MLB DFS Cheat Sheet – Draftkings 7/24

Welcome to the second installment of our new daily series, a MLB DFS Cheat Sheet for DraftKings.  Each article will include a Cheat Sheet followed by a corresponding slate summary to help assist players in constructing optimal lineups. 

First off, a MLB DFS Cheat Sheet, when it comes to DFS, should never be used as the sole gauge when it comes to breaking down a slate. There is no substitute to extensive research and analysis collected from multiple platforms. However, a cheat sheet is primarily a great concise form of reference. It’s best used as an introductory guide in grasping an idea of your potential targets. Not to mention it’s very viable in constructing an initial build.

Our MLB Daily DFS Cheat Sheet will list our projected top player at each position at three different price points, which will be labeled as “Tiers”. Each player listed will be paired with his current price and stats from their past 7 games including their Draftkings FPPG (fantasy points per game) over that span as well. Now enjoy our MLB DFS Cheat Sheet for Draftkings Tuesday 7/24 Slate  *Note: All stats provided by MLB.com and Pro Baseball Reference

DFS MLB Cheat Sheet: ELITE TIER

Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola PHI, $12,000 vs LAD Last 7 Starts: 5-1 W/L, 2.22 era, 1.01 WHIP, 51 strikeouts, 32 hits allowed, 13 walks (DK average: 24.6 FPPG)

Catcher:  Yadier Molina STL, $4,300 @ CIN Last 7 Starts: 0.364 avg, .455 SLG avg, 3 runs, 3 rbi,  8 hit, 4 walks, 1 stolen base (DK average: 7.9 FPPG)

1st Baseman: Matt Carpenter STL, $5,400 @ CIN Last 7 Games: .500 avg, 1.625 SLG avg, 10 runs, 12 rbi, 8 homers, 12 hits, 4 walks (DK average: 21.7 FPPG)

2nd Baseman: Jose Altuve HOU, $5,200 @ COL Last 7 Games: .231 avg, .231 SLG avg, 1 run, 1 rbi, 6 hits, 2 walks (DK average: 3.7 FPPG)

3rd Baseman: Alex Bregman HOU, $5,800 @ COL Last 7 Games: .240 avg, .480 SLG avg, 5 runs, 7 rbi, 1 homerun, 6 hits, 5 walks (DK average: 9.6 FPPG)

Shortstop: Francisco Lindor CLE, $5,700 vs PIT Last 7 Games: .259 avg, .444 SLG avg, 4 runs, 1 rbi,  7 hits, 4 walks, 3 stolen bases (DK average: 9.4 FPPG)

Outfielder: Khris Davis OAK, $5,100 @ TEX Last 7 Games: .167 avg, .458 SLG avg, 5 runs, 6 rbi, 3 homeruns, 4 hits, 2 walks (DK average: 10.3 FPPG)

DFS MLB Cheat Sheet: Middle Tier

Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler NYM, $7,700 vs SD Last 7 Starts: 1-2 W/L, 4.26 era, 1.29 WHIP, 44 strikeouts, 39 hits allowed, 18 walks (DK average: 16.4 FPPG)

Catcher: Max Stassi HOU, $3,900 @ COL Last 7 Games: .222 avg, .222 SLG avg, 2 runs, 4 hits, 2 walk (DK average: 2.9 FPPG)

1st Baseman: Anthony Rizzo CHC, $4,500 vs ARI Last 7 Games: .545 avg, .773 SLG avg, 4 runs, 5 rbi, 12 hits, 7 walks (DK average: 12.6 FPPG)

2nd Baseman: Chad Pinder OAK, $4,100 @ TEX Last 7 Games: .320 avg, .560 SLG avg, 4 runs, 5 rbi, 2 homeruns, 8 hits, 4 walks (DK average: 9.1 FPPG)

3rd Baseman: Travis Shaw MIL, $4,300 vs WAS Last 7 Games: .273 avg, .409 SLG avg, 4 runs, 3 rbi, 1 homerun, 6 hits, 5 walks (DK average: 7.7 FPPG)

Shortstop: Marcus Semien OAK, $4,300 @ TEX Last 7 Games: .259 avg, .333 SLG avg, 3 runs, 2 rbi, 7 hits, 6 walks, 2 stolen bases (DK average: 7.3 FPPG)

Outfielder: Mitch Haniger SEA, $4,000 vs SF Last 7 Games: .200 avg, .200 SLG avg, 3 runs, 2 rbi, 4 hits, 7 walks, 2 stolen bases (DK average: 6.9 FPPG)

DFS MLB Cheat Sheet: Cheap Tier

Starting Pitcher: Eric Lauer SD, $4,000 @ NYM Last 7 Games: 3-2 W/L, 3.05 era, 1.28 WHIP, 29 strikeouts, 41 hits, 8 walks (DK average: 14.3 FPPG)

Catcher: Mitch Garver MIN, $3,100 @ TOR Last 7 Games: .222 avg, .389 SLG avg, 1 run, 2 rbi, 4 hits, 6 walks (DK average: 3.4 FPPG)

1st Baseman: Ryon Healy SEA, $3,800 vs SF Last 7 Games: .240 avg, .480 SLG avg, 2 runs, 7 rbi, 2 homeruns, 6 hits, 1 walk (DK average: 7.4 FPPG)

2nd Baseman: Jonathan Schoop BAL, $3,700 vs BOS Last7 Games: .333 avg, .667 SLG avg, 5 runs, 5 rbi, 3 homeruns, 10 hits (DK average: 7.4 FPPG)

3rd Baseman: Mike Moustakas KC, $3,800 vs DET Last 7 Games: .095 avg, .143 SLG avg, 2 runs, 1 rbi, 2 hits, 5 walks (DK average: 3.7 FPPG)

Shortstop: Greg Garcia STL, $2,900 @ CIN Last 7 Games: .091 avg, .364 SLG avg, 1 run, 1 rbi, 1 homerun, 1 hit, 1 walk (DK average: 2.6 FPPG)

Outfielder: Dexter Fowler STL, $3,700 @ Last 7 Games: .200 avg, .400 SLG avg, 4 runs, 3 rbi, 1 homerun, 5 hits, 1 walk (DK average: 6 FPPG)

MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: Slate Summary

Today’s Tuesday slate comes loaded with 14 games. Once again weather is gonna be a factor in most of the northeast, so that is definitely worth tracking. Baltimore look’s like the riskiest, I predict that game gets rained out. Philadelphia and Cleveland have some slight risk, but both should play despite potential delays.

Now there’s three elements of today’s slate that shouldn’t be overlooked. One is it’s a Coors field slate, so while the hitters get a huge boost their prices are heavily inflated. Second, Homer “Trashbag” Bailey is back, and all Homer does is serve up homers. Last, Aaron Nola should be the only high priced pitcher under consideration today.

Aaron Nola in his last 4 home starts; 29.8, 31.1, 34, 30.6 FPPG on Draftings while only surrendering 4 total runs in those games. So while the slate does feature some top arms in Kenta Maeda, Gerrit Cole, James Paxton, and Jose Berrios, Nola is the only pitcher amongst them I’d find my way to work into all my lineups. If for some reason, Nola fade is your strategy there are some nice salary relieving options.

Both NY starters Masahiro Tanaka and Zack Wheeler are in good spots to have solid starts. Despite some struggles with the current Rays roster, Tanaka still owns a 28.6 K% against them and is showing some positive regression. Wheeler has an impressive 35.5 K % with a 32.9 Whiff % and 9.7 walk % over the current and very underwhelming Padres lineup.

As for hitting, I’m targeting against the two gas cans of the night. Previously mentioned Homer Bailey and Mike Minor. Stack St. Louis bats against Bailey and Oakland righties against Minor. Words of wisdom: Do not fade Matt Carpenter, the hottest hitter in the majors right now against Bailey.

Finally two bats I’m over the field on who are relatively cheap are Mike “Moose” Moustakas and Dexter Fowler. Even though LHH Moose only has 2 hits in 13 at bats against RHP Jordan Zimmerman, his .395 xwOBA and .506 xSLG % show a positive stat correction is on it’s way. LHH Fowler at 3,700 against RHH Bailey might be chalk, but it’s good chalk.  Despite the poor season, Fowlers .588 SLG avg against Bailey should suggest there’s a big possibility he goes yard tonight. Now go make those winning lineups!

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