College Football Picks Against The Spread Afternoon November 11, 2017

My college football pick em points were down to an all time low of 25 last week. Thankfully the spread picks have been doing a little better this year! Through ten weeks, I am at 283-255 with a net total of 67 betting points. Let’s add to that!

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For those of you that are new here, I put myself out there every week. For the last six years, I have picked every single college football game. Sounds easy, right? I thought so too. So I have picked them all against the spread. That significantly increases the degree of difficulty.

I take the average of the odds from the six major Vegas casinos and round that to the nearest half point. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.

Some site will sell you top ten picks for a fee. Some will even give you a couple of free picks to lure you in. This is every game picked, all for free.

I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line.

I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions, significant others, or limbs to a loan shark. This is for entertainment purposes only! I am a simple person. I cannot have that on my conscience.

We have the biggest week of college football so far this season. There is another 60 game slate this week, but UMass is slumming at the FCS level. That still leaves us 59 FBS vs. FBS games. 19 of those kick off a busy afternoon. Let’s get to those!

(1)Georgia(-2.5) at (10)Auburn(2): I expect a really good game here. I wouldn’t be surprised if it went into overtime. The conference would love to see an undefeated Georgia take on a similarly undefeated Alabama in the SEC Championship. Auburn gets their first chance to throw a wrench in that scenario. I still think Georgia wears them out late. Give me the Dawgs.

Florida State at (4)Clemson(-16.5)(2): This looks high. Florida State has a solid defense and a running back in Cam Akers that can help keep this closer. Clemson wins, but doesn’t cover.

(20)Iowa at (8)Wisconsin(-11.5)(3): This one also looks high. Wisconsin has only played two teams with a winning record. One of those was Florida Atlantic. Iowa is far more tested, and that defense is figuring things out. I’m taking Iowa because I wouldn’t be all that surprised if they won outright.

Virginia at Louisville(-11.5)(3): What did I miss? Virginia look pretty good last week in their win over Georgia Tech. They have a defense that can stop the run, and Lamar Jackson still makes a lot of mistakes. Even if Louisville wins, I doubt they cover. Give me UVA.

Michigan(-16.5) at Maryland(2): What next for Maryland? Max Bortenschlager, the third string quarterback, is questionable. The Terps may have to pull someone out of the crowd to play quarterback at this point. I have to go with Michigan and their newfound offense here.

West Virginia at Kansas State(-1.5)(2): I don’t know about this one. The Mountaineers look like the better team. Give me WVU.

SMU at Navy(-3.5)(2): Navy is going to get more than they bargained for here. SMU has looked really good lately, including scaring the bejesus out of UCF last week. Can they stop an option though? Temple did. Give me SMU.

Florida Atlantic(-4.5) at Louisiana Tech(3): This Bulldog offense is nowhere near where it was last year. Now FAU has found their stride, and Lane Kiffin is showing off his offensive chops. FAU by double digits.

Southern Mississippi(-10.5) at Rice(1): Both teams are pretty bad. I’m not all that convinced that the Eagles can score the 11 points required to cover this, but against this sad Rice D they should. Should being the operative word. Give me Southern Miss.

(11)USC(-13.5) at Colorado(3): Folsom Field is not a fun road venue, but USC seems to be hitting their stride right now. The Trojans crushed both Arizona teams after being blown out by Notre Dame. I have to think they can cover the Ralphies.

Georgia State(-6.5) at Texas State(1): Eh…..neither team is very good. That said, the Panthers become bowl eligible with a win here, so there’s that. I’ll take Georgia State.

San Jose State at Nevada(-18.5)(1): Ouch. Nevada at least has playmakers, so give me the Wolfpack, I guess. That’s a lot of points though…..

Kentucky at Vanderbilt(-2.5)(2): I have zero faith in that Kentucky defense. However, Benny Snell is a pretty good back. So is Ralph Webb. I have to go Vandy at home. I don’t trust Kentucky anymore.

Troy(-16.5) at Coastal Carolina(3): Uhhh….no. Troy still hasn’t covered a spread higher than a touchdown, and they have had five such games in which they have been favored by more than that. CCU may not win outright, but they wont get covered at home either.

Arkansas State(-10.5) at South Alabama(3): The Jags just got beat by a below average Louisiana team. Arkansas State is a pretty good team. Some unsuspecting team will find out come bowl season. This week, USA finds out the hard way. Give me the Red Wolves.

UTEP at North Texas(-22.5)(3): Well, Rice covered the Miners, so Mason Fine and company should have no problems. Give me North Texas.

(19)Washington State(-1.5) at Utah(5): This is too low. Utah is getting too much credit for beating a UCLA team with a sorry defense. Give me the Leaches.

Kansas at Texas(-33.5)(2): Really? This isn’t the Kansas of the mid-80’s here. I haven’t seen anything from the Texas offense that suggests they can cover this. I’ll take Kansas.

Western Kentucky at Marshall(-11.5)(2): I tend to think this is a little bit high. That said, WKU is 1-7-1 against the spread this year. Give me Marshall.

Next: ESPN College Pick em Picks Week 11

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