DraftKings MLB Picks April 30: Arrieta is easily the best option
There are 11 games today. With the earlier start time on the Texas-Cleveland game, that game has been left off of the main slate and is only available in showdown mode. Most of the pitching falls into the bargain tier, but the upper tier options look pretty good on this slate. Let’s see if any of them are fade options.
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Boston has a slight chance of rain tonight, but the main concern will be wind. Some for the good, like a 16mph breeze blowing out to left in Wrigley and the same breeze blowing out to right in San Fran. Some not so good like a crosswind in Minnesota, Washington, and Detroit.
We will provide you with several options to build your lineup here. Want to spend all your money on pitchers and play bargain bats? We will highlight who is worth the money. Want to punt arms and pay up for the big boppers? We can help you with that as well, and everything in between!
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. Stacking against a bad pitcher is always a good idea!
For you first time players, if you would like a free $20 in DraftKings dollars, use this link for the referral bonus with your first deposit of $5 or more! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn those DraftKings dollars into more!
Next: DraftKings Pitcher Plays
Jake Arrieta ($10,900): The Marlins are hitting just .174 in 46 at bats against Arrieta with only one homer and two RBI to go with seven strikeouts. There is enormous potential here, and I’m not just saying that because Arrieta is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in two career Marlins Park starts.
Zack Greinke ($10,200): There is some risk here considering that the Dodgers have ten homers in 140 at bats against Grienke. However, they have only mustered 16 runs. Still, those are not numbers that you want to pay top dollar for. Several Dodgers have good numbers against Greinke, but this is a position where I would pick and choose instead of a full blown stack.
Jeff Samardzija ($8,700): Shark hasn’t had a great start to the season, but his career numbers against the Padres make him worth a look. The Padres are only hitting .229 in 83 at bats against Samardzija with two homers, six RBI, and a nice 19 strikeouts. There is good potential here against a Padres team without much of an offense.
Jameson Taillon ($8,100): Taillon has struggled lately, but the Nationals are only hitting .207 off of him in 29 at bats with only one run and eight strikeouts. There is solid potential here, but you may want to wait and see if Taillon is really done struggling yet before sending him out there against a team like the Nationals.
Aaron Sanchez ($6,500): Sanchez has turned in four straight quality starts since a rocky opener. He is cheap all things considered. The Twins are only hitting .209 against Sanchez in 43 at bats with only one homer, three RBI, and ten strikeouts. There is quite a bit of potential here for the price.
Brandon Finnegan ($5,400): Finnegan has held the Brewers to a .229 average in 35 at bats with only one homer and seven strikeouts, but the Brewers do have five runs. Finnegan has decent numbers at home in his career. Decent enough to take a chance here on a rather thin pitching slate.
Jhoulys Chacin ($5,100): The Reds are only hitting .222 in 59 at bats against Chacin with only one homer, but they have scored seven runs. The 13 strikeouts are a solid total. There is pretty good potential here for Chacin, especially when you consider his 3.97 ERA in four career starts at Great American Ballpark.
Guess what? The Cubs have a lefty going as well, and the Rockies have some right handed power. Nolan Arenado is 2-8 with a homer and two RBI against Jon Lester. Chris Iannetta is only 2-11 against Lester, but he has a homer and three RBI. Ian Desmond is cheap, and is 4-9 with three doubles, a steal, and a run against Lester in his career.
C.J. Cron is off to a nice start in Tampa, and is facing a pitcher that hasn’t given up less than four runs in a start this year. Wilson Ramos and Daniel Robertson are also in play at bargain prices. Stacking both side of this game may not be a bad idea.
Cody Bellinger is 5-12 with a double and two solo homers against Zack Greinke. Yasmani Grandal is only 7-30(.233) against Greinke, but he has a walk, a double, four runs, and two solo homers off of Greinke.
Hanley Ramirez is 9-19(.474) with a walk, a double, a homer, a steal, six runs, and two RBI in his career against Jason Hammel. Mitch Moreland is also worth a look. Moreland is 3-7 with two doubles and a RBI. Rafael Devers only has one hit in three at bats against Jason Hammel, but it is a solo homer.
Eric Lauer struggled in his first career start, but it was in Coors Field. Things should be better back down at sea level against San Francisco. Just in case they aren’t, Buster Posey and Evan Longoria are worth a look against the young lefty.
Lance Lynn is in for a rough night. Kendrys Morales is perfect against Lynn with a single, two homers, and five RBI in his career against Lynn. He isn’t the only one. Russell Martin is 7-18(.389) with three walks, two doubles, a homer, two runs, and three RBI off of Lynn. Yangervis Solarte is 4-14 with two walks, three doubles, two runs, and four RBI off of Lynn. Enjoy your cheap Blue Jays stack!
Javier Baez is expensive, but he has crushed pitching at Wrigley no matter who it comes from. Again, with a lefty on the mound and the wind blowing out, Baez and Addison Russell get a boost in potential.
Whit Merrfield is perfect in his career against Eduardo Rodriguez so far. He has three singles in three at bats with a run and a RBI off of Rodriguez. Ryan Goins likely wont play, but if he does, his only hit in two at bats against Eduardo Rodriguez is a three run homer.
Corey Seager gets a price break facing Zack Greinke, but maybe he shouldn’t. Seager is 6-14(.429) with five walks, a double, two homers, six runs, and four RBI in his career against Greinke. Chase Utley also has three doubles, a homer, and two RBI against Greinke, but he is only 6-26 off of him.
Jose Peraza is only 1-4 against Jhoulys Chacin, but the hit is a solo homer, and he is batting at or near the top of a pretty potent lineup.
Dixon Machado doesn’t have much for power, but he gets on base quite a bit, and is facing a struggling starter.
Robbie Grossman is back in the fold with Byron Buxton out for a while. Grossman is 2-4 with a double and a pair of RBI in his career against Aaron Sanchez. Eddie Rosario is perfect against Sanchez with a walk and two singles against Sanchez.
Next: Top Outfield Plays
J.D. Martinez is 2-6 with a homer and three RBI in his career against Jason Hammel. Jackie Bradley is also worth a look. Bradley is 2-6 with a homer and two RBI in his career against Hammel.
George Springer is only 4-16 against Sonny Gray, but he has three walks, a homer, two steals, two runs, and two RBI against him.
Giancarlo Stanton is 9-18 with three walks, two doubles, a homer, four runs, and four RBI in his career against Charlie Morton. Brett Gardner is 3-4 with a walk, a double, two runs, and two RBI against Morton.
A.J. Pollock is 2-6 with a walk, a solo homer, and two runs so far against Ross Stripling. David Peralta is worth a look as well. Peralta is 5-12 with four doubles, three runs, and a RBI against Stripling.
Rhys Hoskins is 6-8 with a walk, a double, three homers, five runs, and seven RBI already against Dan Straily. Odubel Herrera is 4-11 with two walks, a double, a homer, two runs, and two RBI off of Straily. Even Nick Williams gets in on the action. Williams is 4-10 with two walks, a double, a triple, three runs, and two RBI against Straily.
Ryan Braun is 3-7 with a walk, a solo homer, and a steal in his career against Brandon Finnegan. Hernan Perez is also worth a look. Perez is 3-12 with two doubles, two steals, a run, and four RBI off of Finnegan.
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Joc Pederson is 4-12 with a walk, three doubles, a homer, two runs, and two RBI in his career against Zack Greinke.
Albert Almora has been solid for the Cubs this year, and faces the same benefits as the rest of the Cubs righties. The only difference is that he comes at a cheaper price than the rest.
The Reds outfield is cheap. Probably cheaper than they should be. Adam Duvall is 2-6 with a double, a homer, and two RBI against Jhoulys Chacin. Billy Hamilton is 1-3 with a triple and a run off of Chacin. Of course, the caveat is that both of them are struggling.
Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our PGA picks. Still in NBA mode? No worries, we have the NBA DFS covered for the playoffs as well!