Who Do I Start?: Tevin Coleman Or Stevie Johnson
Last week I started a new series that I will call Who Do I Start? I will take the subjects from what I feel is my toughest start or sit decision that I am facing this week. Then I will try to analyze it and walk you through the process that I use to make my determination. Last week we talked about whether or not to start Amari Cooper or Carlos Hyde. I chose Carlos Hyde and basically summed it up with two thoughts on my decision. The first was that I didn’t really trust Derek Carr to consistently get Cooper the rock and I just have had a gut feeling in Carlos Hyde since I found out the job was his.
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This week I feel like my toughest decision is for my flex play in a 12 team PPR league. It is Tevin Coleman versus Stevie Johnson. Both of these players had great games in week one and both should be looking at similar amounts of touches in week two.
Coleman and his Atlanta Falcons face off against the New York Giants in New York. In week one he received 20 carries for 80 yards and did not reach the end zone. He only received two targets through the air and failed to convert either target which could be a detriment for a PPR league. Backup Devonta Freeman may lock up the third down back role, but hopefully Coleman will be the guy to get red zone touches.
Stevie Johnson was able to convert all six of his passing game targets for six receptions, 82 yards and a touchdown. That makes for a good fantasy day, especially in a PPR league, but if you consider that maybe he does not score and Coleman does score then we have two very different looking decisions. Johnson and the Chargers will be facing off with a typically stingy Bengals defense which can and will factor into our decision here. We also have to consider that Johnson has had a pretty solid target per route ran rate and that Rivers seems to have good chemistry with him.
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This decision for me is going to come down to the factor of touches. To me even though this is a PPR league which can tend to favor starting a WR, that the smarter play will be Coleman over Johnson. I prefer the fact that he can and should get around 20 touches this game and stands a good chance to find the end zone. I don’t mind starting Johnson as a flex play, but against that Bengals defense it would seem the wise decision would be to look elsewhere and that is exactly what I will do.
As always thank you for stopping by and we wish all you fantasy footballers the best of luck!
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