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MLB DFS Picks – Standouts: June 12th

By Matt McGarvey

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - JUNE 10: Luis Valbuena #18 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim reacts to striking out against the Minnesota Twins during the first inning of the game on June 10, 2018 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Twins defeated the Angels 7-5. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS, MN - JUNE 10: Luis Valbuena #18 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim reacts to striking out against the Minnesota Twins during the first inning of the game on June 10, 2018 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Twins defeated the Angels 7-5. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images) /
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MINNEAPOLIS, MN – JUNE 10: Luis Valbuena #18 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim reacts to striking out against the Minnesota Twins during the first inning of the game on June 10, 2018 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Twins defeated the Angels 7-5. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images) MLB DFS Picks
MINNEAPOLIS, MN – JUNE 10: Luis Valbuena #18 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim reacts to striking out against the Minnesota Twins during the first inning of the game on June 10, 2018 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Twins defeated the Angels 7-5. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images) MLB DFS Picks /

MLB DFS Picks – Standouts: June 12th

Tonight’s MLB DFS Picks slate features 15 games, with Boston (5.4), New York (5.2), Cleveland (5.2), St. Louis (5), and Milwaukee (4.9), holding the best projected team totals. There aren’t as many high-end pitching options tonight, so instead of searching for value, finding players in optimal matchups will be more important. We’ll be aiming to highlight MLB DFS picks from the perspective of batted ball data, batter splits, and line movement.

MLB DFS Picks: Batted Ball Stats

Luis Valbuena – DK $3200, FD $2400

Luis Valbuena should get the start tonight, as the Angels will take on the righty, Mike Leake. While Valbuena hasn’t filled the fantasy scorebox of late, his recent batted ball numbers are off the charts. In the last 15 days, his batted ball distance is up 39 feet, his exit velocity is up 6 MPH, and his hard hit percentage is up 15%, over his yearly average. This is one of the biggest discrepancies I’ve seen this season, and is be a good indicator that positive regression should be on its way.

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Batter Splits

Jedd Gyorko – DK $3500, FD $2400

Jedd Gyorko will be an excellent value play, on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Gyorko will face off against the lefty Matthew Strahm. Gyorko is much better against left-handed pitching, with a .464 wOBA split (.180 better than when facing a righty) and a .329 ISO split (.200 better than when facing a righty). St. Louis has one of the higher projected team totals on the slate, which should benefit Gyorko.

Yoan Moncada – DK $3900, FD $3500

Yoan Moncada is another second baseman to consider tonight. He’ll draw a matchup against the righty, Adam Plutko. Moncada, a switch hitter, is much better against right-handed pitching, with a .346 wOBA split (.101 better than when facing a lefty) and a .212 ISO split (.111 better than when facing a lefty).

Line Movement

Chicago White Sox Batters

Chicago will host the visiting Cleveland Indians tonight, in a game in which Cleveland opened as -170 favorites. Since opening, this line has fallen all the way down to where it currently sits, at -135. White Soxs batter will face Adam Plutko, who was roughed up in his last start, against these same White Soxs. Plutko allowed five earned runs, two coming by way of the long ball. On the year, Plutko has allowed an opposing batted ball distance of 237 feet (highest on the slate), an exit velocity of 93 MPH (third highest on the slate) and a hard hit percentage of 41% (third highest on the slate).

Next: DFS MLB Game by Game Breakdowns

Best of luck with your MLB DFS picks and stay tuned to Fantasy CPR for all the latest DFS news and analysis!