FanDuel MLB: Picks and Pivots for September 6
Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Picks & Pivots, a daily fantasy baseball column focused on providing analysis and insights into the top FanDuel MLB lineups. The purpose of this column is to first identify key building blocks that can be used for any roster construction and then identify pivot points to help differentiate your lineup in hopes of a big payday!
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Tuesday’s MLB action kicks off at 7:00PM EST with 15 games to choose from on the FanDuel MLB slate!
I will continue to track winning Tournament lineups and compare trends over 5 day periods to help us understand what it takes to remain profitable. I HIGHLY recommend each of you do this each morning to look back on the previous night and understand how the winning lineups are constructed in the games you participate in.
The view below tracks GPP entries over various time periods, breaking out key metrics to understand the trends and compositions of GPP winning rosters:
|Time Period||Score||Pitcher Salary||Pitcher %||Hitter %||Hitter $/Player||Value|
|Season||255.9||$ 8,635||25%||75%||$ 3,296||7.31|
|5 Day||251.3||$ 8,817||25%||75%||$ 3,273||7.18|
|Prev Day||230.2||$ 9,800||28%||72%||$ 3,150||6.58|
Now on to the picks…For more DFS Strategy insights, check out my latest article to help take your game to the next level! I highly recommend gamers track their game performance across the various types of games they play – GPP’s, Cash, Multipliers etc – as this simple exercise will help teach you more about profitable roster construction than you can imagine.
At first glance of the starting pitching options on Tuesday we notice the price point of Corey Kluber at $10,800 and no other pitcher within $2,000 of that price. Kluber has been fantastic over the last month, averaging 46.3 points per game which is by far the most on the slate but is he worth his price point on Tuesday? Facing an Astros team that is top five in the league in strikeout rate may further the case to pay up for Kluber but the Astros also have one of the most prolific and deep offenses in baseball which makes Kluber far from a safe play in my mind.
The one pitcher that stands out to me on this slate is Cardinals rookie Luke Weaver ($7,100) who gets a road start against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Weaver is averaging 43.5 points per start over the last two weeks, including a 10 strike out no decision against the Brewers his last time out.
Weaver was dominant in the minor leagues this season at Double-A and has continued to build start by start in the big leagues including striking out 23 batters over his last 17 IP. Outside of Kluber, the Tuesday pitching slate is littered with question marks so when presented with that sort of landscape, I want to look for a pitcher who Vegas favors to get the win while targeting a pitcher coming in with good form and high upside. Weaver has checked all those boxes for me and allows a high upside offensive stack with his bargain price point.
The starting pitching slate on Tuesday may be a difficult one to navigate but we have a plethora of offensive options including a game in Coors Field.
Chicago Cubs against Wily Peralta: One of the best offenses in all of baseball takes on one of the worst starting pitchers in the league and I intend on stacking away! Wily Peralta has been flat-out terrible this year, pitching to a 5.5+ ERA and what I love about him from a DFS perspective is that he gets hit hard from both sides of the plate which makes it easier to mix and match as most players tend to look for the platoon advantage only.
Peralta has given up a .300+ average to hitters from both sides of the plate, an identical .529 slugging percentage and a wOBA over .385. Digging further, Peralta gives up a 35% hard contact rate to hitters from both sides so this is a great spot to target right-handed bats as a contrarian play.
Anthony Rizzo ($4,200) has to take the cake as the top BvP play of the night as his numbers against Peralta are frankly absurd. Rizzo is 14 for 28 with 8 extra base hits, 5 home runs and 11 RBI’s. Lock the man in people, sometimes BvP is over-rated but in this case I will play the numbers!
Jorge Soler ($2,400) makes for a great value play as he returned to the lineup Monday and hitting in the middle of the Cubs order makes him a great addition to any stack!
Below you will find my initial lineup for Tuesday’s FanDuel MLB slate including notes/comments on my roster construction.
- Pitcher: Luke Weaver ($7,100)
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- Catcher: Willson Contreras ($3,000)
- First Base: Anthony Rizzo ($4,200)
- Second Base: Jason Kipnis ($3,500) The Indians face off against Houston RHP Brad Peacock who has given up a .272 average and .360 wOBA to LHB in his career
- Third Base: Kris Bryant ($4,100)
- Shortstop: Francisco Lindor ($3,600) Adding on to the Kipnis play and going with a mini Indians stack in the middle infield
- Outfield: Nelson Cruz ($3,900) The Mariners get to take on LHP Martin Perez and Cruz is 4 for 7 with 2 HR’s in his career against him
- Outfield: Franklin Gutierrez ($3,300) Gutierrez has homered in back to back games, putting up 66 FanDuel points in the process and makes for a great mini stack with Cruz for a very reasonable price!
- Outfield: Jorge Soler ($2,400)
Best of luck tonight gamer’s! Make sure to review the lineups as they are announced before locking in your lineups!