his ceiling is similar to theirs as evidenced by his 49 and 55 point efforts in his past two starts. The ERA is a little high but when a young pitcher is carrying this kind of strikeout rate, it speaks to the raw stuff he has. I suspect the ERA will see some positive regression. You just don’t miss that many bats and consistently give up that amount of runs. On a slate that’s this style and size, I really don’t want Tampa bats unless you’re stacking them.

Rays Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Stack towards the middle of the order or nothing

Rays Probable Starter – Matt Andriese, RHP 

3.68 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 23.2 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .197 average, .234 wOBA, 29.6 fly ball rate and 40.7 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .269 average, .334 wOBA, 31.9 fly ball rate and 46.0 hard hit rate

It’s another bullpen day in Tampa and that has done a pretty solid job of frustrating the Yankees the past two days. Tampa pitching has had their way with one of the best offenses in baseball and I don’t expect the to hold serve for much longer. The New York offense is justly too good, led by Aaron Judge. He only has one home run in has past 14 games and that streak is in danger of going down today. Really, the whole Yankee offense is a touch overdue and this could be a spot where they are potentially low-owned. Since it’s a pen day, I would stick to the best hitters like Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. Any righty would do nicely and we’ll see how the lineup shakes out.

Yankees Hitter to Target 

Elite Options – Aaron Judge, Didi Gregorius, Brett Gardner

Secondary Options – Giancarlo Stanton, Gleyber Torres

Home Run Pick – Aaron Judge

FanDuel MLB
FanDuel MLB: DENVER, CO – JUNE 8: Jon Jay #9 of the Arizona Diamondbacks walks into the batters box before a first inning plate appearance against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on June 8, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Diamondbacks at Pirates

Diamondbacks Probable Starter – Clay Buchholz, RHP 

2.94 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 19.1 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .185 average, .242 wOBA, 41.2 fly ball rate and 29.4 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .254 average, .330 wOBA, 44.0 fly ball rate and 48.0 hard hit rate

This isn’t the most predictive stat, but it is interesting that the one poor start Buchholz has had so far is against the Pirates. Is there a solid chance they could touch up Buchholz again? Absolutely. It’s also not a spot that I can really trust either side. The Pirates are average against righty hitting and Buchholz isn’t fooling righty hitters. I might just lean towards the top of the order right-handed batters like Josh Harrison and Starling Marte. This is not one of my favorite games on the slate. I’ve watched the Pittsburgh offense for WAY too long to trust them against anyone, even a pitcher like Buchholz who is a bizarre case.

Pirates Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Starling Marte, Josh Harrison, Austin Meadows, Elias Diaz

Pirates Probable Starter – Trevor Williams, RHP 

4.00 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 17.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .263 average, .326 wOBA, 37.3 fly ball rate and 24.0 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .207 average, .279 wOBA, 43.4 fly ball rate and 31.5 hard hit rate

It’s the same story for the Diamondbacks against today. We want the lefties and they can definitely be stacked up with Paul Goldschmidt as the cherry on top. Jon Jay, Jake Lamb, Ketel Marte and Daniel Descalso can all be used and Trevor Williams got lit up in Arizona the last time he faced this team about two weeks ago. The D-Backs offense has come to life and they might be flying under the radar as well today. I usually manage to attack Williams when he throws a good game but this could be a different story. I don’t think he can get the job done today and wouldn’t be surprised in the least if Arizona goes off again. Goldy and Descalso especially have been hammering fastballs the past couple of weeks.

Diamondbacks Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Paul Goldschmidt, Daniel Descalso, Jon Jay

Secondary Options – Jake Lamb, Ketel Marte

Home Run Pick – Jon Jay

OAKLAND, CA – MAY 04: Adam Jones #10 of the Baltimore Orioles is congratulated by Manny Machado #13 after hitting a home run against the Oakland Athletics during the first inning at the Oakland Coliseum on May 4, 2018 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Jason O. Watson/Getty Images)
OAKLAND, CA – MAY 04: Adam Jones #10 of the Baltimore Orioles is congratulated by Manny Machado #13 after hitting a home run against the Oakland Athletics during the first inning at the Oakland Coliseum on May 4, 2018 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Jason O. Watson/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Orioles at Braves

Orioles Probable Starter – David Hess, RHP 

4.82 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 12.5 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .288 average, .386 wOBA, 53.3 fly ball rate and 31.7 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .225 average, .317 wOBA, 48.4 fly ball rate and 34.4 hard hit rate

I said earlier that this slate could be named “Gas Can City” and this game is probably going to contribute to the fire. Neither pitcher is any good and Hess profiles poorly against lefties, which is a major issue against the Braves. We can go right back to hitters like Nick Markakis, Ender Inciarte and especially Freddie Freeman. If I’m spending up at all, Freeman is one of the better options as a one-off on the slate. I don’t want to pay all the way up for Ozzie Albies against a righty and there’s merit to going back to the three-man stack we played the other night. If Kurt Suzuki plays, I’d be more interested in him than Tyler Flowers.

Braves Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Freddie Freeman, Nick Markakis, Ender Inciarte

Secondary Options – Kurt Suzuki, Ozzie Albies

Braves Probable Starter – Brandon McCarthy, RHP 

4.89 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 18.8 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .276 average, .367 wOBA, 26.0 fly ball rate and 36.2 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .317 average, .356 wOBA, 26.4 fly ball rate and 30.8 hard hit rate

McCarthy hasn’t been very good this year and he’s getting waxed by righty hitting, which is a problem since he’s pitching against a very righty heavy team that has some power. This is quite the spot for Manny Machado, Mark Trumbo and Adam Jones. They all handle righty pitching fairly well with wOBA’s over .335. The odds are McCarthy probably isn’t going to be able to trick them time after time. One of those three if not multiple of them are going deep today. Machado is cheap by his standards and the other two are under $3,000. It’s not the craziest idea to play these three guys together and that be a large chunk of your teams in tournaments. It’ll be a hard pass on McCarthy for me.

Orioles Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Manny Machado

Secondary Options – Adam Jones, Mark Trumbo

Home Run Pick – Adam Jones

FanDue MLB
FanDuel MLB: HOUSTON, TX – JUNE 01: Carlos Correa #1 of the Houston Astros and George Springer #4 celebrate after the final out against the Boston Red Sox at Minute Maid Park on June 1, 2018 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Royals at Astros

Royals Probable Starter – Jason Hammel, RHP 

4.88 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 14.8 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .246 average, .318 wOBA, 46.4 fly ball rate and 50.4 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .320 average, .350 wOBA, 31.2 fly ball rate and 45.6 hard hit rate

It hasn’t exactly been the most rewarding exercise to use Astros hitting the past couple of nights. They’ve been held pretty much in check by some very mediocre Royals pitching, This has to be the time that they come through. Hammel is getting wrecked by righty hitters and that’s exactly what Houston has. The big four of Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Carlos Correa and George Springer are al right around $4,000 and that’s how they rank in wOBA against righties this year. I just don’t see how Hammel doesn’t get blasted, although we would have said the same thing the best couple of evenings. Many players might be off of them because they underwhelmed last night on a four game slate.

Astros Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – The big four

Secondary Options – Evan Gattis, Yuli Gurriel

Astros Probable Starter – Gerrit Cole, RHP 

2.59 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 36.1 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .173 average, .242 wOBA, 47.7 fly ball rate and 28.9 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .171 average, .253 wOBA, 46.2 fly ball rate and 36.4 hard hit rate

Cole and Sale are basically the same price today and Cole might have the easier matchup on paper but I still might wind up with Sale more than Cole. Kansas City is a bad offense but they don’t strike out a lot as a team. Now, that didn’t stop Lance McCullers from eating them up yesterday and Cole is a better pitcher, regardless of him being a little less dominant than he has been all season. Only once in his last five starts has Cole eclipsed 40 FanDuel points and that does give me a little hesitation. Could this be a sign that the American League have started to catch up to Cole? It’s possible and even though the Royals probably can’t beat him up too bad, there is a question about Cole’s upside today. This is a wait and see approach for me and I’ll almost surely lean towards Sale while not targeting any Royals hitters.

Royals Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – None

Home Run Pick – Carlos Correa

DraftKings
CHICAGO, IL – MAY 19: Jose Abreu #79 of the Chicago White Sox is congratulated by Matt Davidson #24 after hitting a home run against the Texas Rangers during the seventh inning at Guaranteed Rate Field on May 19, 2018 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jon Durr/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – A’s at White Sox

A’s Probable Starter – Paul Blackburn, RHP 

8.03 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 12.7 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .286 average, .305 wOBA, 17.6 fly ball rate and 22.2 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .300 average, .382 wOBA, 23.1 fly ball rate and 19.2 hard hit rate

How much can I trust the White Sox is a big question today because I almost want to run three White Sox, three Tigers, Chris sale and then find my last two pieces. Blackburn has gotten beat up in his time in the majors this season and today shouldn’t be much different. The pricing for Yoan Moncada, Jose Abreu and Matt Davidson are just far too low on FanDuel. I was on Moncada yesterday and he came through in a big way, although I didn’t play him as much as I thought I would. His price is even lower in a very similar, if not better, matchup today. Daniel Mengden is a pitcher who can’t miss bats and neither can Blackburn. It could be all hands on deck for the White Sox.

White Sox Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Yoan Moncada, Jose Abreu, Matt Dividson

Secondary Options – Daniel Palka, Tim Anderson

White Sox Probable Starter – Carlos Rodon, LHP 

4.41 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 21.9 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .167 average, .236 wOBA, 38.5 fly ball rate and 46.2 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .222 average, .322 wOBA, 32.4 fly ball rate and 29.4 hard hit rate

Perhaps the best pitcher at the cheapest price is Carlos Rodon. Has he been spectacular yet in his return from the disabled list? Not really but he’s also had to deal with Boston(in Fenway) and Cleveland twice. Oakland ranks in the bottom half of the league in almost every single offensive category other than ISO. Rodon has done a fine job controlling the hard contact so that should help mitigate the power Oakland has in their bats. They also have the fourth highest strikeout rate in baseball against lefty pitching and aside from a couple cheap options, I think I’m leaving the A’s offense alone today. Rodon is an excellent GPP option today.

A’s Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Chad Pinder, Mark Canha,  Matt Joyce
Secondary Options – Jed Lowrie

Home Run Pick –  Yoan Moncada

FanDuel MLB
FanDuel MLB: ST. LOUIS, MO – JUNE 15: Matt Carpenter #13 of the St. Louis Cardinals hits a two-run single against the Chicago Cubs in the seventh inning at Busch Stadium on June 15, 2018 in St. Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Cardinals at Brewers

Cardinals Probable Starter – Luke Weaver, RHP 

4.69 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 19.9 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .293 average, .361 wOBA, 33.9 fly ball rate and 34.7 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .225 average, .283 wOBA, 35.1 fly ball rate and 32.2 hard hit rate

We’re heading after the same four Brewers we have been the past couple games because that’s what the stats tell us to do. Weaver struggles against lefties and there’s some high-end options if that’s the way you want to go. Travis Shaw and Eric Thames have the massive upside while Christian Yelich probably has a little more safety. They are priced up and one player that might go unnoticed is Jesus Aguilar. He’s been on a tear recently and he’s also the only regular with a wOBA over .400 and he has an ISO over .300. Oh, and he’s a couple hundred dollars cheaper which makes things even better. Weaver hasn’t sniffed 40 points on FanDuel for a little over a month so I’m not chasing him today.

Brewers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Travis Shaw, Jesus Aguilar

Secondary options – Christian Yelich, Eric Thames

Brewers Probable Starter – Jhoulys Chacin, RHP

3.18 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 18.0 hard hit rate

Vs LHH – .258 average, .326 wOBA, 36.0 fly ball rate and 37.9 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .194 average, .249 wOBA, 39.8 fly ball rate and 38.0 hard hit rate

Lefties against Chacin have always been a thing and he’s still a good deal worse against them than righties this year. For me, there’s only one option on this side of the game and it has to be Matt Carpenter. He’s been smacking the ball all over the yard lately and he’s a really good options today. I would probably play Travis Shaw in the same game and save the $100 at the same position I’m definitely not going with Cardinals righties with all the offenses in positive spots today. Chasing Cardinals just seems counterproductive. If you’re absolutely desperate, Kolten Wong is a lefty and he is minimum price. There’s a chance he could pay off.

Cardinals Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Matt Carpenter

Secondary Options – Kolten Wong

Home Run Pick – Jesus Aguilar

DraftKings
BALTIMORE, MD – APRIL 01: Brian Dozier #2 of the Minnesota Twins celebrataes with Joe Mauer #7 after hitting a home run in the first inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on April 1, 2018 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Rangers at Twins

Rangers Probable Starter – Bartolo Colon, RHP 

4.91 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 14.6 hard hit rate

Vs LHH – .265 average, .335 wOBA, 36.8 fly ball rate and 43.0 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .259 average, .339 wOBA, 31.0 fly ball rate and 44.9 hard hit rate

Oh boy, it’s everyone’s favorite “Round Mound of Giving up Runs”, Big Sexy himself, Bartolo Colon. I want the twins best hitter against today and that is Eddie Rosario. He should not be $3,300 on FanDuel given his production and the matchup and I really want to take advantage of that. His boba is .411, his ISO is .280 and he rates well against the fastball and change-up. Colon’s fastball might as well be a change with how slow he throws it. I wouldn’t talk you out of Twins like Eduardo Escobar, Joe Mauer and maybe even Brian Dozier. Colon is a terrible pitcher anymore and he’s somehow not the worst pitcher on this slate. that probably won’t happen many more times this season.

Twins Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Eddie Rosario, Eduardo Escobar, Brian Dozier, Logan Morrison

Secondary Options -Joe Mauer, Max Kepler, Ehire Adrianza

Twins Probable Starter – Jose Berrios, RHP 

3.38 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 25.5 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .206 average, .270 wOBA, 39.1 fly ball rate and 33.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .215 average, .272 wOBA, 38.1 fly ball rate and 28.6 hard hit rate

If you don’t want to pitch Chris Sale or Gerrit Cole, Berrios is likely number three on this slate. He’s basically a two pitch pitcher and the Rangers don’t rate well against either. They’re 26th against fastballs and while they’re ninth agains the curveball, that’s just because the rest of baseball isn’t very good either. There is no metric that I want to pick on here, especially since Texas strikes out at the third highest rate in baseball. . This is definitely a spot where you stack it or leave it and I would go with the top of the order. Shin-soo Choo, Nomar Mazara, Elvis Andrus and Adrian Beltre could be options but this is just to be different than other entires. I’m not going after any Rangers hitters myself.

Rangers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Stack it or leave it

Home Run Pick – Joe Mayer

DraftKings
CHICAGO, IL – APRIL 11: Matt Davidson #24 of the Chicago White Sox bats against the Tampa Bay Rays at Guaranteed Rate Field on April 11, 2018 in Chicago, Illinois. The White Sox defeated the Rays 2-1. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – FanDuel Sample Lineup

P – Jose Berrios 

More from FanSided

C/1B – Matt Davidson

2B – Yoan Moncada

3B – Travis Shaw

SS – Manny Machado 

OF – Leonys Martin, Nicholas Castellanos, Eddie Rosario 

Utility – Justin Turner

Do I think I’ll still wind up pitching Chris Sale? Yes, probably but I wanted to see what kind of offense I could build without him. It would still be pretty easy to make a couple of adjustments and we would be ready to roll.  I want more Tigers and White Sox but I also don’t want to narrow my choices down too much at this juncture. We’ll take two Pale Hose with Davidson and Moncada and then we double down with Castellanos and Martin. The one-offs of Travis Shaw, Machado, Rosario and Turner look pretty good right now. With 11 games on the slate, I’ll likely change this to some extent but its a pretty solid first run. There’s plenty of home run upside to negate not having Sale in this lineup but sometimes it’s best to just lock in the pitcher no matter what.

The Core – Leonys Martin, Yoan Moncada

Stacks to Consider – Tigers/Indians game stack, White Sox(vs Oakland), Yankees(at Tampa), Twins(vs Texas) and Red Sox(vs Seattle)

Next: Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Adds

As always, may fortune be on your side and make sure to follow me on Twitter @bucn4life as MLB allows late swap. If there’s a late scratch and/or lineup cards aren’t put in for the late games, this article will always be updated on Twitter ASAP.