2018 Capital One Orange Bowl Odds And Prediction
By Mike Marteny
2018 Capital One Orange Bowl Odds And Prediction
We are finally up to the first two games of the college football playoff. Next we have the Heisman winner and the Heisman runner up in the Capital One Orange Bowl!
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It has been a hit and miss week so far, but my bowl picks are still doing pretty well overall.
For the rest of the bowls, you will get my picks against the spread and point wagers just like I did all season long. I had a solid regular season, but I can make it look a whole lot better with a strong bowl season!
Just in case you missed any:
Autonation Cure Bowl
Progressive New Mexico Bowl
Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl
Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Jared Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Dollar General Bowl
So-Fi Hawaii Bowl
ServPro First Responder Bowl
Quick Lane Bowl
Cheez-It Bowl
Walk On’s Independence Bowl
NewEra Pinstripe Bowl
Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Camping World Bowl
Valero Alamo Bowl
Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl
Belk Bowl
Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl
Goodyear Cotton Bowl
(4)Oklahoma vs. (1)Alabama(-14.5) at Miami, FL(5):
Oklahoma 12-1, 9-1(1st Big 12(10)
Wins: vs. Florida Atlantic(63-14), vs. UCLA(49-21), at Iowa State(37-27), vs. Army(28-21), vs. Baylor(66-33), at TCU(52-27), vs. Kansas State(51-14), at Texas Tech(51-46), vs. Oklahoma State(48-47), vs. Kansas(55-40), at West Virginia(59-56), vs. Texas(39-27)
Losses: vs. Texas(45-48)
Record vs. bowl teams: 7-1
Oklahoma didn’t miss a beat with Kyler Murray under center, and barely did after Rodney Anderson went out in the second game of the season. The running game just became Murray and whichever back got hot. The receivers are all really good, and the offensive line is a tough and veteran unit.
The only thing keeping Oklahoma from being an elite team is the defense. The firing of Mike Stoops after the loss to Texas really shouldn’t have surprised anyone. The only issue is that the unit hasn’t made significant strides under Ruffin McNeil either. Maybe the month of bowl practices will help.
Alabama 13-0, 9-0(1st SEC):
Wins: vs. Louisville(51-14), vs. Arkansas State(57-7), at Mississippi(62-7), vs. Texas A&M(45-23), vs .Louisiana(56-14), at Arkansas(65-31), vs. Missouri(39-10), at Tennessee(58-21), at LSU(29-0), vs. Mississippi State(24-0), vs. The Citadel(50-17), vs. Auburn(52-21), vs. Georgia(35-28)
Losses: NONE
Record vs. bowl teams: 8-0
Alabama looked unbeatable this year. ESPN was ready to engrave the College Football Playoff trophy on August 28th. Then came the SEC Championship. Then came the best offensive team the Tide faced this year. Even before Tua got hurt, Georgia was having their way with Alabama.
Maybe this defense isn’t as earth shatteringly dominant as originally thought. Shutting out ranked teams in back to back games is a great accomplishment for anyone, but they actually allowed 17 points to The Citadel the next week. That game was tied at halftime!
Prediction:
This is a historic offense against a great defense, but just how great? Alabama could barely stop Georgia in the SEC title game. That has prompted the over/under on this to epic heights in a playoff game (77.5). Given what I’ve seen from the Oklahoma offense and defense, that may be low.
Alabama is going to have as much trouble stopping Oklahoma as the other way around. Neither team has a dominant running game, so they are going to get up and down the field. I would probably take the over with Hollywood in there, but I’m much more confident betting the spread. Oklahoma is going to show up. There’s no way they lose by two touchdowns.
Pick: Oklahoma
ESPN Capital One Bowl Mania picks. dark. Next
Stay tuned for the rest of the bowl picks against the spread, and our DFS picks for the NBA, NFL, and even some NHL action! We have something for everyone!