DraftKings NBA Picks for November 29

There are only six games tonight, but there are still enough stars in action to strap our budget. Who is worth paying for? Where are the bargains? Let’s dive in and look at the stats.

Point Guards

Best Bets:

Chris Paul ($8,900): Paul has the best matchup of the top point guards tonight, facing a Nets team that is in the bottom third of the league in fantasy points allowed to point guards. The problem is that Paul doesn’t always reach optimum value. In fact, he has missed 5x value in each of the last three games. So do you go with the hot hands, or the better matchup?

Kyrie Irving ($7,600): Irving has largely been ignored in DFS circles this year because of all of the talent in Cleveland. However, he still puts up elite scoring numbers. It’s when he doesn’t pass the ball that his value suffers. Irving only has nine assists in his last three games combined. However, He is much less of a risk because of his lower price.

Honorable Mention:

James Harden ($11,300): Any time Harden takes the court, we at least have to mention him. The Beard has seven straight double-doubles, and is continually a high end option. Why is he not in the elite tier? Because Utah has allowed the fewest fantasy points to point guards this season. That makes 5x value (56.5 DraftKings points) unlikely.

Giannis Antetokuonmpo ($9,200): Giannis faces the same problem as Harden: a tough opponent. The Cavs have allowed the eighth least points to point guards this year, but Giannis has topped 5x value in five of his last seven games.

Dark Horses:

Jordan Clarkson ($6,200): Clarkson is still a sixth man, but he receives more minutes and produces more than some starters. Clarkson has only been below 33 DraftKings points once in five games since D’Angelo Russell went down. Clarkson should continue to top 5x value with ease.

Elfrid Payton ($5,100): Payton is far from a model of consistency, but he has hit 5x value in each of his last four games. As an added bonus, Payton takes on a Spurs team that has allowed the second most fantasy points to point guards. Expect a fifth straight tonight.

My pick: Payton(PG)

Shooting Guards

Best Bets:

Evan Fournier ($5,700): Fournier torched the Bucks on Sunday, and he now has two 40+ DraftKings points games in his last three tries. Don’t be surprised if Fournier makes it four tonight against a Spurs team that has allowed the third most fantasy points to shooting guards.

Sean Kilpatrick ($5,300): The Nets have leaned heavily on Kilpatrick this year, and he usually responds. The Clippers are in the bottom third of points allowed to shooting guards, and Kilpatrick has topped 5x value in each of his last three games. This looks like another good night for him.

Honorable Mention:

Nicolas Batum ($6,600): While Batum was not under a minutes restriction last night, he still only played 23 minutes, and he struggled while on the floor. That leads me to think that his eye is still bugging him. He may continue to cede minutes to Lamb until his game gets back going. The only problem is we wont know until the game is underway whether Batum is back on or not.

Lou Williams ($5,700): Williams has seen more minutes with Russell out, but he is still not one of the first choices on the offensive end. That leaves LouWill as a bit of a risk, but he is a threat to go off on any given night.

Dark Horses:

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($4,900): His inconsistency is maddening, especially in DFS circles, but KCP has shown the ability to go off against lesser teams. Charlotte is not a lesser team, but their defense of the SG position is in the bottom third of the league. KCP is a low risk/high reward play tonight.

Matthew Dellavedova ($4,100): Dellavedova is still a great value despite his poor shooting because he handles the ball so much. If you need extra money to pay for a stud, Dellavedova is cheap enough that he has reached 5x value in five of his last six games.

My pick: Kilpatrick(SG), Dellavedova(G)

Small Forwards

Best Bets:

LeBron James ($9,700): You know those 60+ DraftKings point games that James didn’t have early in the season? They are back now. The King has topped that mark in three of his last five games. The bad news is that when he missed, he missed big. In the two games that he didn’t reach 60, LeBron posted just 75 combined DraftKings points. The King is a bit of a risk against the Bucks, but it’s really tough to bet against someone with his track record.

Kawhi Leonard ($8,400): Leonard has topped 40 DraftKings points in six of his last seven games. Kawhi will likely do that against the Magic, who are in the bottom five of fantasy points allowed to small forwards. The only question is how far over will he go? Enough that he is a very safe fade option to LeBron.

Honorable Mention:

Tobias Harris ($5,700): Harris is still a great value when the matchup is right. The matchup appears right against the Hornets tonight, who have allowed the fourth most points to small forwards this year. Harris will still take plenty of shots with Reggie Jackson ruled out again, so expect 5x value with ease tonight.

Trevor Ariza ($5,600): Ariza doesn’t have the high ceiling that most DFS players covet, but his abilities on the defensive end always keep him from being a complete bust. Ariza has had at least 25 DraftKings points in all but two games this year. I will take those odds.

Dark Horses:

Jeremy Lamb ($4,600): Lamb went off with Batum out over the weekend, and had a huge game last night with Batum still feeling negative effects from an eye injury. So long as Batum plays, which he will, Lamb remains a risk to play, but as the last two games have showed, he can be huge if given the chance.

Solomon Hill ($3,600): Hill is starting with Dante Cunningam out, and while he isn’t providing much production on a per minute basis, his price is low enough that he still reaches 5x value. Hill has had at least 16 DraftKings points in each of the last four games.

My pick: Leonard(SF), Ariza(F), Hill(UTIL)

Power Forwards

Best Bets:

Anthony Davis ($11,600): Davis has three straight games of more than 62 DraftKings points, and he faces a Lakers team that is 20th in the league in fantasy points allowed to power forwards. They are also likely still without Julius Randle. Davis is a strong play once again.

Blake Griffin ($8,600): Griffin has had a rough three game stretch, not topping 40 DraftKings points in each of his last three matchups. He has a great matchup against the Nets tonight. His past production and the outstanding play of Davis will likely keep a lot of DFS players off of Griffin tonight. He could come up big as a fade option.

Honorable Mention:

Kevin Love ($8,200): Love has three straight games of more than 5x value, with two of those topping 7x. Don’t expect huge numbers against the Bucks, but 5x vlaue is well within reach again tonight.

LaMarcus Aldridge ($6,700): His price is low enough that 5x value should be easy to come by, but this is not the same Aldridge that dominated in Portland. The team concept in San Antonio is different. LMA still gets his chances, but he is not a double-double machine anymore. He does have a solid matchup against the Magic tonight, so 33.5 DraftKings points is well within reach.

Dark Horses:

Trevor Booker ($5,700): Is Booker matchup-proof? At this price, he just might be. Booker has four straight games of more than 5x value. The Clippers are tough on power forwards, but with his price this low, Booker still could net you 25 DraftKings points or so.

Frank Kaminsky ($5,400): With Marvin Williams out, Frank the Tank is a cheap starter, albeit with a tough matchup. It has not mattered lately though. Kaminsky has topped 5x value in six consecutive games.

My pick: Davis(PF)

Center

Best Bets:

Andre Drummond ($7,400): While his poor foul shooting hurts him in category leagues, it simply gives him a little lower ceiling in daily games. Drummond is a walking double-double at a reasonable price, and he is still one of the few guys in the league that pulls 20 rebounds. He is always a strong option.

Nikola Vucevic ($6,200): Vucevic has posted three straight double-doubles. His brief sojourn to the bench may have actually helped him considering Vucevic has averaged 48 DraftKings points over his last three games. The Spurs, who are third worst in the league for fantasy points allowed to centers, shouldn’t hurt that average.

Honorable Mention:

DeAndre Jordan ($6,300): Jordan has hit 5x value in six of his last seven games. Tonight he takes on a Nets team that has allowed the second most fantasy points to centers. It could be Jordan’s night to go off tonight, and he is much less of a risk than Griffin or Paul because he is a lot cheaper.

Brook Lopez ($6,400): Lopez is still only playing about 30 minutes a game, but he is still getting right around 5x value. The Clippers are weak in fantasy against centers, so Lopez should hit 5x value yet again.

Dark Horses:

Tristan Thompson ($5,200): Thompson is always overshadowed on this team, but he consistently turns in 25+ point DraftKings games. He has six in his last seven games. Thompson doesn’t have a high ceiling, nor does he rattle the rim with dunks. What he does do is provide consistent value at a low price.

Bismack Biyombo ($4,300): Biyombo is offensively impotent, which limits his minutes, but his rebounding and blocking ability always leave him as a viable option at this price.

My pick: Vucevic(C)

Next: FanDuel NBA Picks November 29

Stay tuned for our FanDuel picks, our DFS NHL picks, and plenty of NFL advice heading into your weekend. We will also have the college football picks against the spread. You don’t want to miss any of this!