College Football Picks Against The Spread Evening September 23, 2017

SAN DIEGO, CA - SEPTEMBER 16: Juwan Washington
SAN DIEGO, CA - SEPTEMBER 16: Juwan Washington /
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TAMPA, FL – JANUARY 7: The National Championship Trophy during the College Football Playoff National Championship Media Day on January 7, 2017 at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images) /

College Football Picks Against The Spread Evening September 23, 2017

I had a solid week in week 3 of the college football season. I am now 11 games above .500 for the season. It took me until early November to hit that mark last year, so I am mostly happy with the results. I am also up 32 betting points. Hey, I’m ahead of the casino. That’s all that counts!

More from College Football Odds

For those of you that are new here, I put myself out there every week. For the last six years, I have picked every single college football game. Sounds easy, right? I thought so too. So I have picked them all against the spread. That significantly increases the degree of difficulty.

I take the average of the odds from the six major Vegas casinos and round that to the nearest half point. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.

Some sites will sell you top ten picks for a fee. Some will even give you a couple of free picks to lure you in. This is every game picked, all for free.

This contains the picks for FBS vs. FBS games only. It is too hard to get an accurate spread on games that involve 1-AA teams.

I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line. I am up 27 points after the first two weeks so far.

This is for entertainment purposes only! I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions, significant others, or limbs to a loan shark. I am a simple person. I cannot have that on my conscience.

We are down to 60 games this weekend, but 56 of them are FBS vs. FBS machups. So even though there are less games, this is my largest week of picking so far. The last 20 games of the weekend take place after 7pm eastern. We even have one on Sunday!

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UNIVERSITY PARK, PA – SEPTEMBER 02: Saquon Barkley #26 of the Penn State Nittany Lions returns a kickoff return during the second half against the Akron Zips on September 2, 2017 at Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania. Penn State defeats Akron 52-0. (Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images /

(17)Mississippi State at (11)Georgia(-3.5)(3): This one opened at -6, so it has been a steady decline. I see it. The Bulldogs just dominated LSU. That said, this game is between the Hedges, and Georgia has the power running game to gouge Mississippi State. LSU couldn’t do it, but I’m betting Georgia does. Give me UGA.

(22)San Diego State at Air Force(-3.5)(5): The Falcons are getting far too much credit for playing Michigan tough. This Aztec offense is better than Big Blue’s right now. SDSU straight up, and it may not be close.

Syracuse at (25)LSU(-21.5)(2): Wow, that’s a lot of points for an LSU offense that doesn’t move the ball in chunks very often. I don’t like this line at all. However, Baton Rouge at night is very, very tough. Give me LSU.

Ball State at Western Kenutcky(-10.5)(2): Ball State played the Illini closer than the Hilltoppers did. I haven’t been overly impressed with the Western Kentucky offense this year. That half clinches it. Give me David Letterman U.

Florida Atlantic at Buffalo(-2.5)(2): I don’t trust this line at all. FAU will start playing better at some point, but the Bulls are 3-0 against the spread. For this small of a line, I’m taking Buffalo at home.

Bowling Green at Middle Tennessee State(-7.5)(4): This line is down due to the uncertain status of Brent Stockstill. I’m telling you it wont matter. The Blue Raiders cover either way.

Arkansas State at SMU(-4.5)(2): There is something strange going on in this one. The home team gets even money here, meaning you win a dollar for every dollar you bet. It’s usually around 93 cents on the dollar. That usually means that Arkansas State is secretly the favorite, even though the line doesn’t reflect it. Courtland Sutton was completely shut down by TCU. The Red Wolves wont be able to do that, and they can’t run the ball. I’ll take SMU.

(4)Penn State(-12.5) at Iowa(5): Yeah, this looks low. Iowa hasn’t impressed in any aspect of the game, and Penn State looks like the most complete team in the Big 10(14). If they are, they wont have any trouble covering this. North Texas had no problems moving the ball on Iowa. Penn State wins BIG.

(15)Auburn(-17.5) at Missouri(2): This is a lot for a SEC road game and any team not named Aladamnbama to cover. I know Missouri was an absolute dog at home last week. That is the only thing keeping the bet down. I am not impressed with Auburn’s offense at all right now. Can they even score 18? Give me Missouri. I doubt they get covered.

(20)Florida(-2.5) at Kentucky(4): The Gator offense has been nothing short of pathetic, but they did seem to turn a corner in that fourth quarter against Tennessee. The Gators have Kentucky’s number much the way that Kentucky has South Carolina’s. Give me Florida.

Florida International at Rice(-2.5)(3): Nope. FIU straight up.

Utah State(-1.5) at San Jose State(1): This line is anywhere from USU-3 to even odds. This much fluctuation usually equals a sucker bet. Utah State looked pretty bad last week, but the Spartans really weren’t any better. I’ll take the Aggies, but there is no way I would actually bet this one. This much fluctuation is a bad sign.

UTSA(-13.5) at Texas State(3): These two teams really don’t like each other. If you haven’t been around the San Marcos or San Antonio area when this game is going on, you wouldn’t normally realize it, but this is their Iron Bowl. That is a ton of points on the road in a rivalry game. However, the Roadrunners did beat Baylor in Waco. Give me UTSA.

UTEP at New Mexico State(-19.5)(2): This line is so volatile that it has been pulled at two places so far. I don’t really see any reason for that, but I wasn’t going to bet much if any on this one anyway. The Aggies have proven to be line busters, but can they cover nearly a three TD line? It’s possible with that offense. I’ll take NMSU.

Notre Dame(-3.5) at Michigan State(1): I don’t like that half. Come to think of it, I don’t like this line period. Notre Dame has looked the better team, but the Spartans are pretty tough at home. I’ll lower the bet and take the safe team, which is the Irish.

(7)Washington(-11.5) at Colorado(3): This Colorado team isn’t as good as last year. As for Washington, their young defense has improved a lot in three weeks. Give me Washington.

(24)Oregon(-14.5) at Arizona State(2): I hate that half, but Arizona State’s defense has been pretty bad. They have allowed 113 points in three games so far. I have to take Arizona State because of that half. Oregon’s defense isn’t a lot better, and the Ducks are on the road.

Hawaii at Wyoming(-4.5)(4): This line is steadily falling, and I kind of get it. Wyoming hasn’t been anywhere close to living up to the hype. However, Hawaii is just not a good team, especially on the mainland. Cowboys finally cover one!

UCLA at Stanford(-7.5)(2): Both of these teams have underachieved thus far, especially on defense. I know Stanford is the better team, but by how much? More than one score at home. Give me the Cardinal.

East Carolina at Connecticut(-4.5)(2): I don’t really see where UConn is the better team. ECU has just played two really good teams. Pirates straight up.

Next: ESPN College Pick em Picks Week 4

This week, I bet more lightly heading into the first full conference week. I have eight one pioners, 22 two pointers, 15 three pointers, eight four pointers, and just three five pointers. Good luck out there, and if you want more info on a specific game, ask in the comments or hit me up on Twitter!

Stay tuned to Fantasy CPR for the last of the picks of the week against the spread, and our daily picks for MLB. We also have NFL DFS picks for week 2 and picks for the EPL!