College Football Picks Against The Spread Evening November 11, 2017
My college football pick em points were down to an all time low of 25 last week. Thankfully the spread picks have been doing a little better this year! Through ten weeks, I am at 283-255 with a net total of 67 betting points. Let’s add to that!
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For those of you that are new here, I put myself out there every week. For the last six years, I have picked every single college football game. Sounds easy, right? I thought so too. So I have picked them all against the spread. That significantly increases the degree of difficulty.
I take the average of the odds from the six major Vegas casinos and round that to the nearest half point. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.
Some site will sell you top ten picks for a fee. Some will even give you a couple of free picks to lure you in. This is every game picked, all for free.
I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line.
I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions, significant others, or limbs to a loan shark. This is for entertainment purposes only! I am a simple person. I cannot have that on my conscience.
We have the biggest week of college football so far this season. There is another 60 game slate this week, but UMass is slumming at the FCS level. That still leaves us 59 FBS vs. FBS games. 14 of those are in prime time. Let’s finish our Saturday strong!
(2)Alabama(-13.5) at (16)Mississippi State(2): Much has been made of the relative weakness of Bama’s schedule this year. However, they were dominating Florida State in the opener, a team that no one disputed was a top five team with Francois healthy, before Francois got hurt. This looks a little low, though the Bulldogs are tough in StarkVegas. Give me Bama.
Purdue at (25)Northwestern(-4.5)(4): Was Purdue really that impressive last week? I didn’t think so. The Wildcats should have no problems covering this at home. Give me Northwestern.
UAB at UTSA(-7.5)(3): This is an interesting line. The Blazers are 7-2 against the spread and heading for a bowl game.The Roadrunners are 3-5 against the spread and still need a win against either UAB, Marshall, or Louisiana Tech to make a bowl. I don’t know that they get it here. UAB is a good team. I’ll take the Blazers.
Tulane(-5.5) at East Carolina(4): This looks awfully low. The Pirates have been covered in every game except the ones against UConn and BYU that they accidentally won. Tulane wont blow them out, but they will control the ball and win easily. Probably by double digits. Ride the wave!
New Mexico at Texas A&M(-17.5)(3): I find it extraordinarily hard to be the Lobos right now. They aren’t used to playing in front of a crowd like this. It gets ugly, and quick. Give me A&M.
Old Dominion at Florida International(-9.5)(1): Old Dominion plays sound football with a solid defense. This should stay a one score game. Give me the Monarchs.
Tennessee at Missouri(-12.5)(5): There was a time when Tennessee just being this big of a dog would have been cause to fire the coach. However, Butch likely doesn’t get the axe until Missouri beats them by 30. Yes, that is a prediction. M-I-Z! Z-O-U! (for you, Greg).
(3)Notre Dame(-3.5) at (7)MIami(FL)(3): Catholics vs. Convicts is back! However, this Miami team bears little to no resemblance to the one that spawned this nickname. Mark Richt has cleaned up the program. This is going to be a defensive battle. Both teams have strong defenses, but I think Miami’s ball-hawking prowess will make the difference here. Even if Miami doesn’t win, I see this game being decided by three points. Give me Miami.
(6)TCU at (5)Oklahoma(-6.5)(2): This looks a tad high, but on the other hand, the first one to kick a field goal loses. The Big 12(10) doesn’t measure in field goals. Only touchdowns. Give me Oklahoma.
Arizona State at UCLA(-3.5)(5): Okay, Mr. Casino, I’ll take your money! UCLA isn’t winning this game. Not with that sorry defense. Oregon is the only team that didn’t score at least 23 points on the Bruins this year. Six teams have scored more than 40 on them!
Oregon State at Arizona(-21.5)(2): I don’t like that half at all. Then again, I don’t see the Beavers having anything to stop Khalil Tate. Give me Arizona.
Wyoming at Air Force(-3.5)(4): Sure, this makes sense. The Falcons get blanked at home by Army, yet are still more than a field goal favorite against the bowl eligible Cowboys? Is this a trick question? No? Cowboys straight up then.
Boise State(-6.5) at Colorado State(3): I am lowering the bet a little just in case Cedrick Wilson is out. However, even without him, Boise has become a really solid offensive team over the last month. I’ll take the Broncos.
Fresno State(-10.5) at Hawaii(2): The Bulldogs had trouble with a BYU team that lost Tanner Mangum (twice) at home last week. Is BYU better than Hawaii? Maybe. Probably not. Fresno hasn’t covered since they upset the Aztecs. Give me Hawaii because of that half!
Next: ESPN College Pick em Picks Week 11
I bet a little more this week. I still only have six one point bets, but I have five five pointers for only the second time this season. I have nine four pointers, but the major increase was in three pointers. I have 17 of those. My two pointers are the most once again with 22.
Stay tuned to Fantasy CPR for the last of the picks of the week against the spread, and our NFL DFS picks and picks for the EPL! We even have some NBA DFS picks for you!
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