Fansided

2018 Allstate Sugar Bowl Odds And Prediction

ByMike Marteny|
ARLINGTON, TEXAS - DECEMBER 01: Sam Ehlinger #11 of the Texas Longhorns celebrates his touchdown run against the Oklahoma Sooners in the first quarter at AT&T Stadium on December 01, 2018 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
ARLINGTON, TEXAS - DECEMBER 01: Sam Ehlinger #11 of the Texas Longhorns celebrates his touchdown run against the Oklahoma Sooners in the first quarter at AT&T Stadium on December 01, 2018 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
allstate sugar bowl
NEW ORLEANS, LA – JANUARY 01: A detailed view of the end zone pylon prior to the AllState Sugar Bowl between the Clemson Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on January 1, 2018 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

2018 Allstate Sugar Bowl Odds And Prediction

Happy New Year from all of us here at Fantasy CPR. This is our last day of Bowl Games, and we will have them all picked for you! The last one before the National Championship is the Allstate Sugar Bowl, and the chance for Georgia to make a statement.

More from College Football Odds

It was a rough weekend no matter what. I at least hoped Oklahoma would put up a fight. Despite Alabama not covering, Oklahoma was never really in that game.

For the rest of the bowls, you will get my picks against the spread and point wagers just like I did all season long. I had a solid regular season, but I can make it look a whole lot better with a strong bowl season!

Just in case you missed any:
Autonation Cure Bowl
Progressive New Mexico Bowl
Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl
Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Jared Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Dollar General Bowl
So-Fi Hawaii Bowl
ServPro First Responder Bowl
Quick Lane Bowl
Cheez-It Bowl
Walk On’s Independence Bowl
NewEra Pinstripe Bowl
Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Camping World Bowl
Valero Alamo Bowl
Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl
Belk Bowl
Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl
Goodyear Cotton Bowl
Capital One Orange Bowl
Northrup-Grumman Military Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Redbox Bowl
AutoZone Liberty Bowl
TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
Outback Bowl
Playstation Fiesta Bowl
VBRO Citrus Bowl
Northwestern Mutual Rose Bowl

allstate sugar bowl
NASHVILLE, TN – OCTOBER 07: Elijah Holyfield #13 of the Georgia Bulldogs rushes for a touchdown against the Vanderbilt Commodores during the second half at Vanderbilt Stadium on October 7, 2017 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images)

(15)Texas vs. (5)Georgia(-12.5) at New Orleans, LA(2):

Texas 9-4, 7-3(2nd Big 12(10)

Wins: vs. Tulsa(28-21), vs. USC(37-14), vs. TCU(31-16), at Kansas State(19-14), vs. Oklahoma(48-45), vs. Baylor(23-17), at Texas Tech(41-34), vs. Iowa State(24-10), at Kansas(24-17)

Losses: vs. Maryland(29-34), at Oklahoma State(35-38), vs. West Virginia(41-42), vs. Oklahoma(27-39)

Record vs. bowl teams: 4-3

Sam Ehlinger was born to play quarterback for Texas. Just ask him. It’s all he ever wanted to do. The numbers he put up this season have Texas a year or two ahead of schedule after the dark ages of Charlie Strong. The emergence of Keaontay Ingram helped the running game, and Texas has some huge receivers. Not only that, but they are strong too.

The thing that really stands out for me for Texas is that nine of their 13 games were decided by a touchdown or less. Their three regular season losses were by a combined nine points. This team is battle tested in close games, and often came out on the right side of it.

Georgia 11-2, 7-2(2nd SEC)

Wins: vs. Austin Peay(45-0), at South Carolina(41-17), vs. Middle Tennessee State(49-7), at Missouri(43-29), vs. Tennessee(38-12), vs. Vanderbilt(41-13), vs. Florida(36-17), at Kentucky(34-17), vs. Auburn(27-10), vs. Massachusetts(66-27), vs. Georgia Tech(45-21)

Losses: at LSU(16-36), vs. Alabama(28-35)

Record vs. bowl teams: 8-2

This Georgia offense took a step back from last year. Of course, that happens when you lose two guys who are now starting in the NFL in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. D’Andre Swift and Elijah Holyfield are very good runners as well, but they aren’t on that level set. Perhaps the worst thing was a slight regression from Jake Fromm. The lack of a big play receiver didn’t help either.

The Georgia defense is still a strong unit. The loss of Deandre Baker from that unit will hurt some, especially against the big Texas receivers.

Prediction:

On paper, this may be almost as much of a mismatch as Vegas thinks it is. However, this season is already a success for Texas under Tom Herman. Georgia had thought of the playoff since they played the best game of the season against Alabama in the SEC Championship. News flash: That WAS a playoff game! How Georgia lets most ES(EC)PN analysts get inside their heads about what they deserved is going to determine this game. If Georgia is disinterested, they might lose this outright.

Georgia had trouble with Bama’s receivers. Same with Missouri and LSU. Texas’s bunch may be better than all of them. I don’t see this as a blowout. I think this game stays within a touchdown. I picked Texas outright in Bowl Mania, but I may flip that pick after watching the Big 12(10) come up limp in bowl games. I still don’t think Georgia covers though.

Pick: Texas

Stay tuned for the rest of the bowl picks against the spread, and our DFS picks for the NBA, NFL, and even some NHL action! We have something for everyone!