DraftKings MLB Picks For May 6

Sep 12, 2015; Dallas, TX, USA; A general view of the DraftKings sign board during the match with FC Dallas playing against New York City FC at Toyota Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

DraftKings MLB Picks For May 6

There are 14 games in the big tournament today, so that means a lot of stats to go through, and a lot of tough decisions to make. The Cubs and Nationals have an early game at Wrigley, but the rest of the teams are up for grabs! Who should you spend on? Let’s hit the stats!

NOTE: these picks are based solely on statistics. Some players have never faced their opponents, or have very little experience against them. I am not saying that none of those are good picks. The highest scorer of the day could be someone with no experience against his opponent. This is based on statistical analysis only. If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players.

Vince Velasquez has never faced the Marlins, but I wouldn’t rule out him being worthy of using. As you may have expected, Marcus Stroman has never faced the Dodgers. Conversely, Kenta Maeda has never faced the Blue Jays either. Mike Wright has never faced Oakland. Rookie Tim Adelman has never faced Milwaukee either. Same goes for rookie Aaron Blair against the Diamondbacks.

Jordan Zimmerman has a very limited history against the Rangers, so you wont seen any of them here either. Drew Pomeranz has a similarly limited history against the Mets.

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May 1, 2016; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Cleveland Indians starting pitcher Danny Salazar (31) throws a pitch during the first inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Best Bets:

Wei-Yin Chen ($9,000): The Phillies are just 4-24 (.167) against Chen with eight strikeouts and no runs scored. On a day when the scattered aces have been hit pretty well by the opposing teams, Chen may be able to pull in as many points for a fraction of the cost.

Danny Salazar ($8,800): The Royals are only hitting .234 in 175 at bats off of Salazar with 42 strikeouts, but they do have an alarming 23 RBI. The Royals will likely score some runs off of Salazar, but Yordano Ventura got knocked around in his last start. Salazar has a good shot at the win as well.

Honorable Mention:

Rich Hill ($7,400): Hill has held the Orioles to a .214 average and just three RBI in 42 at bats while striking out ten. We have seen him notch double digit strikeouts this year, so the potential is here. J.J. Hardy, the Oriole who hit him best (.308) is also on the disabled list. The numbers favor Hill tonight.

Mat Latos ($7,300): Latos got knocked around a little by the Orioles in his last start, but that can be forgiven. The Twins are not the Orioles. Latos faced them back on April 14th and gave up only one run is six innings while striking out four. It was good enough for 20.5 points under the DraftKings system. He is a bargain if he can do it again at this price.

Dark Horses:

Cory Rasmus ($4,000): Rasmus will be making his first start, so he likely will not go much, if any deeper than five innings. He may not even get that far. But for those of you that really want to gamble, the Rays are only 3-16 (all singles) with six strikeouts against Rasmus in their careers. If he sticks around long enough to pick up the win, he could be a great value here, but there is a lot of risk involved.

Apr 23, 2016; Anaheim, CA, USA; Seattle Mariners right fielder Nelson Cruz (23) hits a solo home run in the 6th inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

You have heard our FanDuel experts Matt Rogers and Brian Tulloch talk about “stacking” pieces of a lineup against certain pitchers. Here are the stacks that could work well on DraftKings today, based on past statistics.

Can you really stack Braves against Zack Greinke? History says yes. Erick Aybar ($2,600) is 10-28(.357) with a pair of walks, five doubles, and two RBI off Greinke. Nick Markakis ($3,400) could be a good bet if he plays. Markakis is 5-19(.263) with a walk, three doubles, a home run, and five RBI. A.J. Pierzynski ($2,700) is 21-54(.389) with three doubles, three homer, and eight RBI off Greinke. He could be a huge bargain.

Another stack that wouldn’t seem to make a lot of sense is the Tigers against Cole Hamels, but they have hit him to the tune of a .346 average in 156 at bats with seven homers and 18 RBI. Mike Aviles ($2,300) should wind up in the lineup somewhere. He is 3-5 with a double and a pair of solo homers off Hamels. Miguel Cabrera ($4,100) is 8-13(.615) with five walks, two doubles, a triple, and four driven in. J.D. Martinez ($3,400) is 3-8 with a walk, a double, a home run, and three RBI against Hamels. Look out for Justin Upton ($3,000) as well. Upton is 11-35(.314) with four doubles and a solo homer, but he has whiffed 12 times.

Sure, Rick Porcello pitched well against the Yankees last Saturday, but I still don’t trust him. Jacoby Ellsbury ($3,800) is 12-28(.429) with a walk, two doubles, and four solo home runs off of Porcello. Dustin Ackley ($2,800) is 5-14(.357) with a walk, a double, a home run, and a pair of RBI against Porcello. Chase Headley ($2,700) is 5-16(.313) with a walk, a double, a homer, and three RBI. These are all cheap stacking options.

You can’t trust Ricky Nolasco, unless you are stacking against him, of course. Dioner Navarro ($2,700) should find his way into the lineup somehow considering his 7-15(.467) career mark against Nolasco with two doubles, a homer, and four RBI. Jose Abreu ($4,400) is only 3-8, but he has a double, a homer, and two RBI. Melky Cabrera ($3,000) could be a sneaky play. Cabrera is 9-22(.409) with a double and a solo homer off of Nolasco. Jimmy Rollins ($3,400) is 12-51(.235), but he has four walks, three doubles, a triple, two homers, and four RBI. He is worth a roll of the dice.

The Giants have done pretty well against Chad Bettis. They are hitting .273 off of him in 77 at bats. Brandon Belt ($3,900) has been a big thorn, going 7-12(.583) with a walk, two doubles, and two RBI. Matt Duffy ($3,200) is 4-9 with a double and two RBI. Hunter Pence ($4,200) is only 2-8, but one of the hits is a two run homer.

Taijuan Walker pitched well against the Astros back on April 25th, but his career numbers against them still aren’t good. Evan Gattis ($3,500) is 5-14(.357) with a double, two homers, and four RBI against Walker. Jose Altuve ($5,200) is 8-22(.364) with three doubles, a homer, and three RBI. Colby Rasmus ($3,400) is 5-13(.385) with two doubles and a solo homer against Walker. George Springer ($4,200) is only 3-12, but he does have a homer and three RBI against Taijuan.

Nelson Cruz ($4,400) brings his Boomstick against Doug Fister. Cruz is 8-25(.320) with five walks, two doubles, a homer, and three driven in against Fister. Robinson Cano ($5,100) is 5-14 with two doubles and a RBI. Leonys Martin ($3,100) could be a nice cheap play. Martin is 3-9 with a walk, a double, and a solo home run against Fister.

May 1, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Colorado Rockies right fielder Carlos Gonzalez (5) scores a run during the fourth inning against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Apr 27, 2016; Anaheim, CA, USA; Kansas City Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer hits a two-run home run during the first inning against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. Mandatory Credit: Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

You know, Billy Butler ($4,000) keeps coming up on this list, but I don’t know if I would use him. Still the stats say that he is worth using against Ubaldo Jimenez. Butler is 10-29(.345) with six walks, a double, a homer, and five RBI against Ubaldo in his career.

Danny Salazar has mostly dominated the Royals with one exception: Eric Hosmer ($4,200). Hosmer is 8-20(.400) with a walk, four doubles, two home runs, and sive RBI against Salazar. For those of you wanting to roll the dice a little, try Mike Moustakas ($3,600). Moose is just 4-22(.182) against Salazar, but he has two homers and five RBI off of him.

His teammates have not done much against Michael Pineda, but Mookie Betts ($4,500) sure loves to hit off of him. Betts is 5-15 with two doubles, two homers, and four RBI against Pineda.

Derek Norris ($2,400) may actually be worth using against Noah Syndergaard. Norris is 2-6 with a homer and two RBI off of him.

Albert Pujols ($3,600) is 4-10 in his career off of Chris Archer with a solo home run. Daniel Nava is 6-12 off of Archer, but he is also on the disabled list. However, Yunel Escobar ($3,100) is a perfect 3-3 against him.

For whatever reason, Carlos Gonzalez ($3,800) has always hit Madison Bumgarner well, despite what lefty-lefty conventional wisdom says. CarGo is 16-46(.348) off of Bumgarner with four walks, four doubles, five home runs, and ten driven in. Nolan Arenado ($4,000) is cheaper tonight, but he is only 5-25 off of MadBum, but he does have a double, two homers, and four RBI.

Keeping with the Carlos theme, Carlos Santana ($4,100) is 6-18 with four walks, a double, two homers, and four RBI against Yordano Ventura.

It was Jhonny Peralta (.340, four homers, eight RBI) that really hit Francisco Liriano hard, but Matt Holliday ($3,300) could also be worth a look. Holliday is 9-26(.346) with four walks, two doubles, a home run, and four RBI off of Liriano.

Be sure to check out the FanDuel picks from out experts in that area! Brian Tulloch provides the picks, while Matt Rogers tells you where to save in his FanDuel Economics articles. Don’t play an FanDuel without them!

Good luck out there, and check out our picks for the NBA playoffs and FanDuel baseball!