Fansided

MLB DFS Bargain Bin- Tout Transparency Report for Tuesday, June 12th Value Plays

ByJuan Carlos Blanco|
FanDuel MLB: CINCINNATI, OH - MAY 08: Scott Schebler #43 of the Cincinnati Reds celebrates in the dugout after scoring in the seventh inning during the game against the New York Mets at Great American Ball Park on May 8, 2018 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
FanDuel MLB: CINCINNATI, OH - MAY 08: Scott Schebler #43 of the Cincinnati Reds celebrates in the dugout after scoring in the seventh inning during the game against the New York Mets at Great American Ball Park on May 8, 2018 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
FanDuel MLB
FanDuel MLB

MLB DFS Bargain Bin- Tout Transparency Report for Tuesday, June 12

Time for a look back at how Tuesday’s MLB DFS Bargain Bin play suggestions did in the MLB DFS Bargain Bin Tout Transparency Report.

In the interest of transparency and of tracking trends, I’ll do a quick review after each day in which I suggest value plays to see what went right, and what didn’t exactly work out as planned.

Unfortunately, as productive as Monday was, the MLB gods felt the need to even things out a bit Tuesday! A parade of zeros with respect to most of the suggested value bats was the norm throughout the night, with the Angels (outside of Mike Trout, who naturally, wasn’t a value play) particularly coming up short.

Another confounding aspect of Tuesday’s slate was that two pitchers who’d regularly been getting hammered – Sal Romano and Ian Kennedy – suddenly decided to put on their best Cy Young impersonations. Consequently, a game with an implied run total of well over 9 went into extras knotted at 1-1. Credit to both starting pitchers, who consistently defied the metrics that I’d identified as rendering them highly vulnerable through their respective eight-inning masterpieces.

As much of a pitcher’s duel as that game was, however, about the only redeeming production came in the form of the Reds’ Scott Schebler, who contributed the one multi-hit effort of my suggestions.

On the pitcher end of things, the Jays’ Jaime Garcia wasn’t completely awful, but his trademark control issues hurt him to an extent, running his pitch count up to a robust 101 over five-plus frames. Garcia had allowed a respectable two runs through five, but he got himself into trouble by allowing a walk and double to open the sixth. Consequently, he was charged with another pair of runs when those baserunners subsequently crossed the plate after he’d gotten the hook.

As anyone who’s played DFS for any appreciable length of time, “momma said there’d be days (nights) like this!”. All that can be done is to pick up, dust off and move on to the next opportunity.

 

MLB DFS Bargain Bin Best Value(s):

Schebler prevents total washout– Schebler started the game with a single in his first at-bat and repeated the feat in his final one, crossing the plate with a run as well in Cincy’s four-run 10th inning.

MLB DFS Bargain Bin Biggest Dud(s):

Where to begin?– The Mariners’ Mike Leake baffled the Angels for six innings, and only Mike Trout showed any signs of real life for LA on the night. Value suggestions Albert Pujols and Martin Maldonado struck out three times on the night between them, while Zack Cozart’s walk was the only thing saving him from a blanking as well.

Let’s now look at a player-by-player fantasy-point breakdown for each value play I’d suggested for Tuesday, June 12th:

DraftKings
DraftKings

MLB DFS Bargain Bin- Tout Transparency Report for Tuesday, June 12

 

Value Pitching Spot to Consider

Jaime Garcia, TOR at TAM- Yahoo ($30)/ FanDuel ($6,200)/ DraftKings ($6,100)/ FantasyDraft ($11,900)

Final Line: 5.0 IP, 4 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 4 K

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (7.8)/ FanDuel (15)/ DraftKings (6.45)/ FantasyDraft (6.45)

Yahoo/FanDuel-only special:

Jaime Barria– LAA at SEA- Yahoo ($33)/ FanDuel ($6,800)

Final Line: 5.0 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, 2 K

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (7.8)/ FanDuel (15)

Four Potential Value Hitting Spots to Consider

 

Reds at Royals

Target: Royals SP Ian Kennedy and Royals bullpen 

Metric(s) to Target:

Kennedy: .384 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters, including .414 at home/ .318 BAA and 5.42 xFIP allowed to left-handed hitters at home/ 41.9 percent hard contact rate allowed to left-handed hitters overall.

Royals bullpen: MLB-high 8.80 ERA allowed to left-handed hitters at home over last month of play/ MLB-high 36.0 percent line drive rate allowed to left-handed hitters at home over last month of play/ AL-high .393 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters at home over last month of play.

 

Reds value bats to consider:

Scott Schebler- Yahoo ($19)/ FanDuel ($3,400)/ DraftKings ($4,200)/ FantasyDraft ($8,400)

Final Line: 2-for-5 (two singles), one run

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (6.0)/ FanDuel (9.2)/ DraftKings (8.00)/ FantasyDraft (8.00)

 

Billy Hamilton– Yahoo ($9)/ FanDuel ($2,700)/ DraftKings ($3,000)/ FantasyDraft ($5,600)

Final Line: 0-for-4, one run

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (1.8)/ FanDuel (3.2)/ DraftKings (2.00)/ FantasyDraft (2.00)

*Twitter suggestion*

Jesse Winker– Yahoo ($13)/ FanDuel ($2,900)/ DraftKings ($3,600)/ FantasyDraft ($7,500)

Final Line: 0-for-3, two walks

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (4.2)/ FanDuel (6)/ DraftKings (4.00)/ FantasyDraft (4.00)

 

Reds at Royals

Target: Reds SP Sal Romano

Metric(s) to Target:

.400 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters, including .420 on the road/.383 BAA, 2.35 WHIP and 5.66 xFIP allowed to left-handed hitters on the road/ 32.1 percent line drive rate and 39.6 percent hard contact rate allowed to left-handed hitters on the road.

 

Royals value bats to consider:

Alex Gordon– Yahoo ($12)/ FanDuel ($2,600)/ DraftKings ($3,100)/ FantasyDraft ($5,500)

Final Line: 0-for-4

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (0.0)/ FanDuel (0)/ DraftKings (0.00)/ FantasyDraft (0.00)

 

Ryan Goins– Yahoo ($9)/ FanDuel ($2,000)/ DraftKings ($2,600)/ FantasyDraft ($5,100)

Final Line: 0-for-4

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (0.0)/ FanDuel (0)/ DraftKings (0.00)/ FantasyDraft (0.00)

  

Yahoo/FantasyDraft-only special:

Mike Moustakas– Yahoo ($15)/ FantasyDraft ($8,200)  *Note: Still worth considering on FanDuel and DraftKings, but higher-priced there relative to top players at his position.*

Final Line: 0-for-4

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (0.0)/ FantasyDraft (0.00)

More from FanSided

 

Angels at Mariners

Target:  Mariners SP Mike Leake 

Metric(s) to Target: .

.363 wOBA (including eight homers) allowed to right-handed hitters/ 2.05 HR/9 allowed to right-handed hitters at home/ 23.5 percent line drive rate allowed to right-handed hitters at home and 39.5 percent hard contact rate allowed to right-handed hitters overall.

 

Angels value bats to consider:

Albert Pujols– Yahoo ($12)/ FanDuel ($3,100)/ DraftKings ($3,500)/ FantasyDraft ($6,900)

Final Line: 0-for-4

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (0.0)/ FanDuel (0)/ DraftKings (0.00)/ FantasyDraft (0.00)

 

Martin Maldonado– Yahoo ($12)/ FanDuel ($2,200)/ DraftKings ($2,800)/ FantasyDraft ($5,400) 

Final Line: 0-for-4

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (0.0)/ FanDuel (0)/ DraftKings (0.00)/ FantasyDraft (0.00)

 

Zack Cozart- Yahoo ($11)/ FanDuel ($3,100)/ DraftKings ($3,300)/ FantasyDraft ($6,600) 

Final Line: 0-for-3, one walk

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (2.1)/ FanDuel (3)/ DraftKings (2.00)/ FantasyDraft (2.00)

 

Cubs at Brewers

Target: Cubs SP Tyler Chatwood

Metric(s) to Target:

.362 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters/ 5.86 xFIP allowed to left-handed hitters, including 6.51 on the road/ 44.0 percent hard contact rate allowed to left-handed hitters on the road

 

Brewers value bat to consider:

Yahoo-only special:

Eric Thames– ($16)

Final Line: 1-for-5 (single), one run

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (3.9)

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