DraftKings Late MLB picks for June 22
The late tournament today has eight games, which still gives us a lot of options to choose from. Who are the best ones? Let’s check out the past stats.
NOTE: these picks are based solely on statistics. Some players have never faced their opponents, or have very little experience against them. I am not saying that none of those are good picks. The highest scorer of the day could be someone with no experience against his opponent. This is based on statistical analysis only. If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players.
Michael Fulmer has never faced the Mariners. After a rocky start to his career, he has given up just two runs in his last six starts. When you add that to the Tigers’ success against Iwakuma, and Fulmer could be one of the best plays out there.
Erik Johnson has never faced the Orioles, but he has given up four runs, five runs, five runs, and five runs in his four starts. You don’t want to use him against one of the best offenses in baseball with a track record like that.
Eduardo Rodriguez has never faced the White Sox, but he has yet to find the consistency that made him a hot pickup in the second half last year. He has allowed 16 runs in four starts this year. It’s probably best not to use him until he strings a couple of quality outings together.
Kyle Gibson has never faced the Phillies, and as tempting as it may be to use him against an offense like this, Gibson still has a 6.06 ERA on the year. He has given up eight runs in 12 innings since his return from the DL, so it’s not like things are getting better.
Adam Morgan has never faced the Twins, but the Twins hit lefties pretty well and Morgan has a 6.49 ERA. It is tempting, especially going against Gibson, but you are likely better off avoiding any pitchers in this game. Just like you would have been last night.
Julio Urias has never faced the Nationals, and had the best start of his young career on Friday against the Brewers. He gave up five hits and a walk in five scoreless innings while striking out eight. If you use him because of his strikeout potential, just be aware that he likely is on a pitch and/or inning count again, which severely limits his value.
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Cole Hamels ($10,400): Hamels was no stranger to the Reds while in the National League. He held the Reds to a .209 average in 139 at bats with three homers, 12 runs, and 31 strikeouts. He doesn’t have elite strikeout numbers, but he could trend that way. The Reds are getting younger, and the strikeout numbers are going up.
Jeff Samardzija ($8,900): The Pirates have a robust .273 average against Samardzija in 110 at bats, but they have just seven run and have struck out 32 times. He has not given up a long ball either, which enables him to get out of jams. His strikeout potential keeps him in the upper tier against Pittsburgh tonight. He will give up some baserunners, but he has been great at limiting damage.
Joe Ross ($8,800): Yasiel Puig has hammered Joe Ross. Puig is 2-3 with a triple, a homer, and five RBI. Andre Ethier had another triple. The good news for Ross is that both of them are on the DL. The rest of the team is a combined 0-7 with two walks, but only one strikeout. Ross is a different pitcher this year. He could have a very good night.
Jose Quintana ($7,900): Starting Quintana against the Red Sox looks like an unnecessary risk on the surface. Dig a little deeper and you will see that the Red Sox are only hitting .194 off of Quintana in 103 at bats with a homer, eight RBI, and 20 strikeouts. Also, given the inconsistency of Eduardo Rodriguez this year, Quintana could be a very sneaky pick for 20 points.
Dan Straily ($6,600): Straily saw the Rangers plenty of times while he was in Oakland, and held them to a .225 average in 102 at bats. Josh Hamilton hit him the hardest, and if you take his stats out of the mix, the average dips to .218 with two homers and eight RBI with 18 strikeouts. He could put up good numbers in this one, and wont be widely used.
You have heard our FanDuel experts Matt Rogers and Brian Tulloch talk about “stacking” pieces of a lineup against certain pitchers. Here are the stacks that could work well on DraftKings today, based on past statistics.
The Tigers are hitting .356 with eight homer off of Hisashi Iwakuma in just over 100 at bats. There are stats galore here! Miguel Cabrera ($4,500) is 3-9 with a walk, a homer, and two RBI off Iwakuma. Victor Martinez ($3,500) is 6-12 with two walks, a double, two homers, and six RBI. Ian Kinsler ($4,900) is 11-29(.379) with two walks, two doubles, a three solo homers. Nick Castellanos ($3,600) is 3-7 with a walk, a double, and a solo homer. Use your Tigers tonight!
Matt Kemp ($4,700) will be glad to see Ubaldo Jimenez on the mound again. Kemp is 12-38(.316) with five walks, three doubles, a triple, two homers, and four RBI against Ubaldo. Jon Jay ($4,400) is 3-8 with a walk, two doubles, a homer, and two RBI off of Jimenez.
Jay Bruce ($3,800) is only 6-29(.207) against Cole Hamels, but he has managed two homers and four RBI against him.
Be sure to check out the FanDuel picks from out experts in that area! Brian Tulloch provides the picks, while Matt Rogers tells you where to save in his FanDuel Economics articles. Don’t play an FanDuel without them!
Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball!